3. Social structure and history Flashcards
Causes of transitions to democracy
examples
- Death of a dictator
- losing a war
- revolutions
- international pressure
- economic incentives
causes of stabilisation of a democracy
- new, legitimate institutions
- a better economy
- long periods of peace
- welfare state
3. institutions providing peace 4. happy citizens
Long term causes of democratisation
- Economic development
- Social heterogeneity
- Colonial & authoritarian past
- Geography & resources
Structural, can’t change them
Mid-term causes of democratisation
- Power-sharing vs power-concentrating institutions
- Presidentialism
- Electoral system
- Institutional checks and balances
Institutional choices, can be changed
Short term causes of democratisation
- Political actors: incumbents and opposition
- Media and civil society
- Events: economic crisis, conflict
- International actors
Actor-based
Structural explanations for democratisation
- Structural explanations about structural conditions like your geography/history.
- You could have a lot of ethnic groups or languages, which makes it more difficult to democratise
- Different structural causes determine if it’s easier to democratise or not
Process explanations for democratisation
Process explanations is about how democratisation is a process, which is dependent on actors and institutional factors.
Preconditionalists
- Believe democracy emerges from a particular set of conditions and experiences
- If certain factors are present, successful democratisation is likely, and the other way around.
- Some countries are just not destined to be democracies
being poor, weak state, lots of ethnic groups
Universalists
- Believe democratisation is a process
- It is triggered by many factors
Deterministic view towards democratisation
Certain preconditions are needed
basically precondtionalist
probabilistic view towards democratisation
certain factors could make it more likely to become democratic, but every country can become democratic
basically universalist
Problem with preconditionalist view
- basically dooms countries
- countries without certain preconditions have been able to democratise
for example, economic development first because poor countries can’t democratise: india is poor but democratising.
problem with universalist view
- some countries have had setbacks in democratising
- some countries have very stable autocracies where process hasn’t really happened
- it is important to realise democraisation processes are messy
- we can’t expect countries to quickly democratise, cause neither did we
How do military regimes affect democratisation
- More likely to become democratic after breakdown because they have more of a sense of institutions
- Break down more easily because of discussion within military on where to lead the country –> it’s a team effort
- Military regimes no longer seen as legitimate, after coup d’etats they immediately say it’s for democracy and organise elections
How do single party regimes affect democratisation
- Disagreement is allowed
- Party elites are trained –> after breakdown capable people can take over
- A well organised party can help you represent the interests of the people who supported autocracy, so it can bring them in the new democratic regime