12. Demographic Transition Flashcards
Malthus and other classical economic thinkers wrote at the start of the nineteenth century, when accelerating ____ and ____ growth were raising demands for food faster than English agriculture could respond.
population and industrial
Thomas ____ (1766-1834) Essay on Population, first published in 1798.
Malthus
Their argument was that limited productive land as well as limits of the supply of capital and labor would determine how many ____ could be supported by a nation.
people
Malthus turned these arguments upside down. He argued that since “sexual passion was a constant” human population would increase ____ (in his words. “geometrically”), while the supply of land, food, and material resources would increase arithmetically.
exponentially
Thus, instead of limited natural resources (land) and labor causing limits to population growth, Malthus believed that population growth caused resources to be overused and the market value of labor to decline. ____ ____ rather than lack of resources and labor produced poverty and human misery.
Population growth
Malthus argued that this cycle was a “____ ___” of population: Each increase in the food supply only meant that eventually more people could live in poverty.
natural law
Malthus was aware that starvation rarely operates directly to kill people, and he thought that war, disease, and poverty were ____ ____ on population growth.
positive checks
Although he held out the possibility of deliberate population controls (____ checks) on population growth, he was not very optimistic about their effectiveness.
preventative
Malthus argued that poverty is an eventual ____ of population growth. Such poverty, he argued, is a stimulus that could lift people out of misery if they tried to do something about it.
consequence
So, he argued, if people remain poor, it is their own ____. He opposed the English Poor Laws (that provided benefits to the poor) because he felt t would actually serve to perpetuate misery by enabling poor people to be supported by others.
fault
One of the most universally observed but still not clearly explained patterns of population growth is termed the ____ ____.
demographic transition
This model of population change has three stages: (1) ____ social organization where mortality and fertility are relatively high; (2) ____ social organization, where mortal ity declines, fertility remains high, and population shows a high rate of natural increase and (3) ____ social organization, where mortality and fertility stabilize at relatively low levels, and near stationary population is possible.
primitive, transitional, modern
_____ transition refers to changes in birth or death rates and the impact on the size and nature of a population. It has four phases.
Demographic
In phase 1. ____ cultures have both high birth and high death rates. During this phase, the population size does not increase very fast at all.
pre-industrial
Phase 2 is called the ‘____ ____’. Death rates drop due to the improved health of the population, including that of infants. The end of phase 2 and the beginning of phase 3 have the highest net growth rates (that is, birth-death rates).
mortality transition