3.3 Decision Making Techniques Flashcards
Three Kinds of Investment Appraisal
Payback
Average Rate of Return
Net Present Value
Payback =
1) add NCF until you have enough to cover initial costs
2) (amount still needed / NCF for year) x12
Average Rate of Return =
1) add NCF - initial investment
2) figure/ number of years
3) (figure/ initial investment) x100
Net Present Value =
1) multiply NCF by discount rate
2) Add new NCF - initial investment
Moving Averages
Identify trend in data in sales and can predict what might happen in the future
Moving Averages =
1) take first 3 months data and calculate average
2) ingnore first year and do next 3
3) repear
4) add to table next to middle number
5) plot on graph and see correlation
Decision Trees
Show how much profit you are likely to make from different projects
Critical Path Analysis
Shows planned path of a project and how long it will take
Float Time =
lates finish time - duration - earliest start time