Water Conservation Practitioner III Flashcards
What influence demand forcast?
Population
Weather
Program Saturation
What does the Certification Grade III cover?
- Integrated Planning - a broader perspective
- Program Design
- Program Monitoring
- Program Evaluation
- Program Cost-Effectiveness
- Rate design
- Drought Planning and Management
WUE Grade 3: Need Need-To -Know Criteria
- Program Design
WUE Grade 3: Need Need-To -Know Criteria
- Program Monitoring
WUE Grade 3: Need Need-To -Know Criteria
- Program Cost-Effectiveness Analysis/Issues
/
WUE Grade 3: Need Need-To -Know Criteria
- Program Design
Water Planning in California - years
Since 1993 UWMP
Since 2002 IWRMP: integrated Water Resource Management Plan
Since 2014: Groundwater Sustainability Plan
What does water planning look like in California?
Integrated Resource Planning parts
- Integrated Resource Planning – For Your Agency
- Analyzing Water Supply Reliability
- Comparing Total Cost of All Supply Options
- Include Water Use Efficiency In Water Portfolios
What are the general categories of Integrated Resource Planning?
- • Integrated Resource Planning – For Your Agency
- • Analyzing Water Supply Reliability
- • Comparing Total Cost of All Supply Options
- • Include Water Use Efficiency In Water Portfolios
What does Analyzing Water Supply Reliability look like?
Analyzing Water Supply Reliability
–Current and future water supply reliability
–Normal, Dry and Critical Dry Year reliability
–Impacts from different Water Use Efficiency scenarios
–Timing of future reliability investments
How do you compare Total Cost of All Supply Options
–Water use: annual, seasonal, monthly and daily by sector
–Saturation of conservation measures during planning period
–Capital and operation costs, comparison tools
Comparing Total Cost of All Supply Options
Include Water Use Efficiency In Water Portfolios
–Assess other water agency programs
–Consider CUWCC Best Management Practices
–Address local water use targets
Include Water Use Efficiency In Water Portfolios
– Assess other water agency programs
– Consider CUWCC Best Management Practices
– Address local water use targets
Water Policy Coordination
California: [Plans updated every five years]
State Water Plan (with water portfolios) Integrated Regional Water Management Plans Groundwater Sustainability Plans
GSPs
Urban Water Management Plans
Water Loss Control (DWR/SWRCB)
Drinking Water Compliance
Groundwater Cleanup
State Water Plan – 2018 Update
Managing Water Resources For Sustainability
The California Water Plan (Water Plan) is the State’s strategic plan for sustainably managing and developing water resources for current and future generations
Required by California Water Code Section 10005(a), plan presents status and trends of state’s water-dependent natural resources; water uses and supplies; and future agricultural, urban, and environmental water demands and supplies for a range of plausible climate and socio-economic scenarios.
Statewide Applied Water Use - how water was used … in millions of acre-feet
Statewide Dedicated and Developed Water Supply - where it came from … in millions of acre-feet
M50 Definition
A comprehensive long range resource management approach that considers least cost analyzes of demand and supply side management options, stakeholder input, and water resource alternatives that address utility, environmental and societal costs and benefits.
IRP: AWWARF Definition
IRP is a continuous process that results in the development of a comprehensive water resource management plan.
IRP: California DWR Definition
a comprehensive plan for a defined geographic area, the specific development, content, and adoption of which shall satisfy requirements developed pursuant to this part. At a minimum, an Integrated Regional Water Management Plan describes the major water-related objectives and conflicts within a region, considers a broad variety of resource management strategies, identifies the appropriate mix of water demand and supply management alternatives, water quality protections, and environmental stewardship actions to provide long-term, reliable, and high-quality water supply and protect the environment, and identifies disadvantaged communities in the region and takes the water-related needs of those communities into consideration.
IRP: Model Process
Traditional vs. IRP Approach
Traditional vs. IRP Approach
Urban Water Demand Forecasting More Important Than EverL wHAT IS THE PURPOSE?
