Volume 3 - Equity Investments Flashcards
Market Organization and Structure
explain the main functions of the financial system
describe classifications of assets and markets
describe the major types of securities, currencies, contracts, commodities, and real assets that trade in organized markets,
including their distinguishing characteristics and major subtypes
describe types of financial intermediaries and services that they provide
compare positions an investor can take in an asset
calculate and interpret the leverage ratio, the rate of return on a margin transaction, and the security price at which the investor
would receive a margin call
compare execution, validity, and clearing instructions
compare market orders with limit orders
define primary and secondary markets and explain how secondary markets support primary markets
describe how securities, contracts, and currencies are traded in
quote-driven, order-driven, and brokered markets
describe characteristics of a well-functioning financial system
describe objectives of market regulation
What are the main functions of the financial system ?
1- Facilitate the transfer of Capital and / or Risk (Saving. Borrowing, Raise Equity Capital, Managing Risks, Exchange assets & Information based trading)
2- Price Discovery : Rates of return
3- Facilitate the efficient allocation of capital : Capital seeks out the bets risk-adjusted return avaible
1,2 & 3 require:
- Speedy transactions (liquidity)
- Low transation costs
- Acces to info
- Regulation
Money market < 1 yr
Capital market > 1 yr
Public Market : Exchanges
Private Market : Qualified investors only
Equity ownership claims:
1- Common
2- Preferred
3- Warrants : 10 years, Right to purchase and can be detached from the bond.
Major types of securities:
1- Securities
2- Currencies
3- Contracts
Intermediaries: Facilitate the matching of providers and users of capital and structuring products / services to satisfy that function
1:
- Brokers –> Fulfill orders for clients
- Exchanges –> Provide an auction platform and must print best bid and ask
- Alternative Trading System (ATS) –> No regulatory authority over members. (Dark pools –> do not display orders sent to them. Usually used by large traders)
2:
- Dealers –> Will hold inventory, Will become contract counterparties, Create liquidity, Can act as a broker, Primary dealers can buy/sell with the Central Bank
3:
- Securitizers –> Buying assets, placing them in a pool, and selling securities against them
4:
- Depository institution and other financial corporations –> Banks and credit unions that take deposits - pay interest, lend to borrower and charge interests
5:
- Insurance companies –> Contracts to protect
6:
-Arbritageurs –> Trades on mispricing
7:
- Settlement & Custodial Services –> Hold securities on behalf of clients. Clearinghouses arrange for the final settlement and act as counterpary for futures contracts
Bid : Prices at which dealers and traders are willing to buy
Ask: Prices at which dealers and traders are willing to sell
You can buy the Ask and sell the Bid
Trades validity instructions:
Day - Expire at the end of the day (default)
ATC - good-til-cancelled (max typically 6 months)
FOK - fill or kill
Good on close - Market on close. Execute at the close of trading
An IPO can be done as:
1- Underwriting offer ; The IB buys the entire issue at a negociated price then proceeds to sell on the IPO and makes the spread (can put a closure that if they sell to a certain % the company has to sell another % more to the IB)
2- Best effort offer; The IB acts as a broker only and sells what they can sell on IPO. Works on commission
Call market trades only take place when the market is called at a particular time and place. They are very liquid markets when called, but completely illiquid otherwise. Most use a single price auction in which the price chosen maximizes the total trading volume. They are usually called once a day.
In continuous trading markets, trades can take place anytime the market is open. It may be difficult if other buyers and sellers are not present. Many continuous trading markets use call market auctions at the beginning and/or end of the trading day.
Orders are used by buyers and sellers to communicate with brokers and exchanges. An order will specify the following information:
What instrument to trade
Whether to buy or sell
How much to trade
Execution instructions: How to fill the order
Validity instructions: When the order may be filled
Clearing instructions: How to settle the trade
Dealers are willing to buy at bid prices and sell at ask prices (or offer prices). Traders may specify bid or ask sizes – the amount they are willing to trade at that price. The market bid-ask spread is the difference between the best bid and best offer.
Those who offer a trade are said to make the market, while those who accept those offers are said to take the market.
