Future of research Flashcards

1
Q

Thinking like a psychological scientist

A
  • Use a critical thinking approach
  • No to taking things at face value.
  • Yes to questioning the validity, authenticity and truth of a report.
  • Sources of knowledge
  • No to superstition and intuition.
  • Yes to rationalism (logical reasoning) and empiricism (via observations). That is how
    you will gain psychological scientific knowledge.
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2
Q

Science never proves anything

A
  • When scientists test their hypotheses, they are not
    trying to prove them true. We try to find evidence for
    or against a hypothesis. We are always trying to
    disprove our hypothesis, it must be falsifiable.
  • We are seeking the truth, finding evidence, obtaining
    support. Not trying to prove a hypothesis or theory
    true.
  • We need to try and falsify the hypothesis/rule. If we cannot falsify it, then we
    can support our hypothesis/rule.
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3
Q

Cautious when interpreting results

A
  • But even when we falsify/do not support our
    hypothesis, if doesn’t mean that the hypothesis is
    false.
  • We always need to be cautions in our interpretation.
  • Perhaps there were confounding factors, issues with
    our sampling strategy or design, etc.
  • We don’t discount or advocate for
    hypotheses/theories on single studies, hopefully…
  • Continually seek evidence.
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4
Q

Thinking like a psychological scientist

A
  • Always keen in mind variability.
  • There’s a distribution behind all averages.
    There is always uncertainty around our
    estimates.
  • Variability is sometimes difficult to
    communicate with the general public, but it’s
    very important.
  • Risk is not destiny.
  • Mind the “gaps”.
  • Always keep in mind effect size (versus
    statistical significance).
  • Just because something is statistically
    significant, does not mean it is meaningful.
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5
Q

Mind the “gaps”.

A
  • We often want to dichotomise (rich v poor) and that leads us to claiming about dichotomous differences. Rarely do these
    dichotomous differences exist (even if the differences between them is huge); the majority usually live in between.
  • Don’t forget about important patterns of effects that will influence your
    interpretation.
  • Multiple comparisons (increases Type 1 error rate).
  • Regression to the mean. Extreme values will be closer to the mean on the
    next observation (i.e. not as extreme).
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6
Q

UK postcodes

A
  • Cognitive psychologists from Cambridge University
    (Conrad, Baddley, et al.) were asked to design the
    UK postcode system in the late 1950s. Had to:
  • Memorable.
  • Sort to street level.
  • They designed a system of alphanumeric codes
    generally consisting of 6 or 7 letter-number
    combinations, separated by a space. The first half of
    the code (the outward code) includes letters that
    denote the town or city (although there are
    exceptions) and a number that narrows the location
    to a specific area.
  • Took into account working memory constraints (not
    more than 7 or 8 items); “digit span”.
  • Took into account that letters+numbers easier to
    remember than numbers only. Letters+numbers
    enabled a larger number of permutations than
    numbers only.
  • They put letters representing region first, as it’s
    easier to remember (you presumably remember your
    region). Because less error prone, if you make a
    mistake in subsequent digits, it’ll at least get to the
    right area.
  • Second section relates to street (number then two
    letters), with the thought to create a rhythm.

CB3 9HD

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7
Q

The dress

A
  • Broke the internet in 2015!
  • Colour judgments under ambiguous
    circumstances.
  • Has led to dozens of psychological
    perception studies.
  • Individual differences underly
    perception.
  • Previous experience (guess as to what light
    was above the dress, blue or yellow).
  • Beliefs about the correct answer.
  • Optimism.
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8
Q

The “natural” experiment

A
  • Sometimes, things systematically
    change without being conceptualised as
    an experiment.
  • Natural experiments arise when
    comparable individuals or groups of
    people are sorted by “nature” into
    something like a control and treatment
    group.
  • Reduction in air pollution over 2008
    Beijing Olympics, led to an increase in
    baby weight (23g), as compared to
    same period in 2007 and 2009.
  • Air pollution appears to influence foetal
    development.
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9
Q

The Little Albert Experiment, 1920

A

A John’s Hopkins University professor, Dr. John B. Watson, and a graduate student wanted to test a learning process called classical conditioning.

