Week7 Flashcards
What are the main aims of studying probability in experimental research?
To understand probability’s role, learn its formal definition, grasp basic rules, explore conditional probability and independence, and introduce probability densities and distributions.
Why is probability important in experimental research?
Probability helps measure randomness in relation to systematic, predictable outcomes in experiments.
What is logical probability?
It’s probability defined by the structure of a question, such as the probability of a coin toss landing heads.
What is empirical probability?
Probability based on observed or historical data, like the probability of rain or risk of disease.
How do we interpret a probability of 0.5?
It means that, over many trials, the event is expected to occur about half the time.
What is the frequentist interpretation of probability?
It sees probability as the expected frequency of an event over repeated trials.
What are the basic rules of probability?
The total probability rule, complement rule, addition rule, and multiplication rule.
What is the total probability rule?
The probability of all possible outcomes in an experiment sums to 1.
What is the complement rule in probability?
If
p is the probability of an event, the probability of it not occurring is
1−p.
What is the addition rule in probability?
For two events A and B, P(A or B)= P(A)+P(B) - P(A and B)
What is conditional probability?
The probability of event A occurring given that event B has occurred.
How is conditional probability calculated?
P(A|B) = P(A and B)/ P(B)
What are independent events?
Events where the occurrence of one does not affect the probability of the other.
How is joint probability calculated for independent events?
P(A and B) = P(A) x P(B)
What is a probability distribution?
A model that shows the probabilities of different outcomes in an experiment.