Execution instructions specify how to fill the order.
Market order: trades immediately at the best price, which can be costly in illiquid markets because price concessions are needed to attract traders.
Limit order: specifies either the maximum price that a buyer is willing to pay or the minimum price that a seller is willing to accept. If the limit price is greater than the best offer, the order is described as a marketable limit order because it will be filled immediately (at least partially) as if it were a market order.
Buy orders placed below the best bid are described as being behind the market and will only execute if the best offer price drops. Limit orders waiting to trade are called standing limit orders. A limit order makes a new market if it is between the best bid and offer prices.
All-or-nothing (AON) order: will only be executed if the entire quantity can be filled.
Hidden order: can only be seen by brokers or exchanges, not by other traders.
Iceberg order: only display a fraction of the amount the trader is really willing to transact.
Validity instructions indicate when an order may be filled.
Day orders are the most common. They expire at the end of the business day if not filled.
Good-till-cancelled (GTC) orders are valid until executed, but some brokers will automatically cancel them after a few months.
Immediate or cancel orders (aka. fill or kill) expire if they are not filled (at least partly) immediately upon being received.
Good-on-close orders are filled at close of trading. They are also called market-on-close. These orders are typically used by mutual funds because the portfolios are usually valued at closing prices.
Stop orders cannot be filled until the stop price condition has been met.
Stop-loss orders are often used to limit losses. For example, the order will be automatically filled if the price falls below a trigger point. If the price is falling rapidly, there is no guarantee that the order will be executed at the specified price. In such circumstances, a put option may be preferable to a stop-loss order.
Stop-buy orders can be used to limit losses on short positions or to ensure that an undervalued stock is not purchased until interest from other investors bids the price over a certain threshold.
Quote-Driven Markets
In quote-driven markets, customers trade with dealers. Most trading is done in this type of market. These are also called over-the-counter (OTC) markets. Most currencies and fixed-income securities are traded in quote-driven markets.
Order-Driven Markets:
Order-driven markets are based on a matching system run by an exchange or broker to match traders. Orders can be submitted by customers or dealers. Exchanges use this type of market structure. Often people are trading with strangers, so there is a need to ensure performance. Stocks typically trade in order-driven markets.
In order-driven markets, there are order matching rules. Price is the top priority – the highest buy orders and lowest sell orders are executed first. Among orders with the same price, a secondary precedence rule prioritizes those that were placed earliest.
In markets where hidden orders are permitted, orders with displayed quantities are usually given priority over those with undisplayed quantities. In these markets, orders are prioritized according to price first, display status second, and time of arrival third.
There are also trade pricing rules in order-driven markets:
Uniform pricing rules are used by call markets. All trades are executed at the same price. The market chooses the price to maximize the total quantity traded.
Discriminatory pricing rules are used by continuous trading markets. They fill orders incrementally, starting with the most aggressively priced orders on the other side of the book. This allows investors to submit a single large order rather than breaking it up into many smaller orders.
Derivative pricing rules are used by crossing networks that match buyers and sellers. However, these traders must be willing to accept prices that are determined in other markets. Crossing network trades typically execute at the midpoint of the best bid and ask quotes from the exchange where the security is primarily traded.
Brokered Markets
In brokered markets, the brokers arrange trades between customers. They are ideal for trading unique assets (e.g., real estate) that dealers would be unwilling to carry in inventory.
Market Information Systems
A market is pre-trade transparent if it publishes information about quotes and orders in real time. It is post-trade transparent if execution prices and trade sizes are published soon after trades are completed. Buy-side traders like transparency, while dealers prefer opaque markets.
A complete market will satisfy :
savers
borrowers
hedgers
asset exchange (spot)
Features of a well functionning system:
- timely & accurate disclosures
- Liquidity
- Complete market
-External / Informational efficiency
Gouv. raise funds with long term bonds in capital markets
Which of the following types of financial market participants is least likely to design risk management instruments?
A) Exchanges
B) Investment banks
–> C) Defined-benefit pension plans
Private placement securities are illiquid because they cannot be traded in the secondary market. Issuers are forced to accept lower prices than they would receive for an equivalent public offering.