– Sizing water system and new water supply
– Sizing/staging treatment & distribution system improvements
– WUE Program tracking and evaluation
– IMPORTANT for WUE targets and program design
– System operations management and optimization
– Water rate setting, revenue forecasting, and budgeting
AWWA 2013: Demand Forecasting: What is unique and difficult about Demand Forcasting?
• “Water demand is inherently difficult to forecast because water is a complex, multidimensional commodity.”
“Each water system has a unique set of data; there is no single model that can fit all systems.”
Future Urban Water Supplier Water Use Targets (SB606/AB1668)
SWRCB Policy: Indoor Use standard reduced from ___ to ___
55 gpd in 2020 and 42 in 2030
Urban Retail Water Supplier’s Urban water use objective:
Aggregate efficient indoor residential water use
Aggregate efficient outdoor residential water use
Aggregate efficient outdoor irrigation with dedicated irrrigation meters
Aggregate estimated efficient water losses
Aggregate estimated water use for variances approved by the State Water Board
Allowable bonus Incentive Adjustments: (CWC 10609.20(d)): which shall be limited in accordance with one of the following:
- volume of potable reuse water from existing utility with, completed environmental review by Jan 1st, 2019, that becomes operational by Jan 1st, 2022, not to exceed 15% or urban water use objective
- volume of potable reuse water from new facility, not to exceed 10% of urban water use objective
Urban Retail Water Supplier’s Urban Water Use Objective, Adjusted for Bonus incentive . . .
for annual reporting purposes & comparison to the actual water use in the previous year.
Tendency: Overestimate Demands
AWWA 2013: Importance
• The Importance of Water Demand for Operations and Planning
• Water demand and resultant water sales represent a water system’s economic engine. Demand projections form the basis of several complex financial and strategic decisions including capital investments.
– Based on daily/seasonal system flow projections
– Short term (1-5 yrs.) vs. long term (15+ yrs.) horizon
– Asset Management decisions – capacity, R&R
AWWA 2013: Forecast Considerations
CA State Water Project
Water Supply Reliability Perspective
CA State Water Project Estimated Future Exports
IRP: Emerging Areas
IRP: Context
California:
State Water Plan (updated every five years) Integrated Resource Water Management
- About 50 planning regions state-wide
- Now GSA regions with GSPs…
Nevada:
State Water Plan (Nevada Revised Statute 540) Integrated Water Management
Typical IRP (IRWMP) - CA
- Executive Summary
- References
- Section 1 - Introduction
- Section 2 - Region Description
- Section 3 - Existing & Future Conditions
- Section 4 - Water & Land Use Planning
- Section 5 - Challenges & Opportunities Summary
- Section 6 - Goals & Objectives
- Section 7 - Resource Management Strategies (Incl. WUE)
- Section 8 - Project Review & Prioritization
- Section 9 - Impacts & Benefits
- Section 10 - Coordination
- Section 11 - Implementation Framework
- Section 12 - Acronyms & Glossary
IRP: Policy Coordination
California:
State Water Plan (updated every five years) Integrated Regional Water Management Plans Urban Water Management Plans (every five years) Water Portfolio Documentation
Water Conservation Plans WCP
SB 606/AB 1668
–Water Use Targets
2013 Draft California Water Plan Comparison of Water Management Options - (San Diego Area – 2010)
Metropolitan Water District 2010 IRP Dry Year Resource Goals
Bay Area Water Users Demands
Bay Area Water Users Water Use Efficiency Targets
PEIR is Program Environmental Impact Report
WCIP is water conservation implementation plan**
Southern Nevada Water Authority: water sources and porfolio.
• Nevada Water Sources
– 60% surface water (all surface water allocated)
– 40% groundwater (local and regional)
• SNWA Water Portfolio
– Colorado River surface water allocations
– Groundwater (continue developing)
– Planning for lower gpcd water use efficiency target
2009-13 SNWA Conservation Plan: THE ROLE OF CONSERVATION IN RESOURCE PLANNING
Water conservation plays a critical role in water-resource planning and management. The ability to increase efficient water use and reduce water waste has a direct impact on the amount of resources that will be needed in the future. The more successful a community’s conservation, the lower the community’s projected demand for water (relative to levels that would have occurred in the absence of conservation) becomes.
