1.6.4 Business Survival and cash flow Flashcards
why would a business struggle in the short term even if the long term is profitable
- Many businesses face cash flow problems and need to find some additional finance from time to time → profit is a long term prospect
- When upfront costs of a new business must be paid before sales can take place (outflows are bigger than inflows) , significant working capital will be required → cash can be a short term problem even when long term prospects are good
- If profits do not come in the long run, no sane lender would supply more working capital
difference between cash fand profit
Cash is the money available to help the business cover costs. Profit is the difference between sales revenue and total costs .
what is a cash flow forecast
why are they used
- Predicts the net cash flow of the business over a future period
- Result is an estimate of the bank balance at the end of each period covered
Businesses use them to
- Identify potential shortfalls in cash balances (if a negative cash balance is predicted then the business needs to ensure it has a sufficient overdraft)
- See whether the trading performance of the business (revenues, costs and profits) turn into cash
- Analyse whether the business is achieving the financial objectives set out in the business plan (will almost certainly include some cash flow budget)
why are cash flow F needed
Cash flows are needed when:
- to predict the timing and significance of any potential shortfalls
- To identify possible corrective action
- To help secure finance from potential investors or the bank
- To give confidence about short term survival
- To provide a guide against which to measure actual cash flow
importance of cash flow forecasts
- Cash flow is the lifeblood of a business - particularly startups and small enterprises
- When inflow lags behind outflow, cash dries up and investors demand payment and bills need to be paid → cash flow is crucial for staying in business
- Identifies potential shortfalls in cash balances in advance → early warning system
- Makes sure the business can afford to pay suppliers and employees (strikes, loss of business etc) by seeing if the CF will be positive or negative
- Spot problems with customer payments → which customers pay their debts on time
- As an important discipline of financial planning → important in the management process (business budgets)
- External stakeholders such as banks may require a regular focast like a cash FF → if the business has a bank loan they will want to look at CFF at reg intervals
factors affecting cash flow
- Transaction types → sales, purchases, payment terms
- Timings of cash flows → seasonal sales, timing of payments
- Nature of business → start up and capital costs, time taken from input to output, stock holdings
cash flow problems
- Businesses need to have sufficient cash to meet day to day finances (buying stock, paying wages, utility bills)
- Insufficient liquid cash funds may mean an inability to meet short term debts (bank overdrafts, payables)
- Limited cash may lead to missed opportunities
- Is the cash flow problem short or long term
how to improve CFF
- Increasing the volume of the inflow of cash
- Reducing the volume of the outflow of cash
- Slowing down the timing of the outflow of cash
- Speeding up the timing of the inflow of cash
Use of a cash-flow forecast to identify credit requirements and minimise risk
- By monitoring the closing balance, the business can see how much cash they have at the bank on a monthly basis
- If the closing balance is negative, it is prompt to seek extra finance (overdraft or loan)
- An overdraft allows a business to spend more thna it has in its account up to an agreed limit (flexible, suited to CF problems)
- Loans have a lower interest rate and a fixed amount → for when the business has insufficient working capital
- If cash flow problems can be foreseen it may be possible to plan ahead and reduce the payments going out, or delaying payments
- Items such as advertising can be postponed
- May be possible to persuade debtors to pay up early to increase cash coming in