7 - Post Decision Pt II Flashcards
Customer lifetime value (CLV) and how it can be measured
Long-term (future) financial value of customer satisfaction/loyalty/repeat purchase
Can be measured based on past sales records (phone, internet, gym, credit cards, loyalty programs)
Method for calculating CLV
Churn method - net profit from a repeat customer over time, discounted to the present moment (done through excel)
How do managers use CLV?
To market to different customers and segments of customers
CLV Equation
CLV = m * L - AC
m component (CLV)
Contribution margin of customer. Represents the profit generated by a customer over the lifetime of their relationship with the business (includes both revenue generated and cost to serve them)
eg: customer buys $100 of goods, cost $20 to produce, m = $80
L component (CLV)
Customer’s lifetime. Represents the length of time that a customer is expected to remain with the business. Includes the time between customer’s first purchase and their last
eg: customer makes first purchase at age 25, and most recent at age 45. L = 20 years
AC component (CLV)
Acquisition cost. Represents the cost associated with acquiring the customer, including marketing and ad expenses
eg: business spends $500 on ads to acquire one customer, AC = $500
Churn/defection rate
% of customers that leave each year
The higher the churn rate %, the lower the expected lifetime of customers (L)
Retention rate (RR)
1 - churn rate
% of customers that repeat business
CLV with retention rate equation
CLV = sum of t=1 (m * RR^(t-1)) - AC
Expected lifetime of a customer recalculated as probability x outcome summed across all possible outcomes
How do managers use CLV?
Can be calculated at the individual level as well as the segment level
eg: individual level - aeroplan account, segment level - diamond vs silver rank
How can managers use CLV to make decisions about their customers?
Invest in the most valuable customers
Can be done through incentives, personalized service/offers, surprises, etc
Upgrade current unprofitale customers
Fire current unprofitable customers
Acquire new valuable customers
Incentives (CLV)
Often results in high acquisition cost, high variable costs, high contribution margin, low churn
eg: Crypto black card (tons of cashback - AC, incentives like free prime - VC, high annual fee - high m, strong brand reputation - low churn rate)
Upselling
Firms upsell their products/services due to CLV factors.
eg: starbucks rewards are generous = upsell drinks
tinder has high churn rate = upsell plans
Acquiring new valuable customers
Firms have to focus on segments of high CLV customers, advertise towards “lookalike audiences”
Can also use referral programs