What is data Flashcards
What is a heuristic
A mental shortcut to draw a conclusion that reduces effort and simplifies a complex or difficult problem. They are normally a rule-of-thumb method that is not optimal but good enough sometimes. Lead to cognitive biases.
What is statistical thinking
Statistical thinking provides us with the tools to more accurately understand the world and overcome the biases of human judgment such as availability heuristics.
What can do statistics do for us?
Describe phenomena in a simplified way that’s easy to understand.
Decide on what to do based on data, especially in uncertainty. Determine how much results from chance.
Predict new situations based on data from previous situations.
Learning from data
Previous research>
form hypothesis>
does the data support the hypothesis
Data can be used to update beliefs and prior knowledge.
Aggregation
Presents raw data into simple and easy to read format (e.g. Graph).
Uncertainty
Estimates drawn from tests and data. Can never prove a hypothesis though.
Sampling from a population
Samples must be representative of the population. Larger samples are generally more precise.
Causality and statistics
Proceed with caution if you are inferring causation. You typically need an experimental design. Even then, be cautious. If you are observing, try to use terms such as association and relationship. Correlation does not necessarily mean causation.
Generalisability
If research results from the sample can be applied to the entire population of interest and across time. Findings must be valid. External validity.
Randomised controlled trial
Sample a treatment/experimental group (experience a treatment/independent variable) and a control group (experience no treatment/independent variable). Individuals must be assigned randomly otherwise they may differ from each other in terms of attitudes and other factors.
Randomising a sample provides some confidence that no factors will confound the treatment effect. Researchers often try to address these confounds using statistical analyses but controlling for thesecan be very difficult.
Quantitative data
Data measured with a numerical value.
Qualitative data
Data measured with no numerical value. Descriptive.
Binary numbers
Zeros or ones to represent true or false (logical values), or present or absent. Discrete.
Integers
Whole numbers with no fractional or decimal part. Discrete.
Real numbers
Numbers with fractions or decimal parts. Continuous.
Discrete measurement
Takes on one of a finite set of values. It may be qualitative or quantitative. There are no decimal or fractional values.