Week 8 - Inferential Stat Methods Flashcards
what is inferential stats?
- based on the laws of probability
- requires a random sample for best representativeness (gold standard is probability sampling, but is often widely violated, i.e. need something like NHANES or large funds)
- cause/effect
- compares groups
- determines relationships among variables, etc.
t/f - Even if it’s a random sample, it’s rarely identical to the real population
true
what is sampling error?
tendency for statistics to fluctuate from one sample to another; the challenge is how to decide whether estimates are good population parameters?
what is sampling distribution of the mean?
a theoretical distribution of a test statistic (i.e., mean) from an infinite number of samples as data points.
what is a standard error of the mean (SEM)?
standard deviation (SD) of a sampling distribution of the mean (i.e. estimated from the sample’s SD and the sample size)
what happens in a normally distributed population…
- 68 out of 100 of any randomly drawn sample means lies between +1 SD and -1 SD of the population mean.
- Larger sample size ► we can increase the accuracy of our mean estimate
what are the two forms of statistical inference?
- estimation of parameters (not as common in nursing research)
- statistical hypothesis testing
what is an example of estimation of parameters (trying to estimate for the entire population)?
- NCLEX pass rate for all individuals taking exam within a set time window
- States w/laws requiring employers to offer paid sick leave for FT and PT staff nurses: Gaps in the Emergency Paid Sick Leave Law for Health Care Workers | KFF
what is an example of hypothesis testing (for a particular sample or group)?
- Impact of investigational drug compared to placebo on BP
- Impact of nursing intervention to prevent burnout and turnover
what are the two forms of parameter estimation?
- point estimation
- interval estimation
what is point estimate (as a form of parameter estimation)?
calculating a single statistic (i.e. sample mean) to estimate the population parameter (i.e. population mean)
what is interval estimation (as a form of parameter estimation)?
calculating a range of values the parameter (i.e. population mean) has a specified probability of being located
what is the confidence interval?
95-99%
what is confidence limits (CL)?
the range of values for the population and the probability of being right with a certain degree of confidence (i.e. 95% or 99%).
what are things to keep in mind about binomial distribution?
- CIs are rarely symmetric like this picture
- Width of CIs depends on sample size and proportion values
- CIs for proportion values never extend <0 to >1, but can be constructed around proportions of 0 or 1
what are the typical CI proportions constructed on a binomial distribution?
ARR = absolute risk reduction RRR= relative risk reduction OR = odds ratio NNT = number needed to treat
what is hypothesis testing?
-Objective criteria for deciding if hypotheses are supported by data
-Based on rules of negative inference: Research hypotheses are supported if null hypotheses (H0) can be rejected
-Researchers want to accept or reject H0
H0 = there are no mean differences between groups
HA= there are mean differences between groups
-Uses statistical decision-making to either reject or accept H0
what is the simplest way to decrease type ll error?
increase the sample size
t/f - making decisions to decrease type l error decreases the risk of type ll error
false - making decisions to decrease type l error increases the risk of type ll error
what is type l error?
- the H0 is rejected when it should not be (false positive)
- Risk of Type I Error is controlled by significance (α or p-value) of 0.05 or 0.01
what is type ll error?
- accepting the H0 when it should be rejected (false negative)
- Risk of Type II Error is controlled by setting power (1-β) at 80%