02 Basics of Statistics 2 Flashcards
How do you test hypotheses?
build statistical models of the phenomenon of interest
simplest statistical model
mean
How do statistical models allow you to gain confidence in the alternative hypothesis?
- fits the data well
- explains a lot of variation in the scores
Most models are:
linear - based on a straight line
Types of fits for statistical models
- good fit
- moderate fit
- poor fit
interferential statistics
determines whether the alternative hypothesis is likely to be true
p-values
probability that the result is a chance finding
common threshold for confidence
95% confident that the result is genuine and not due to chance
What p-value is statistically significant?
P less than 0.05
easiest way to assess statistical models
look at the difference between the data observed and the model fitted
measures of how well the model fits the actual data
- deviance
- sum of squared erros (SS)
- variance
- standard deviation
deviance
difference between the observed data and the model of the mean
deviance =
observed score = mean value (x-bar)
disadvantages to using deviance
- some values are negative and some positive
- can cancel themselves out
sum of squared errors (SS)
square the difference between observed score and mean value
disadvantage of using SS
SS value is dependent on the amount of data collected
With more data point, SS value is
higher
variance (s2)
average error between the mean and observed scores
variance equation
SS/(n-1)
What does variance build upon?
- SS value
- takes amount of collected data into account
standard deviation (s)
square root of variance
benefit to using standard deviation
ensures that measure of average error is in the same units as the original measure
standard deviation equation
√(SS/(n-1))
What does a small s indicate?
- data points are close to the mean
- the model is a good fit
What does a large s indicate?
the mean is not an accurate representation of the data
Standard deviation provides information about
how well the mean represents the sample data