Valuation (Good Questions) Flashcards
What is the timeline of a valuation instruction?
- Receive instructions
- Check Competence
- Check no CoI
- Issue terms of engagement to the client.
- Receive terms of engagement from client
- Gather information - leases / lease packet, title documents, planning information, OS plans etc.
- Undertake due diligence - to check there are no matters which could adversely impact upon value.
- Inspect and measure.
- Research market and assemble, verify, and analyse comparables
- Undertake valuation
- Draft report
- Have valuation checked by another surveyor
- Finalise and sign report
- Report to client.
- Issue invoice.
- Ensure valuation file in good order for archiving.
What three steps should you undertake before commencing a valuation instruction?
- Check competence (refer to RICS Find a surveyor service if not competent)
- Check for any conflicts or personal interests.
- Issue terms of engagement including extent and limitations of the valuers inspection and competence of the valuer.
Why would you undertake statutory due diligence for valuations?
To check if there are any material matters which could impact upon the valuation
What are some examples of statutory due diligence?
Could involve checking the following:
1. Asbestos Register
2. Business rates / council tax
3. Contamination
4. Equality Act 2010 compliance
5. Environmental matters
6. EPC rating
7. Flooding (check EA website)
8. Fire safety compliance
9. Health & Safety compliance
10. Highways (check if roads are adopted with the local highways agency)
11. Legal title and tenure (rights of way, ownership, deed of covenant etc)
12. Public rights of way
13. Planning history and compliance.
What are the three IVS 105 Valuation Approaches and Methods?
- Income Approach - converting current and future cash flows into a capital value (Investment, Residual and Profits method)
- Cost Approach - reference to the cost of the asset whether by purchase or construction (i.e DRC method)
- Market Approach - using comparable evidence available (comparable method)
What are the 5 main methods of valuation?
- Comparable method
- Investment method
- Profits method
- Residual method
- Contractors method
What are the six main steps in the comparable method?
- Search and select comparables
- Confirm / verify details and analyse headline rent to give a net effective rent as appropriate.
- Assemble comparables in a schedule
- Adjust comparables in schedule
- Analyse comparables to form opinion of value.
- Report value and prepare file note.
What RICS documents outlines the principles in the use of comparable evidence?
RICS Professional Standard: Comparable Evidence in Real Estate Valuation (2019)
- Outlines principles in use of comparable evidence.
- Provides advice in dealing with situations where there is limited availability of evidence and sets out a non-prescriptive hierarchy of evidence.
- Notes that the valuer should use professional judgement to assess the relative importance of evidence on a case by case basis.
Sets out the Hierarchy of Evidence:
1. Category A - direct comparables of contemporary
a. Completed transactions of near identical properties for which full and accurate information is available.
b. Completed transactions of other, similar real estate for which full and accurate information is available.
c. Completed transactions of similar real estate for which full data may not be available.
d. Similar real estate being marketed where offers may have been made but a binding contract has not been completed.
e. Asking prices (only with careful analysis)
- Category B - General market data that can provide guidance.
a. Info from published sources or commercial databases
b. other indirect evidence
c. historic evidence.
d. Demand/supply data for rent, owner-occupation or investment - Category C - other sources
a. Transactional evidence from other real estate types and locations
b. other background data (i.e interest rates, stock market movements.
Tell me about your understanding of the hierarchy of evidence?
- Set out in RICS Professional Standard: Comparable Evidence in Real Estate Valuation (2019)
Hierarchy of Evidence:
1. Category A - DIRECT COMPARABLES OF CONTEMPORARY
a. Completed transactions of near identical properties for which full and accurate information is avilable.
b. Completed transactions of other, similar real estate for which full and accurate information is available.
c. Completed transactions of similar real estate for which full data may not be available.
d. Similar real estate being marketed where offers may have been made but a binding contract has not been completed.
e. Asking prices (only with careful analysis)
- Category B - GENERAL MARKET DATA THAT CAN PROVIDE GUIDANCE
a. Information from published sources or commercial databases.
b. other indirect evidence
c. historic evidence
d. demand/supply data - Category C - OTHER SOURCES
a. Transaction evidence from other real estate types and locations
b. other background data i.e interest rates, stock market movements)
How do you find relevant comparables?
- Inspection of an area to find recent market activity by seeking agents boards.
- Visit / speak to local agents
- Auction Results (beware these are gross prices)
- In house Records/databases and websites such as EGI and Co-star
Date of evidence is crucial
What do you need to be careful about when using auction results?