Sample Water Portfolio – Long Term
Sample Water Portfolio -2020
RP: Water Option Evaluation (NPV)
Water Source Diversification Is Here: ex. City of Santa Barbara
Recycled Water An Expanding Part of State Water Portfolio…
State
wide recycled water production
increased from about 500,000 afy in
2003 to 714,000 afy in 2015. New
recycled water projects are being
added to the recycled water portfolio
on an on going basis.
Recycled Water An Expanding Part of State Water Portfolio…
Cost Comparison Methodologies
- Annualized Costs – Annualized Capital/O&M Costs – Application: ranking projects based on utility costs
- Net Present Value (NPV) – Current and future costs and benefits – Discount rate (expected future inflation rate) – Ranking projects based on current value
- Benefit/Cost (B/C) – Measure of project economic feasibility
- Internal Rate Of Return (IRR) – Means of screening project economic feasibility
Sample: Annualized Costs
Assumptions:
––$5 million capital costs
–6% interest rate
–40 year project useful life
Annualized Capital Costs= $332,308
Annualized O&M Costs= $250,000
Total Annualized Costs= $582,308
•Simple method for comparing similar projectsces for different projects
Sample: Net Present Value
• Assumptions:
– Future value
– Discount rate
– Periods ranging from year 1 to project useful life
Method for selecting preferred projects and allocating limited resources for different projects
Sample: NPV Calculation
Sample: Benefit/Cost Ratio
Assumptions:
–Present value of benefits
–Present value of costs
–Discount rate
–Generally: B/C ratio > 1 (feasible)
Alternative method for determining the economic
feasibility of a resource option.
Sample: B/C Calculation
Sample: Internal Rate of Return
Assumptions:
–Present Value (PV) equation
–Set PV to zero
–Discount rate
–Calculate rate of return vs. other alternatives
Alternative method for screening projects for economic feasibility (not for ranking projects).
Discount Rate (Rate)
- Influential on PV/NPV calculations
- Should reflect either
– Best alternative use of available funds or
– Cost of capital (rate on long term debt)
Rate
– High: future values diminish more quickly
– Low: future values diminish less quickly and have greater influence in present value calculation - Other Perspectives
– Utility (based on long term tax exempt bonds)
– Society (based on Treasury bonds)
– Ratepayer (based on rate of return for investments)
CA Statewide Urban Water Use: Eight-Year Average, 1998-2005:
Water Use Efficiency – Sample Costs
Discount Rate (Rate)
IRP: In Summary
• Accepted planning approach: dynamic process
• Evaluate All Options – Supply Alternative & WUE Scenarios
• Select Best Options – multiple considerations
– Utility
– Society
– Rate Payer
• Water Use Efficiency
– Incorporated into the long-term water portfolio
– Included in regional water management planning
– Considers further reductions in per capita water use
– Drivers: regulation, technology, programs, utility practices
PROGRAM DESIGN parts
• Knowledge and interpretation of Conservation Program Designs
– Other water agency programs
– CUWCC Best Management Practices
– Local water agency water use targets
• Understanding Criteria To Design Programs
– Past Conservation Program efforts
– Assessment of current service area data and characteristics
– Water use impacts from regulations
– Future water use targets
– Program costs and benefits
• Identify potential savings in your area
– By sector
– Saturation of conservation measures
– Assess annual, seasonal and monthly water use patterns
• Design based on where savings need to be realized
– Indoor vs. outdoor uses
– Utility system improvement potential
– Sector focus
– Regulation impacts
Program Design – Framework
Program Design
EPA Water Conservation Plan Guidelines
Program design can be part of a water utility’s water conservation planning process.
WUE Program Design Process
Program Design
AWWA Residential End Use Study Updates
AWWA Residential End Use Study 1999 vs. update in 2016 indicating declining residential water use trends to consider in program design as part of a water utility’s water conservation planning process.
Program Design
AWWA Residential End Use Study Updates
AWWA Residential End Use Study 1999 vs. update in 2016 indicating declining residential water use trends to consider in program design as part of a water utility’s water conservation planning process.