A shelf registration can be used by issuers to sell securities directly to secondary market investors on a piecemeal basis rather than in a single large offering in the primary market. This gives the issuer the flexibility to raise capital as needed.
Dividend reinvestment plans (DRIPs) allow investors to purchase new shares with dividends, sometimes at a discount. The company must issue new shares for DRIPs rather than purchasing existing shares in the secondary market.
Rights offerings grant existing shareholders the option to purchase additional shares at a below-market price. These are effectively warrants that dilute the value of existing shares.
Security Market Indexes
describe a security market index
calculate and interpret the value, price return, and total return of an index
describe the choices and issues in index construction and management
compare the different weighting methods used in index construction
calculate and analyze the value and return of an index given its weighting method
describe rebalancing and reconstitution of an index
describe uses of security market indexes
describe types of equity indexes
compare types of security market indexes
describe types of fixed-income indexes
describe indexes representing alternative investments
Index: consist of individual securities (coonstituent securities) that represent a given security market, market segment or asset class
1- Price Return Index: reflects only prices
2- Total Return Index: (Price Return +) assumes reinvestment of all income received since inception
At inception, Vpri = Vtri
1- Price Return Index: reflects only prices
2- Total Return Index: (Price Return +) assumes reinvestment of all income received since inception
Index Construction:
1- Target market Selection
2- Security Selection
3- Weighting
4- Rebalancing
5- Reconstitution
Index Weighting:
1- Price Weight (Called Average)
2- Equal Weighting
3- Market-Cap Weighting (float-adjusted–> # shares avaible to the public)
4- Fundamental (uses a value, ex: revenues)
D –> tyoucally set at inception = N (number of shares)
Rebalancing : Weights assigned to constituent at inception drift from their target weights as prices change
A security market index represents a market segment or asset class. The individual securities that make up the index are called constituent securities.
Over time, the divisor can be adjusted so that the index’s performance remains consistent with historical returns despite changes to its constituents and weights.
Price weighting simply weights each constituent security based on its price as a share of the sum of all the constituent security prices. The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) is one of the oldest and best-known price-weighted indexes.
The initial value of the divisor is typically set at the number of securities in the index. To account for stock splits, the divisor must be adjusted to a level that keeps the index value the same as it was before the stock split.
The advantage of price weighting is simplicity. Each constituent security has the same quantity in the index (e.g., buy one share of every security to form the index). The disadvantage is that price is an arbitrary basis for determining index weights. Two otherwise identical companies will have different index weights if one has more shares outstanding. Furthermore, a stock split will impact the weights of all other constituents.
Equal weighting is another index weighing technique that offers the advantage of simplicity. Each stock in an equally weighted index has the same proportionate impact on the index’s overall performance.
It is like investing an equal amount of money in each component stock. Each constituent security has the same percentage in the index (e.g., 50% in Company A and 50% in Company B) but not necessarily in exact quantity.
The disadvantages of equal weighting include the disproportionately large influence of relatively small stocks. Also, frequent rebalancing is required because any price changes will cause the index to deviate from its initial equal weighting.
Under market-capitalization weighting (a.k.a. value-weighting), the weight of each security is its market capitalization divided by the total market capitalization of all constituent securities. A company’s market capitalization is the number of shares outstanding times the price per share.
Most market capitalization weighting schemes use a float adjustment, which excludes the impact of shares that are not freely exchanged. (Momentum akin)
Fundamental weighting uses a measure of company size not dependent upon security price to determine weight. It could use items such as book value, cash flow, or revenues. This leads to indices with value tilt (e.g., ratio of book value to market value is greater than average). This method also tends to have a contrarian bent rather than a momentum approach.
It can also use multiple measures
value tilt (e.g., ratio of book value to market value is greater than average). This method also tends to have a contrarian bent rather than a momentum approach.
Indexes are rebalanced at regularly scheduled intervals. This is necessary because the weights change as security prices change. Price-weighted indices do not need rebalancing for price changes since the price is the weight. Market-capitalization weights rebalance themselves, except for activities such as mergers and acquisitions,liquidations and other corporate events.
