4.1 International Economics Flashcards
What is globalisation ?
- a process by which economies and cultures have been drawn deeper together and have become more inter-connected through global networks of trade, capital flows, and rapid spread of technology and global media
What is the key benefit of globalisation ?
✅ allows businesses and countries to specialise in producing goods/services where they have a comparative advantage (ie. produce at a lower opportunity cost)
✅ gain in economic welfare ➡️ lower prices for consumers (increases real incomes) + greater range of goods/services
What are the characteristics of globalisation ?
- trade to GDP ratios are ⬆️ for many countries
- expansion of financial capital flows across international borders
- increasing FDI and cross border acquisitions
- more global brands (a rising no. from emerging countries)
- deeper specialisation of labour (eg. making specific components of parts)
- global supply chains + new trade and investment routes
- higher levels if cross border labour migration
- increasing connectivity of people + businesses through networks
Factors contributing to globalisation in the last 50 years ?
- Containerisation: real prices + costs of ocean & air shipping have decreased due to widespread use of standardised containers + economies of scale (lower unit cost of transporting)
- Technological advances: cuts the cost of transmitting + communicating info ➡️ key factor behind trade
- Differences in tax systems: some nations have cut down corporation taxes to attract inflows of FDI (deliberate strategy to drive growth)
- Less protectionism: average import tariffs have fallen (recently a rise in non tariff barriers eg. quotas, domestic subsidies etc)
Advantages of globalisation on individual countries/governments/producers/consumers/workers/environment ?
- ✅ encourages both producers + consumers to reap benefits from deeper division of labour in global supply chains ➡️ economies of scale + gains in economic welfare
- ✅ more competitive markets ➡️ reduces the level of monopoly supernormal profits + can incentivise businesses to seek cost-reducing innovations
- ✅ trade can help drive faster economic growth ➡️ higher per capita incomes (reduced extent of extreme poverty)
- ✅ freer movement of labour ➡️ relieving labour shortages + promoting the sharing of ideas from diverse workforces
- ✅ opening of capital markets eg. bond & stock markets ➡️ increases the opportunities for developing countries to borrow money to overcome a domestic savings gap
- ✅ increased awareness among people around the world of the systemic challenges from climate change + the effects of wealth/income inequality
- ✅ competitive pressures of globalisation ➡️ prompt improve standards of govt + better labour protection through improved monitoring by international organisations
Drawbacks of globalisation on individual countries/governments/producers/consumers/workers/environment ?
- ❌ rising inequality/relative poverty: unequal gains from globalisation ➡️ growing political + social tensions
- ❌ threats to the global commons eg. irreversible damage to ecosystems, deforestation, severe water scarcity etc
- ❌ greater exploitation of the environment eg. increased production of raw materials, trading toxic waste to countries with weaker environment laws
- ❌ macroeconomic fragility: inter-connected world economy ➡️ external shocks in one region can rapidly spread to other centres ie. systemic risk
- ❌ trade imbalances: increasing imbalances ➡️ protectionist tensions, wider use of tariffs, quotas + move towards managed exchange rates
- ❌ structural employment ➡️ direct result of out-sourcing of manufacturing to lower cost countries + rise in the share of imports in a nation’s GDP
- ❌ dominant global brands: businesses with dominant brands + superior technologies may squeeze out smaller local producers ➡️ reduction in choice for consumers + some job losses
What does the overall impact of globalisation depend on ?
- effectiveness of policies eg. environmental interventions & labour market policies designed to help compensate those affected in a harmful way + give people/communities the skills and opportunities required to adjust to a fast changing world economy
Impact of globalisation on the UK economy ?
- expanded choice + higher consumer surplus
- effects on retail prices + rate of inflation ➡️ likely to rise due to increased imports/cosumerism?
- UK firms relocating to lower-wage economies ➡️ less available jobs ?
- impact of net inward migration on real wages + on UK govt spending/tax revenues
- impact of inward investment into UK on employment ➡️ more jobs?
- impact on share prices + profits on UK companies ➡️ may decrease as more people importing goods from foreign markets but can also increase
What are external shocks ?
- events that come from outside a domestic economic system ➡️ biggest external shock in recent times was the Global Financial Crisis (GFC) from 2007 onwards
Examples of external shocks ?
- Global Financial Crisis (2007-2009)
- Euro Zone Economic Crisis
- Volatile World Commodity Prices
- Growth slowdowns in emerging nations
- International & Regional Trade & Investment Deals
- Currency volatility and policy changes e.g. devaluation
- Extreme weather events (drought, flooding etc)
- Geo-political uncertainty & risks from terrorism
What is meant by absolute advantage ?
