Week 3 Flashcards
The Two Systems: Thinking Fast and Slow
What are heuristics?
Mental shortcuts people use to make decisions quickly and efficiently
- It can lead to suboptimal choices when judged by idealized standards of rationality
Tversky and Kahneman say that there are 2 interacting systems in cognition - what are they
System 1 - Intuitive system - fast/automatic
System 2 - Conscious reasoning - slow, improved by learning
Name an example of both systems
System 1 - Crossing a road
System 2 - Taking derivatives
Iyengar and Lepper (2000) - Jam experiment
Consumers initially exposed to limited choices proved considerably more likely to buy the product than consumers who had initially encountered a much larger set of options
Choice overload
- Large choice sets are ‘demotivating’
- No obvious dominant option
- Complicated alternatives - thus ‘opt out’ of making a choice altogether
Tversky and Shafir (1992)
- Filled out a questionnaire - paid $1.50 in either money or a pen
- More people initially chose the pen
- But when introducing different coloured pens, more people chose money
Vohs et al (2008) - Ice water test
- Making many decisions impairs subsequent self-regulation
- Consistent with the hypothesis that both choosing and self-control depend on a common but limited resource
Frederick (2005) - Cognitive reflection test
Designed to measure the tendency to override a dominant response alternative that’s incorrect and to engage in further reflection that leads to the correct response
- Many people show a characteristic, common to many reasoning errors:
- Give the first response that comes to mind without thinking further and realizing this can’t be right
Biases definition
Describes our tendency to think in certain ways
What are the 3 heuristics
- Availability (when an unlikely event comes to mind, we overestimate its occurrence - like winning the lottery)
- Representativeness (estimating the likelihood of an event by comparing it to an existing prototype)
- Anchoring and adjustment (used when people have to estimate a number)
2 reasons why people have difficulties in understanding probabilistic processes
- Biased media coverage
- Misleading personal experiences