2/3. The Pre-Industrial Economy Flashcards
General picture of the “slow motion” world
- Geographical discoveries led to an early modern globalization closer interaction between Europe and the rest of the world
- The discoveries had distributive effects not all countries benefited the same way
- Economic power shifted from the Mediterranean to the northwest
- European countries that benefited most were England, the Netherlands, northern France
- previously flourishing regions in Europe entered a period of relative decline, stagnation, or even absolute decline: northern Italy; east, central, and northern Europe; Switzerland and south Germany
The rise of the West (linked to slow motion world)
- Middle ages
– Europe was the periphery not the centre
– The dark middle ages witnessed massive loss of human knowledge, not regained until 14th century.
– Science and technology more developed in China, Japan, Arab world
– Most wanted products imported from the East
- Early modern period
– Europe conquers much of the world and makes trade global
– Northwest Europeans most educated and most productive
– England, a medieval backwater, becomes first industrial nation
– Europe conquers much of the world and makes trade global
– Northwest Europeans most educated and most productive
– England, a medieval backwater, becomes first industrial nation
Proximate sources of growth
- Increase in resources
- Population growth, territorial expansion
- Capital formation (physical or human)
- Increase in efficiency
- Better use of existing technologies
- Technical change: new tools and/or know-how
Ultimate sources of growth
– Geography (natural resources, climate, topography)
– Culture (religion, collective attitudes, etc.)
– Institutions (social, political, etc.)
What does modern economic growth mean?
- Wealth of nations
- Has little to do with the distribution of natural resources
- Land abundant economies can be poor
- Resource rich countries often have inefficient institutions
- Capital and technological progress matter more
- Typically the richest countries have the best trained workforce
- They also have more and beSer machines
- Has little to do with the distribution of natural resources
- Growing rich
- Modern economic growth driven by capital accumulation and technological progress
Premodern vs modern growth
- Premodern growth
- Slow accumulation of capital and knowledge
- Piecemeal technical progress with episodes of technological reverse
- Little improvement in productivity or living standards
- Modern economic growth
- High savings => fast accumulation of capital
- Rapid growth in scientific knowledge
- Fast and continuous technological progress
Cities at apex of economic prosperity
- Antwerp (Flanders), enjoyed a period of continental leadership in commerce and trade in the first half of 16th century
- Genoa enjoyed a short‐lived rejuvenation in the second half of the 16th century
- Amsterdam took over as a major international emporium and financial centre from late 16th throughout the 17th century
- Finally, in the 18th century London acquired world economic and financial leadership and retained it until 1914
General pic of pre-industrial economy
- The 15th‐17th centuries do not stand out for technological innovation
- no radical innovations but rather incremental improvements of existing technologies
- The industries most affected by innovation were
- shipbuilding
- arms
- metallurgy
- Agriculture also recorded little productivity increases thanks to minor innovations in techniques and crops and/or marketization, except the vast improvement by British and Dutch in 17th and 18th cent
Malthus’ model
best description of pre‐industrial demographic behaviour
laid out in his Essay on the principle of population (1798)
- He maintained that
- resources – land in the first place – are finite
- as income per capita increases, population grows
- population grows faster than food supplies
- technological change is non‐existent
- Put differently, in Malthus’s model the availability of resources constrains pop growth
- In the long run, pop growth ⟶ lower living standards ⟶ pop growth comes down to zero or turns negative; resource constraint keeps pop at the subsistence level (equilibrium)
- The process was cyclical and there was no escape, hence the Malthusian ‘trap’
If Malthus was right, why do we see pop increase during the pre‐industrial era ?
- Productivity gains arising from technological progress or division of labour
* with higher productivity came greater output, hence more people - Behavioural strategies to reduce fertility (= nr of children per woman)
- less women getting married
- women marrying at an older age
Increased productivity coming w the industrial revolution allowed to break free of the Malthusian trap ‘demographic transition’
Cycles of growth in European demography (4)
In European demography there have been four long cycles of growth and stagnation
- 9th to mid‐14th century
- mid‐15th to 17th century
- mid‐18th to first half of 20th century
- second half of 20th century onwards
General trends in European population from the mid 15th century
- Growth from mid‐15 century to 1600 ca., then stagnation or decline
- Urban pop growing faster than total pop
- result of migrations from rural areas becoming overpopulated
- paradoxically, mortality in cities was way higher than in rural areas due to poor hygiene and low living standards
- Pop growth is higher in areas where economic growth is faster ⟶ in northwest rather than south, central, and east Europe. Same applies to cities.
- Pop density is higher where agricultural productivity is also higher this is because of the resource constraint
- Sometime around mid‐16th century, pop growth ran into the resource constraint which caused increase in food prices ⟶ decline in real wages ⟶ lower living standards ⟶ demographic stagnation
Pre-industrial geographic discoveries causes
- The geographical discoveries of the late 15th and early 16th century were the result of Europe’s technological superiority in
- shipbuilding
- guns
- Ships and cannons
- allowed conquest and international trade to develop fast
- helped Europe to overtake China
- triggered a huge inflow of wealth (silver) to Europe
Early empires and geographical discoveries
- Portugal and Spain first exploited the opportunities of the new sea routes and created vast empires
- The imperial policy of the two countries differed substantially
- The Portuguese
- basically founded trade outposts along the main sea routes to Asia aiming to secure control of the spice trade
- they were not able to effectively colonise most Indian and African areas
- TheSpanish
- settled the Americas, exported crops, techniques, equipment, institutions
- by the end of the 16th century, they effectively ruled over vast regions of South, Central, and southern North America
International trade as a consequence of geographical discovery
- The discoveries of the late 15th‐early 16th centuries laid the ground for a remarkable increase in
- trade volume
- the variety of exchanged goods
- A good reason for such increase is that entirely new goods now entered international trade Columbian exchange
- spices, dyestuffs, coffee and cocoa, tea, sugar, cotton, tobacco, porcelain, and a variety of foodstuffs…
- gold and silver