What should be considered when you are designing a program?
– Understand current Program
– Account for local water use targets
– Assess other Programs
– Consider BMPs
– Identify utility system potential
– Document regulation impacts
– Technology (AMI, leak detection, etc.)
Program Design – Target Approaches
Map of CA - Average Baseline Water Use
CA-GPCD Baseline Water Use (2010)
California Water Plan 2020 Projected Savings
Urban Water Demand Forecasting.
What are the basic steps to estimate a water demand model?
Urban Water Demand Forecasting
What are the key parameters that can impact forecasts?
Urban Water Demand Forecasting
Accurate forecasting = optimal WUE Design
Urban Water Demand Forecasting
Accurate forecasting equals optial design
- Surface Water
- Groundwater
- Outdoor Savings
- Indoor Savings
URBAN WATER DEMAND FORECASTING: Surface, Groundwater and charts to show future;
Program Design – Future WUE Target
What are the sample future water use targets?
SNWA WUE Target
86 GPCD by 2035
California Urban Water Conservation Council Best Management Practices
Program Design - Time
• Toilets (2014: 30%+ still have high use models)
– 1992 1.6 gpf new construction standard
– Rebate Programs statewide since 1980s
– 2011 Green Code Standards
• Showers (2014: 80%+ saturated)
– 1992 Federal Energy Act changes
• Clothes Washer (2014: 50%+ ? Saturated)
– State BMP
– Rebate Programs statewide since 1990s
• Leaks (2014: 30%?, AMI deployment dependent)
• Outdoor Savings (2014: 30%?, programs/rates)
2013 SNWA WUE Program
Water Pricing/Other Influence Coefficients
2013 Contra Cost Water District Comprehensive Program
Estimated Indoor Residential - CA Water Uses (2000)
Program Design – Sample Screening
Program Design – Screening Criteria
Program Design - Utility
• System metering practices/AMI deployment
• System leak detection and repair program
• Effective main flushing program
• Customer leak/high user notification program
• Agency facility water management program
– Indoor
– Outdoor
• Water rates: conservation-oriented rate structure
• Utility billing: online access water use history
• System pressure regulation
Program Design - Regulation
• California Green Code Standards
• Urban Water Management Planning Act
– Residential indoor and outdoor use, water loss control
• DWR Model Water Efficient Landscape Ordinance
– 0.7 to 0.55 Evapotranspiration water budget
• SWRCB Water Loss Control Performance Standard
• SBx7.7/SB606-AB1668
• Funding Program criteria (e.g. SWRCB)
• Incorporate into final program design
CA Residential End Use Study (2008) – 12 agencies
Consider Demand Hardening - Lower WUE Targets – Tougher Savings - Where does your water utility stand?
Program Design Sample Selection Criteria
Program Design - GPCD – Selection Impacts
Program Design. what additional information should you look at?
- Customer feedback
- Expert feedback
- Survey results
- Adequate resources for marketing/outreach
- Program budget adequacy
- On track to meet long term water use targets
Program Design-Final Determination
- Selection criteria results
- Budget/funding outlook
- Water use target status
- Process/schedule for program approvals
- Staffing/program support
- Other factors: drought, revenue reliability
Program Design - Schedule
• Plan development/approval (1 year)
• Implementation (1-5+ years)
• Impacts by staff/support service levels
• Regional planning processes
• State laws/regulations/requirements
• Regulatory Reporting – SWRCB/DWR
• Timing of rate adjustments (1+ year)
– Single or multi-year increase
S101: Program Implementation
• Formal Adoption of Plan
• Budget
• Prioritization
– Based on Board/Council approvals & preferences
– Staff limitations: need to hire staff/consultants
– Timing and sequencing considerations for measures
– Cash flow
• Schedule
– Major milestones and deadlines
– Timing of Plan development and approval
– Budget approvals and Board/Council timing
– Internal and external funding/financing processes
• Other Considerations
– Agreements and partnering
– Adoption of local ordinance/codes/policies
– Training
Program Design - Options
Program Design - Adjustments
• May require additional process with stakeholders
• Board/Council approvals
• Budget adjustments
• Programmatic
– More/less targeted approach
– Changes to marketing/outreach efforts
– Customer/political support
Program Design - Continuous
- Evaluate programs annually
- Modify program design as needed to meet targets
- Design new programs if necessary
- Consider more targeted program designs
What do you monitor as you are running a Program?