- Auction sales comparables can be a special purchaser or an insolvency sale.
- Sale price is gross of costs
When do you use the investment valuation method?
- When there is an income stream to value.
- The investment method capitalises rental income to produce a capital value.
How would you calculate market value utilising the conventional investment method?
Market Rent x Years Purchase = Market Value
How would you calculate market value using the term and reversion method?
- Term is capitalised until the next review / lease expiry at an initial yield.
- The reversion to market rent is valued in perpetuity at a reversionary yield.
- Used for reversionary investments (UNDERRENTED)
When would you use the term and reversion method?
- Term and Reversion method is used for reversionary investments where market rent is higher than passing rent.
- (UNDERRENTED)
How would you calculate market value using the layer/hardcore method?
- Used for overrented investments where passing rent is higher than market rent (rackrented)
- Income flow is divided horizontally.
- Bottom Slice = Market Rent
- Top Slice = Rent passing less Market Rent until next lease event.
- Higher yield is applied to top slice to reflect additional risk.
When would you use the layer/hardcore method?
- Use for overrented investments where passing rent is higher than market rent (rackrented)
What is a yield?
- A measure of investment return, expressed as a percentage of capital invested.
- A yield is calculated by income divided by price x 100
What is a YP (years purchase)?
- Years Purchase is the number of years required for a its income to repay its purchase price.
- Calculated by dividing 100 by the yield.
Can you name me some different types of yields?
- All Risks Yield - The remunerative rate of interest used in the valuation of fully let property let at market rent. Reflects all the prospects and risks attached to the particular investment.
- True Yield - assumes rent is paid in advance not in arrears.
- Nominal Yield - assumes rent is paid in arrears.
- Gross Yield - The yield not adjusted for purchasers costs.
- Net Yield - The resulting yield adjusted for purchasers costs.
- Equivalent yield - average weighted yield when a reversionary property is valued using an initial and reversionary yield.
- Initial Yield - simple income yield for current income and current price.
- Reversionary yield - Market Rent (MR) divided by current price on an investment let at a rent below the MR.
- Running Yield - the yield at one moment in time.
Why are secondary yields higher than primary yields?
- More risk associated:
A. Quality of location and covenant
B. Prospects of rental and capital growth
C. Liquidity - ease of sale.
B. Obsolescence
E. Security and regularity of income.
What are the current prime yields in London?
High Street Retail
3% Bond Street
4.5% Oxford Street
Offices
City Prime - 5.25-5.5%
West End: Prime Core - 4%
West End: Non Core - 4.75%
Warehouse & Industrial
Prime Distribution / Warehousing - 5-5.5%
Secondary Distribution - 6%
What factors influence yields?
Risk is a major factor when determining a yield, in relation to the following factors:
1. Prospects for rental and capital growth
2. Quality of location and covenant
3. Use of property
4. lease terms
5. Obsolescence
6. Void risk
7. Security and regularity of income
8. Liquidity
What is a return?
- Return is a term used to describe the performance of a property
- DCF calculation is used to find the IRR
- It is measured retrospectively
What does All growth implicit mean?
- The yield adopted assumes many of the assumptions that are made explicitly in a DCF approach
- Risks are hidden in the selected yield.
- Need to use comparable method of valuation to decide the yield.
What is a DCF?
- DCF stands for Discounted Cash Flow Technique
- It is a growth explicit investment method of valuation
- It is a form of income approach valuation
- DCF valuations seek to determine the value of a property by examining its future net income or projected cash flow from the property and then discounting the cash flow to arrive at an estimated current value of the property.
When would you use a DCF valuation?
- Used for a number of valuations where the projected cash flows are explicitly estimated over a finite period such as:
a. Short leasehold interests and properties with income voids or complex tenures.
b. Phased development projects
c. Some Alternative investments
d. Non-standard investments
Thee approach separates out and explicitly identifies growth assumptions rather than incorporating them within an ARY.
What does NPV stand for? Can you explain it?
NPV = Net Present Value = The sum of discounted cash flows of the project
- An NPV an be used to determine if an investment gives a positive return against a target rate of return.
- When the NPV is positive, the investment has exceeded the investors target rate of return.
- When an NPV is negative, the investment has not achieved the investors target rate of return.
What does a positive NPV mean?
When the NPV is positive, the investment has exceeded the investors target rate of return
What does a negative NPV mean?
When the NPV is negative, the investment has exceeded the investors target rate of return
What is an IRR?
- IRR stands for internal rate of return
- IRR is the rate of return at which all future cashflows must be discounted to produce an NPV of Zero.
