Week three - the economic and monetary union Flashcards
what are the two methods to monetary integration
- fixing the exchange rate and strong cooperation between national central banks
- introduction of a common currency under a common central bank
what does the economic and montary union in the EU consist of
- single monetary policy
- single currency (euro)
- close coordination of economic and fiscal policies
pros and cons of flexible (floating) exchange rate
- allows for an independent monetary policy
- protection of domestic economy from external shocks
- provides automatic solution to external deficit
BUT - created instability and uncertainty
- encourages speculative activities
- may be inflationary
pros and cons of fixed exchange rates
- promotes international trade and investment
- diminishes speculation
BUT - inherently unstable
- affects internal policy
- requires large holdings of foreign exchange reserves
- doesn’t allow for automatic balance of payments imbalances
how can inflation and unemployment spread from devaluation of currency
- imports become expensive
- companies may see their costs rising and may have to shift such rise to prices
- workers see their standard of living fall and demand higher salaries
- if salaries grow more than productivity, this may lead to unemployment
economic benefits of a currency area
- transaction costs diminish
- prices become comparable across countries (more competition)
- uncertainty of ER diminishes
- increase in trade
- increase in growth rate
- improved discipline and credibility of monetary policy both in the short and long-run
economic costs of a monetary union
- asymmetric shocks increase macroeconomic instability
- monetary policy loses autonomy (unless business cycles are synchronised and reactions to external shocks are similar/countries have similar tolerance towards inflation)
what is the optimal currency area theory
it considers the costs and benefits of a monetary union to determine if a number of countries is well-suited to share currency
what does an optimal currency area imply
total rigidity of exchange rates inside and full flexibility outside
why are countries better suited to share their currency
- less costly
- more beenficial
when can countires exploit the benefits of sharing a currency
- when the countries are open to trade and trade heavily with each other
- have production and exports widely diversified and of similar structure
- have similar inflationary path and high degree of real convergence and coordinated economic policy
- high degree of financial integration and free movement of capital
- have labour mobility and wage flexibility
- agree to compensate each other for adverse shocks (sharing a system of fiscal transfers)
- share a consensus on how to deal with shocks
regarding the EMU, when faced with asymmetric shocks, what factors are missing to fulfill the criteria
- flexibility in the labour market (wage and mobility)
- a system of fiscal transfers
- some heterogeneity among national preferences regarding economic policy
- solidarity
- leading to an uncertain result
what are the main reasons that prompted the creation of the EMU
- political
- economic: avoid the coexistence of four incompatible elements: full goods and services mobility, full capital mobility, fixed exchange rates, autonomous monetary policies
when was the first attempt to make the EMU
1970 - Werner report - failed
when was the EMU created and what exchange rate system did they use
1979, fixed but adjustable exchange rates
what is the delors report
it laid out the stages to create the EMU (1989)
what did the Maastricht treaty determine (1992)
the common currency should be created by 1999
what were the five entry conditions for the Maastricht treaty
convergence criteria:
- inflation (below a cieling)
- long-term nominal interest rates (ceiling and stable)
- stable exchange rates
- limited budget deficit (3% of GDP)
- limited public debt (60% GDP)
what is the stability and growth pact
1997: set conditions on the evolution of budget deficit (after entry) and procedures in case of failure
when was the ECB created
in 1998 (ecofin determined which countries filled the convergence criteria)
when were exchnage rates irrevocably frozen
1999 - national currencies ceased trading in foreign exchange markets, monetary policy was also transferred to the ECB
when were euro banknotes and coins introduced
2002
what is the european system of central banks composed of
- ECB
- NCBs (national central banks of all members)
what does the eurosystem composed of
- ECB
- NCBs of countries which have joined the monetary union
what body implements the monetary policy in the eurozone
eurosystem
characteristics of the ECB
- independent of political authorities
- high concentration of competency
exclusive powers of the eurosystem
- implements monetary policy in the eurozone
- holds and manages the eurozone official foreign-currency reserves
- authorises central banks in eurozone countries to issue euro banknotes