Reconstitution is a process in which the manager reviews and makes changes to the constituent securities. Some indices reconstitute annually. Events such as bankruptcies, mergers, acquisitions, and de-listings may prompt index providers to replace an acquired firm with another representative firm.
Indexes are used (usefull) for:
1- Gauges of Market Sentiment :
Indexes can be described as reflections of the collective sentiment of market participants.
2- Proxies for Measuring and Modeling Returns, Systematic Risk, and Risk-Adjusted Performance : model (CAPM). If we know a stock’s beta relative to an index, we can calculate its systematic risk-adjusted required return.
3- Proxies for Asset Classes in Asset Allocation Models: Historical index data is an ideal basis for estimates of risk and expected returns that are used as inputs in asset allocation models, such as mean-variance optimization.
4- Benchmarks for Actively Managed Portfolios: An active manager’s returns should be benchmarked against an investable market index so that investors can evaluate them relative to a low-cost passive alternative.
5- Model Portfolios for Investment Products: Many investors prefer passive exposure to active management. –> low-cost investment vehicles (e.g., ETFs), which are often based on market indexes.
Broad Market Indexes
An index is considered to be broadly representative if it includes 90% or more of a market’s equities.
Including national markets proportionately to their GDP in a multi-market index is a form of fundamental weighting.
They are important to global investors. Multi-market indices could be based on geography or level of economic development. Some indices weight by market capitalization within the country and by GDP between countries.
Sector indexes are used in the performance evaluation process to determine whether a manager has added value through stock selection or sector allocation.
In order to be representative of an asset class, fixed-income indexes may need to include several thousand constituents.
Fixed-income markets are also relatively illiquid, leaving index providers to rely on dealers for updated prices of thinly traded issues. (problems: Number of securities, lack of pricing availability and illiquidity)
Fixed-income indexes fall into many of the same categories as equities indexes:
Broad market indexes
Sector indexes (e.g., government, corporate)
Style indexes (e.g., high-yield)
Commodity indexes consist of futures contracts on commodities. Indexes are based on futures contracts rather than the underlying commodity prices. As such, index values will reflect unrelated factors such as the risk-free rate.
Real estate indexes may be based on appraisals or repeat sales. By contrast, REITs trade on public exchanges, allowing the value of REIT indexes to be calculated continuously.
Indexes of hedge funds are typically equally-weighted.
Another issue with hedge fund indexes is that reporting is voluntary, so hedge fund managers may not provide complete and accurate performance data. This creates the potential for survivorship bias, which overstates expected returns.
Market Efficiency
describe market efficiency and related concepts, including their importance to investment practitioners
contrast market value and intrinsic value
explain factors that affect a market’s efficiency
contrast weak-form, semi-strong-form, and strong-form market efficiency
explain the implications of each form of market efficiency for fundamental analysis, technical analysis, and the choice between active and passive portfolio management
describe market anomalies
describe behavioral finance and its potential relevance to understanding market anomalies
Information efficiency: Assumes info is timely, complete, correct, and understandable
Therefore, it is possible to have a price determined efficiently but being wrong (undervalue or overvalue)
Market efficiency : Asset prices reflect new info (unanticipated element) quickly (1m-1hr) and rationally
efficient market, prices reflect all past and present information
Passive invest. will beat Active. (counting that passive invest. has lower costs)
If a market is efficient, prices will reflect current consensus expectations and should only react to UNEXPECTED (new information or confirmation of something) information such as surprise earnings announcements.
Market Participants
There should be a positive correlation between the number of market participants and market efficiency. If more investors and analysts are monitoring prices, it is more likely that mispricings will be noticed and acted on until market prices are reflective of intrinsic values. Any restrictions that limit opportunities for investors to trade can be expected to reduce market efficiency.
Information Availability and Financial Disclosure
Markets will be more efficient if investors have more and better information. By contrast, over-the-counter (OTC) markets are less efficient because there can be significant variation in the quality and quantity of information provided by different dealers.