A nine-month-old toddler, dubbed “Albert B,” was volunteered for Dr. Watson and Rosalie Rayner‘s experiment. Albert played with white furry objects, and at first, the toddler displayed joy and affection. Over time, as he played with the objects, Dr. Watson would make a loud noise behind the child’s head to frighten him. After numerous trials, Albert was conditioned to be afraid when he saw white furry objects.

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10
Q

Stanford Prison Experiment, 1971

A

Stanford professor Philip Zimbardo wanted to learn how individuals conformed to societal roles. He wondered, for example, whether the tense relationship between prison guards and inmates in jails had more to do with the personalities of each or the environment.

During Zimbardo’s experiment, 24 male college students were assigned to be either a prisoner or a guard. The prisoners were held in a makeshift prison inside the basement of Stanford’s psychology department. They went through a standard booking process designed to take away their individuality and make them feel anonymous. Guards were given eight-hour shifts and tasked to treat the prisoners just like they would in real life.

Zimbardo found rather quickly that both the guards and prisoners fully adapted to their roles; in fact, he had to shut down the experiment after six days because it became too dangerous. Zimbardo even admitted he began thinking of himself as a police superintendent rather than a psychologist. The study confirmed that people will conform to the social roles they’re expected to play, especially overly stereotyped ones such as prison guards.

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11
Q

The Asch Conformity Study, 1951

A

Solomon Asch, a Polish-American social psychologist, was determined to see whether an individual would conform to a group’s decision, even if the individual knew it was incorrect.

In his experiment, Asch selected 50 male college students to participate in a “vision test.” Individuals would have to determine which line on a card was longer. However, the individuals at the center of the experiment did not know that the other people taking the test were actors following scripts, and at times selected the wrong answer on purpose. Asch found that, on average over 12 trials, nearly one-third of the naive participants conformed with the incorrect majority, and only 25 percent never conformed to the incorrect majority. In the control group that featured only the participants and no actors, less than one percent of participants ever chose the wrong answer.

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12
Q

The Bobo Doll Experiment, 1961, 1963

A

Stanford University professor Albert Bandura wanted to put the social learning theory into action.

Bandura and two colleagues selected 36 boys and 36 girls between the ages of 3 and 6 from the Stanford University nursery and split them into three groups of 24. One group watched adults behaving aggressively toward the Bobo doll. In some cases, the adult subjects hit the doll with a hammer or threw it in the air. Another group was shown an adult playing with the Bobo doll in a non-aggressive manner, and the last group was not shown a model at all, just the Bobo doll.

After each session, children were taken to a room with toys and studied to see how their play patterns changed. In a room with aggressive toys (a mallet, dart guns, and a Bobo doll) and non-aggressive toys (a tea set, crayons, and plastic farm animals), Bandura and his colleagues observed that children who watched the aggressive adults were more likely to imitate the aggressive responses.

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13
Q

The Learned Helplessness Experiment, 1965

A

Martin Seligman wanted to research a different angle related to Dr. Watson’s study of classical conditioning. In studying conditioning with dogs, Seligman made an astute observation: the subjects, which had already been conditioned to expect a light electric shock if they heard a bell, would sometimes give up after another negative outcome, rather than searching for the positive outcome.

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14
Q

The Milgram Experiment, 1963

A

In the wake of the horrific atrocities carried out by Nazi Germany during World War II, Stanley Milgram wanted to test the levels of obedience to authority. The Yale University professor wanted to study if people would obey commands, even when it conflicted with the person’s conscience.