- It is used to assess the total return from an investment opportunity with assumptions regarding rental growth, re-letting and exit assumptions.,
How do you calculate IRR?
If a valuer does not have a software programme to calculate IRR than linear interpolation can be used to estimate the IRR.
- Input current market value as a negative cash flow
- Input projected rents over holding period as a positive value
- Input projected exit value at the end of the term assumed as a positive value.
- Discount Rate (IRR) is the rate chosen which provides an NPV of Zero.
What RICS guidance covers DCF valuations?
RICS Practice Information - Discounted cash flow valuations, November 2023.
- Covers topics to include: Explicit DCF Valuation versus the Implicit method of valuation
Why might a DCF valuation be preferred over traditional investment methods?
- DCF’s consider the time value of money
- DCF’s provide a comprehensive financial analysis of a project
- DCF’s enable more accurate comparison of projects with different timelines.
Why might traditional investment methods be preferred over a DCF valuation?
- Traditional methods are simpler and easier to understand
- Provide a quick assessment of payback
- Suitable for shorter term projects
When would you use the profits method of valuation?
- Used for valuations of trade related property where there is a ‘‘monopoly’ position
- used where the value of the property depends on the profitability of its business and its trading potential.
- Used for pubs, petrol stations, hotels, guest houses, children’s nurseries, leisure and healthcare properties and care homes.
How would you undertake a profits method valuation?
- Basic principle is that the value of the property depends on the profit generated from the business.
- Requires accurate and audited accounts if possible for three years.
- Audited accounts are superior to management accounts.
- Use estimates / business plan if needed for a new business.
- Adjust for maturity of business and any unacceptable or exceptional items of expenditure.
Simple Methodology:
Annual Turnover less costs/purchases
= Gross profit
less reasonable working expenses
= Unadjusted net profit
less operators remuneration
= Adjusted net profit known as the Fair Maintainable Operating Profit (FMOP)
FMOP can be expressed as the EBITDA and is capitalised at appropriate yield to achieve market value.
Cross check with comparable sales evidence if possible.
What is a development appraisal?
- A tool to assess the viability of a development scheme.
- It is a calculation / series of calculation to establish the value/viability/profitability and suitability of a proposed development.
- A development appraisal provides guidance as the the viability of the proposed development.
- It can assume site value or be used to calculate a site value.
What is the difference between a development appraisal and a residual valuation?
- A development appraisal establishes the value / viability / profitability and suitability of a proposed development.
- A development appraisal can assume site value or calculate a site value.
- A residual valuation establishes market value of the land and is at one moment in time, at the valuation date, for a specific purpose.
How would you undertake a residual valuation?
- Gross development value less
- Total Development Costs (including allowance for cost of finance & developers profit)
- = Residual value
How would you calculate GDV?
- Use comparable method to determine rate psm at date of valuation.
- Apply to measurements to plan to determine GDV
- Subtract purchasers costs to end up at NDV (if using NIY don’t need to subtract purchasers costs).
Talk me through some of the typical development costs?
- Site Preparation
- Demolition / Remediation works / Landfill tax / site clearance / levelling and fencing
- (Obtain contractors cost plan for these works). - Planning Costs
- S106 / CIL / Affordable Housing / Section 278 (Highways) / Planning consultant cost / Specialist reports (i.e environmental assessment) / Planning application / building regulation fees. - Building costs
- Sources include: Client information (development appraisal) / Spons Architects * Builders Price book / Quantity surveyor estimate / Building surveyor estimate / BCIS (GIA) - Professional Fees:
- 8-12% of total construction costs for the professional fees for architects / M&E consultants, project managers / structural engineers etc.
- Architects usually the largest proportion of total fees.
- CDM principal designer costs - Contingency
- 5-10% of construction costs depending upon level of risk and likely movements in building costs. - Marketing Costs & Fees
- Assume a realistic marketing budget
- Cost of an EPC
- NHBC warranty (resi)
- Normal sale fee around 1-2% of GDV
- Normal letting fees around 10% of initial annual rent. - Cost of finance - three elements
- Site purchase (compound interest on straight line basis)
- Total construction and associated costs (S-CURVE)
- Holding costs to cover voids until disposal of the scheme (Compound interest on a straight line basis) - Developers Profit
- Percentage of GDV or total construction cost (say around 15-20% depending on risk)
- GDV more frequently used as a base for residential use
- If scheme is low risk (pre-let / sold) a lower return may be required.
- Percentage of profit required has risen given current riskier market conditions.