Requiring companies to disclose relevant information to all investors at the same time and penalizing insiders for trading on material nonpublic information make markets fairer and more efficient.
Operational inefficiencies, such as restrictions on short selling, and high trading costs decrease market efficiency by making it more difficult for arbitrageurs to trade.
Transaction costs: A market can still be considered efficient if mispricings are less than transaction costs. For example, if two identical assets are trading at different prices, investors will not act to eliminate this mispricing if the costs that would be incurred to execute the necessary trades are greater than the potential profit.
Information-acquisition costs: Investors should be able to earn a fair gross return as compensation for the risks and costs incurred to acquire new information. A market is only considered inefficient if active investors can outperform a passive approach after deducting information-acquisition costs.
The preponderance of empirical evidence supports the view that weak-form inefficiency can be observed in certain developing economies, but not in developed markets.
The hypothesis that markets are semi-strong-form efficient can be tested with event studies that measure the speed at which prices respond to company announcements and other significant events. If a market is semi-strong-form efficient, prices will react quickly and fully to the new information.
Most studies indicate that markets in developed economies are semi-strong-form efficient.
In a strong-form efficient market, insider trading would not be possible because prices have already incorporated all nonpublic information. In reality, insider trading has been shown to be profitable (albeit illegal) in both developed and developing markets.
Implications of the Efficient Market Hypothesis:
1- Fundamental analysis: Analyzing public disclosures (e.g., financial statements) should not generate excess returns in a semi-strong-form efficient market. However, it can still be profitable for those who are able to develop a comparative advantage in analyzing public information.
2- Technical analysis: If markets are weak-form efficient, technicians may be able to generate abnormal profits occasionally, but not on a consistent basis.
3- Portfolio management: Many studies have shown active portfolio managers do not beat the market on average. When fees are considered, investors would be better off using passive strategies.
!! Portfolio managers can still add value by designing investment strategies that are consistent with their clients’ objectives and constraints. !!
A market anomaly is a change in a security’s price that cannot be attributed to new information. However, for a market to be considered inefficient, anomalies must persist over long periods.
Apparent anomalies may simply be the product of data mining, which is the practice of analyzing data first and developing a hypothesis based on observed patterns. (Lack of economic rationale before any data are analyzed)
Returns in the first few trading days of January are abnormally high, especially for small-cap stocks. This January effect has been observed since the 1980s.
One explanation is that investors sell their “losing” stocks in December to capture capital losses for tax purposes. Others have proposed portfolio managers sell riskier securities at the end of December to make their holdings appear safer in end-of-year reports. More recent evidence indicates this anomaly has not persisted.
Other calendar anomalies include:
1- Turn-of-the-month effect: Higher returns at the beginning and end of months
2- Day-of-the-week effect: Monday returns are negative on average
3- Weekend effect: Weekend returns are lower than weekday returns
4- Holiday effect: Higher returns on the day before a market holiday
Some studies have shown markets overreact to good and bad news. This could be exploited by purchasing past losers and selling past winners, which is a contrarian investment approach.
Momentum would appear to indicate weak-form inefficiency, although it could simply be a rational reflection of adjustments to market consensus growth rates.
Other Anomalies
1- Shares of closed-end funds trade on stock markets like other equity securities. Most trade at a sizable discount to their net asset value (NAV), although some would still trade at a premium.
2- Earnings Surprise
Many studies have shown companies with positive surprise earnings announcements experience a prolonged period of abnormal positive security returns.
3- Initial Public Offerings (IPOs)
Under pressure from investment banks, companies that issue IPOs tend to set low offering prices. The difference between the issue price and the closing price at the end of the first trading day is referred to as the degree of underpricing.
4- Predictability of Returns Based on Prior Information
Many researchers have documented equity returns are linked to factors including interest rates, inflation rates, volatility, and dividend yields. However, it is not possible to generate abnormal returns because these relationships tend to change significantly over time.
The practice of discovering a statistically significant relationship indicating the possibility of earning abnormal returns before establishing a hypothesis is most accurately described as: Data mining