• Knowledge of methods and issues involved in planning for and developing and implementing drought management plans and policies
– Identify drought triggers and thresholds
– Importance of pre-planning/design for response to future drought conditions
– Mid course corrections during droughts
– Involvement of stakeholders
Program Monitoring. What is your knowledge of methods and issues involved?
• Knowledge of methods and issues involved in monitoring conservation programs
– Identify models
– Water Utility specific metrics
– Importance of pre-planning/design
– Mid course corrections
– Involvement of stakeholders
Types of Program Monitoring/Follow-up
Tracking program impacts
Meeting WUE targets
Program costs: actual trakcing with planned
Customer acceptance
Regulatory compliance: meeting RC parameters
Monitoring – Primary Approaches
• Specific End Use Calculations
– Document each measure by customer
– Assign account levels savings for each measure
– Doesn’t account for changes in other uses
• General Per Capita Water Use Calculations
– Focus on overall per capita water use levels
– More emphasis on total program water use impacts
– Some individual account/sector validation needed
Monitoring Approach – Key Data
End Use
Specific account information
Accurate documentation of measures Additional metered data preferred (e.g. AMI) Identified end use water saving assumptions
- ex. replace 1 or 2 toilets
Per Capita
Total water supply
Total water demand
Population served
Programmatic savings estimate information
Tracking Program Impacts
• Water Supply Data
– Monthly, seasonal, annual water deliveries
• Water Demand Data
– Monthly, seasonal, annual demands
– By sector
– Program participants vs. status quo customers
– Annual per capita water use trends
• Program participation levels
– Rebates, surveys, leaks, landscape changes
• Marketing/outreach efforts
– Cost/timing/effectiveness
Monitoring Approach – Key Data
Monitoring – Annual Production
Monitoring – By Sector
Monitoring – Monthly Data
Monitor other than water
Monitor wastewater flows if was indoor fixtutes
Changes In Water Demand
- Weather/population related
- Programmatic savings
- Behavior-based water use changes
- New customer standards – indoor/outdoor
- Long term vs. short term demand changes
- Gray water/rain harvesting
Monitoring – Savings Reliability
Monitoring – How do you Account For Trends
Population
– New construction: more efficient water use
– Growing number of ‘aging in place’ households
– Other demographics
Development
– Slower growth rates
– Overall smaller lot sizes/less outdoor use per acct.
– More mixed-use development
Monitoring - Customer Target
• “All Customers” Mostly low users (< median use)
– Already conservation minded
– Retrofit/survey program participants
– Lower beginning water usage levels
– Low water savings potential
• “Targeted” Mostly higher users (> avg. use)
– Pre 1993 accounts for indoor retrofit programs
– Larger lot sizes/turf dominated landscapes
– Historically low program participation
– Higher beginning water usage levels
– Higher water savings potential
Monitoring - Sampling
Residential Indoor Use Drivers
123S: Average Indoor Residential Use Data
Monitoring – Weather/Climate
Monitoring – Weather Impacts
Monitoring – Weather Impacts
Compare seasonal/annual data)
Water Budget Indices – WUCOLS Study
End Use Calculations
Estimate: Existing Penetration of Low Flow Plumbing Devices, City of Davis
Monitoring – Annual GPCD Trend
Monitoring – GPCD By Sector
Monitoring – GPCD Targeting
“WUE Account” – EPA Water Sense
Metered Water Use Data
• Understand reading/billing cycle
• Different periods represented (not ‘monthly’)
• Typically Available Monthly Data
- Water production data (normally daily)
- Weather data (normally daily)
- Demand data (can be variable)
- Demand data not synchronized with production
• Synchronize production/demand/weather data