5. Schdule P Flashcards

1
Q

Functions of Schedule P dt-rapid

A
  1. Rsv Development
  2. Freq-sev Trends
  3. Calc RBC loss sensitive discount
  4. Rsv Adequacy
  5. Pmt patterns for discounting rsvs
  6. IBNR & case rsv split
  7. Disclosures for SAO
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2
Q

Data shortcomings of Schedule P (6)

A

Triangles are L & LAE combined (can’t separate)

Triangles inc pooling (distorts data)

Triangles only go back 10AY (not enough for long tail LOB

Frequency trends don’t use EP @CRL

EP is CY & losses are AY

Clm counts are reported (not ultimate)

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3
Q

losses in are net or gross of reinsurance?

A

Net of reinsurance

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4
Q

Discounts in Schedule P

Part 1

parts 2,3,4

balance sheet

A

Part 1 is net of tabular discounts & gross of non-tabular discounts

Part 2,3,4 are gross of both tabular & non-tabular discounts

Balance sheet is net of both tabular & non-tabular discounts

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5
Q

Reconcile unpaid in part 1 to part 2 and 3

A
  1. Part 1 (unpaid loss ex A&O) + tabular discount from notes to financial statements = Part 2 (net incurred loss & DCC) - part 3 (net paid loss & DCC)
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6
Q
A
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7
Q
A
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8
Q

Stuff we can do in schedule p part 1

Formula for Reported Claim Frequency on

  1. direct basis
  2. net basis
A
  1. # of clms reported direct & assumed / direct EP
  2. # of clms reported direct & assumed /net EP
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9
Q

Stuff we can do in schedule p part 1

Formula for avg reported claims on…

  1. direct basis
  2. net basis
A
  1. [Direct and assumed paid losses + direct and assumed paid DCC + direct and assumed case unpaid losses + direct and assumed case unpaid DCC] / # of reptd clms
  2. [Numertor from item 1 – ceded paid loss –ceded paid DCC – ceded case unpaid loss – ceded case unpaid DCC] /# reptd clms
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10
Q

Stuff we can do in schedule p part 1

Formula for Avg Case Outstanding on…

  1. direct
  2. net basis
A
  1. [Direct and assumed case unpaid loss + direct and assumed case unpaid DCC] / open clms
  2. [numerator from 1 – ceded case unpaid loss – ceded case unpaid DCC] / open clms
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11
Q
A
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12
Q

Ultimate Incurred Loss Formula

incurred = reported + unpaid =

reported =

unpaid =

A

Incurred = Paid + case + IBNR

Reported = paid + case

Unpaid = case + IBNR

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13
Q

Part 2, 3, 4 defined

A

Part 2 = incurred net loss & DCC

Part 3 = cumulative paid net loss & DCC

Part 4 = IBNR net loss & DCC

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14
Q

Part 2, 3, 4 formulas

unpaid =

case =

case incurred =

A

Unpaid = part 2 – part 3

Case =part 2 – part 3 – part 4

Case incurred = paid + case = part 3 + case OR part 2 – part 4

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15
Q
A
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16
Q
A
17
Q
A
18
Q
A
19
Q

Part 5 – 3 sections

section 1

section 2

section 3

A
  1. Cumulative # of CWP claims w/ loss pmt direct & assumed at year end
  2. Cumulative # of outstanding claims w/ loss pmt direct & assumed at year end
  3. Cumulative # of reported claims w/ loss pmt direct & assumed at year end
20
Q

Stuff we can do w/ schedule P part 5

  1. Claim closure rate =
  2. CWP rate =
  3. Avg closed claim severity =
  4. Avg case outstanding severity =
  5. Avg reported claim severity =
  6. Clm frequency =
A
  1. Claim closure rate = closed ÷ reported = (section 3 – section 2) ÷ section 3
  2. CWP rate= CWP ÷ closed = section 1 ÷ (section 3 – section 2)
  3. Avg closed clm severity = net paid loss & DCC ÷ total claims closed = P3 / (P5 section 3 – P5 section 2)
  4. Avg case outstanding severity = net case outstanding loss & DCC ÷ total open clms = (P2-P3-P4) / P5 section 2
  5. Avg reported claim severity = net reported loss & DCC ÷ total reported clms= (P2-P4) / P5 section 3
  6. Clm frequency = claim counts ÷ Earned Premium
21
Q

Why claim closure rate change? (3)

A
  1. cats –> claims ↑
  2. ∆in staffing
  3. PIF growth–> claims↑
22
Q

Why severities change?(4)

A
  1. inflation
  2. cats
  3. law change
  4. claims practice to settle certain size clm first
23
Q
A
24
Q
A
25
Q
A
26
Q

Purpose of part 6 – cumulative EP for 10 CYs (2)

A
  1. Develop EP to ultimate
  2. Show prior 9 CYs EP adjusted up (for premium audits, lags, retrospectively rated policies) so surplus is not understated
27
Q
A
28
Q
A
29
Q
A
30
Q
A
31
Q

Schedule P interrogatories (4)

most important one

A
  1. ***Changes or anything special that user should be aware of to assess reserve adequacy? Disclose if yes
  2. How LAE reported? (DCC or A&O)
  3. Rsvs net or gross of non-tabular discount
  4. reported claims counts per claim or claimant
32
Q

Adverse development reasons (2)

A
  1. PIF growth
  2. Large clm from old AY
33
Q

Yearly reporting convention

A
  1. Accident yr (occurrence policy)
  2. Report yrr (claims-made policies)
  3. Policy yr (tail policies)
  4. Discovery yr (fidelity /surety policies)
34
Q

2 categories of LAE

A

DCC – defense ligation & medical cost containment expenses

A&O –fees, salaries, expense of employees working in claim adjusting capacity

35
Q

Schedule P intercompany pooling formulas for prem or rsvs

Gross rsvs co A

net rsvs co A

A

Gross rsvs co A

  1. Total direct L&LAE * pool % A

net rsvs co A

  1. Total net L&LAE * pool % A
36
Q
A
37
Q

Non-Schedule P intercompany pooling formulas for prem or rsvs

Gross rsvs (or prem) lead A

Gross rsvs (or prem) non-lead B

net rsvs (or prem) co A

A

Gross rsvs lead A & gross rsvs non-lead B

  1. Gross rsvs for lead A = A direct rsvs + B net rsvs +C net rsvs
  2. Gross rsvs for non-lead B = B direct rsvs + toal net rsvs* B pool%

net rsvs co A

  1. Same as schedule P: Total net L&LAE * pool % A
38
Q
A
39
Q
A