Participants of the condensed study, 40 males between the ages of 20 and 50, were split into learners and teachers. Though it seemed random, actors were always chosen as the learners, and unsuspecting participants were always the teachers. A learner was strapped to a chair with electrodes in one room while the experimenter äóñ another actor äóñ and a teacher went into another.

The teacher and learner went over a list of word pairs that the learner was told to memorize. When the learner incorrectly paired a set of words together, the teacher would shock the learner. The teacher believed the shocks ranged from mild all the way to life-threatening. In reality, the learner, who intentionally made mistakes, was not being shocked.

As the voltage of the shocks increased and the teachers became aware of the believed pain caused by them, some refused to continue the experiment. After prodding by the experimenter, 65 percent resumed. From the study, Milgram devised the agency theory, which suggests that people allow others to direct their actions because they believe the authority figure is qualified and will accept responsibility for the outcomes. Milgram’s findings help explain how people can make decisions against their own conscience, such as when participating in a war or genocide.

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15
Q

The Halo Effect Experiment, 1977

A

University of Michigan professors Richard Nisbett and Timothy Wilson were interested in following up a study from 50 years earlier on a concept known as the halo effect. In the 1920s, American psychologist Edward Thorndike researched a phenomenon in the U.S. military that showed cognitive bias.

In 1977, Nisbett and Wilson tested the halo effect using 118 college students (62 males, 56 females). Students were divided into two groups and were asked to evaluate a male Belgian teacher who spoke English with a heavy accent. Participants were shown one of two videotaped interviews with the teacher on a television monitor. The first interview showed the teacher interacting cordially with students, and the second interview showed the teacher behaving inhospitably. The subjects were then asked to rate the teacher’s physical appearance, mannerisms, and accent on an eight-point scale from appealing to irritating.

Nisbett and Wilson found that on physical appearance alone, 70 percent of the subjects rated the teacher as appealing when he was being respectful and irritating when he was cold. When the teacher was rude, 80 percent of the subjects rated his accent as irritating, as compared to nearly 50 percent when he was being kind.

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16
Q

WEIRD problem

A

Western, Educated, Industrial, Rich, and Democratic (WEIRD).

Only about 12 percent of population is represented. Majority of psychological research in the past has ignored race. Most studies are US college students and white.

17
Q

Strack, Martin, and Stepper (1988) experiment

A

In line with the facial feedback hypothesis, when participants held the pen with their teeth (inducing a ‘smile’), they rated the cartoons as funnier than when they held the pen with their lips (inducing a ‘pout’).

According to the facial feedback hypothesis, people’s affective responses can be influenced by their own facial expression (e.g., smiling, pouting), even when their expression did not result from their emotional experiences.

Later shown to not be true.

18
Q

Dunning-Kruger effect

A

The Dunning-Kruger effect was originally described in 1999 as the observation that people who are bad at a particular task think they are much better than they are, while people who are very good at it tend to underestimate their competence.

The Dunning-Kruger effect also emerges from data in which it shouldn’t.

For instance, if you carefully craft random data so that they do not contain a Dunning-Kruger effect, you will still find the effect.

The reason turns out to be embarrassingly simple: the Dunning-Kruger effect very likely has nothing to do with human psychology.

It is a statistical artifact — a stunning example of autocorrelation. Autocorrelation occurs when you correlate a variable with itself.

No correlation is found when replicated with independently measured variables. There is less spread in self-assessment error for professors though.

19
Q

Autocorrelation

A

defined the variable z to be the sum of x + y. As a result, when we correlate z with x, we are actually correlating x with itself. (The variable y comes along for the ride, providing statistical noise.) That’s how autocorrelation happens — forgetting that you’ve got the same variable on both sides of a correlation.

The problem with the Dunning-Kruger chart is that it violates a fundamental principle in statistics. If you’re going to correlate two sets of data, they must be measured independently. In the Dunning-Kruger chart, this principle gets violated. The chart mixes test score into both axes, giving rise to autocorrelation.

20
Q
A