week 4 Flashcards
Why do people trade?
o Trading is a zero-sum game o Returns is positive for winners o Negative for losers o Suggests Some trade for profit Other reasons (utilitarian) Trade to make profits but fail (futile)
Utilitarian traders / Liquidity traders
o Trade because they expect to obtain some benefit from trading besides trading profit o Investment and disinvestment Individuals often need to manage their cash flow, moving from one point in time to another Investors are uninformed traders who use the markets to obtain an unconditional rate of return • Real risk free + risk premium o Risk sharing o Asset exchanges Exchange one type of asset for another • E.g. foreign currency exchange • Spot commodities o Risk exchanging Hedging Reduce their exposure to financial risk Two risks offsetting each other o Gambling o Tax Reasons
What do utilitarian traders look for in market structure?
o Liquid markets -> low transaction costs
o Can implement their strategy
Why do people trade? Speculators
o Speculators are informed traders who expect a conditional return
o Collect, analyse and produce information that is then used to predict future
o Speculators are rational, gamblers are not
o Speculators should be compensated for the time / resources they have used
Parasitic traders
o Benefit from other people’s trades
o Information is based on public information -> predict incoming trades
o Act on information about other traders’ orders
o Create information to fool others
o Squeezers monopolise one side of a market
More common buying up the supply thus controlling subsequent sale prices
Most common in commodity markets
Dealers
o Profit motivated
o Supply liquidity to other traders who want to trade
o Immediacy is valuable to impatient traders
o Often are known as specialists or market makers in stock exchanges and options exchanges
o Make money by / who supply liquidity
Futile Traders
o Noise traders
o Trade on what they falsely believe to be special information / misinterpret
Informed traders
o Fundamental value of a security expected NPV
o Value agreed upon -> a speculated value
o Undervalued -> buy
o Overvalued to profit when the price reverts to their estimate of the fundamental value -> sell
Informed trading strategies
o Profit motivates informed traders and NOT a desire to make prices more informative
o They try to minimize their price impact -> maximise profits
Trade aggressively to utilise the informational advantage
Trade slowly if they know the information not become public knowledge
Informational efficiency and prices
o Price incorporates information
Based on trading; to realize profits -> information must be made public
o Degree to which market prices correctly and quickly reflect information depends on trading behaviour
Actions of informed traders cause the markets to have informative prices
o Milgrom and Stokey -> no trade theorem
Noise traders are necessary
A market microstructure definition of market efficiency
o Prices are efficient with respect to a set of information if traders cannot profit from acquiring the information and trading on it
o At the equilibrium: cost of acquiring and trading on info = revenue from info