- occurs when a country can supply a product using fewer resources than another nation ➡️ if a country using the same factors of production can produce more of a product, then it has an absolute advantage
What is meant by comparative advantage ?
- an economy’s ability to produce a particular good or service at a lower opportunity cost than its trading partners
When does a comparative advantage occur ?
- the relative opportunity cost of production for a good/service is lower in one nation than another country ➡️ relatively more productively efficient
- basic rule is to specialise your scarce resources in the goods/services that you are relatively best at
- this opens up gains from specialisation + trade ➡️ more efficient allocation of resources
What are the assumptions behind comparative advantage ?
- constant returns to scale: ie. no economies of scale (might amplify the gains from trade)
- perfect factor mobility: between industries (eg. geographical + occupational of labour)
- no trade barriers: eg. tariffs & quotas ➡️ artificially change the prices at which trade occurs
- low transport costs: high logistics costs may erode comparative advantage
- no significant externalities: from production/consumption of the products being traded
Advantages of specialisation and trade ?
- ✅ free trade allows for deeper specialisation & benefits from economies of scale (increasing returns)
- ✅ free trade increases market competition & choice + drives up product quality + innovation
- ✅ increased market contestability reduces prices from consumers ➡️ higher real incomes
- ✅ trade can lead to a better use of scarce resources (eg. from trade in sustainable technologies)
Drawbacks of specialisation and trade ?
- ❌ transport costs e.g. carbon emissions from
increased food miles - ❌ negative externalities from both production & consumption
- ❌ risk of rising structural unemployment as trade patterns change (demand/output/jobs change)
- ❌ inequality ➡️ benefits from globalisation unequally shared
- ❌ pressure on real wages to fall in advanced & emerging countries
- ❌ risks from global shocks eg. the Global Financial Crisis
- ❌ countries that specialise in only a few primary commodities may suffer from the natural resources trap ➡️ may make them poorer than countries less dependent on exporting primary commodities
- ❌ volatile global prices affecting export revenues + profits for producers + tax revenues for govt
What is the geographical pattern of trade ?
- the countries with whom business and people trade
- intra-regional trade is trade between countries in the same region eg. EU, Africa
- inter-regional trade is trade between different regions ie. Europe and N America
What is the gravity theory in trade ?
- 🔔 countries tend to trade most with other nations in closest proximity (neighbouring countries)
- shared borders help to facilitate high levels of trade + labour mobility
- shared language + a single currency cuts the costs of trade contracts + market transactions
- similar consumer preferences encourage firms to compete on the basis of strength of their product brands
- countries at similar stages of development will have over lapping capabilities ➡️ allowing business to trade a range of connected products
What is the geographical pattern of trade for the UK ?
- the EU, is the UK’s largest trading partner ➡️ 2018 46% of all UK exports + 54% of all UK imports
- EU’s share of UK exports has fallen in recent years ➡️ UK’s biggest single trade partner is the US
- China now accounts for over 7% of UK imports (UK’s 4th largest source of imports)
What is the commodity pattern of trade ?
- the type of products that are traded internationally ➡️ a country has a dependance on primary v manufactured v service exports
- many less economically developed countries rely heavily on primary product exports
How does the pattern of trade change as countries move through different stages of development ?
- as a nation develops increasing complexity and more capabilities, then they become capable of supply and then exporting a broader range of products
- often the transition to a different pattern of trade comes from switching from growing and extracting to processing & refining primary products through to final assembly & manufacturing
- patterns of trade also adjust as countries
develop a new comparative advantage in industries such as financial services, transportation & tourism.
What is meant by the trade in goods ?
- goods exported and imported ➡️ incl. tangible manufactured products eg. cars, components for aircrafts, processed food/drink, chemicals, steel etc
- over 70% of merchandise exports globally are manufactured goods
What is meant by the trade in services ?
- heavily traded services incl. transportation (freight & passengers), tourism, health & education services, financial services eg. foreign exchange dealing, business services eg. accountancy, consultancy, marketing
- other services incl. computer & info services, royalties & license fees
- huge growth in international trade in services ➡️ many now export TV series, film rights etc
What factors affect comparative advantage ?
- natural resources: quantity & quality available
- unit wage costs
- demographics: ageing population, net migration, women’s participation in the labour force etc
- rates of new capital investment: incl. infrastructure spending
- non-price factors: eg. product design, innovation, product reliability, branding etc
- import controls: eg. tariffs, export subsidies + quotas ➡️ used to create an artificial comparative advantage
- exchange rate: fluctuations can affect the relative prices of exports/imports
- investment in R&D: can drive business innovation