unit 7 - investment appraisal Flashcards
what is investment appraisal
process of analysing whether investment projects are worthwhile
- the use of various numerical techniques to make informed management decisions when choosing between capital investments ( buying NCA)
- helps to minimise risks + give managers a better idea of the best choice to make when looking at different alternatives. (ensures investment produces good returns & helps a company achieve its aims and objectives.)
payback formula
- period of time it takes for an investment to generate sufficient returns to pay for its initial costs
~ subtract initial cost from inflows/ net cashflow until there is nothing left to pay of the initial investment
~ payback in months = income required / income generated in the year x 12
Average rate of return formula
- comparison of the total net return of an investment to its initial cost to see if it produces good return
- Find total net return (profit) including initial cost
- Calculate average annual net return: divide profit by number of years
- Calculate average rate of return
ARR = avg annual net return/ initial cost of investment x 100
net present value formula
- the net return on an investment when all revenue x costs have been converted to their current worth (discounted)
discount factor x net cash flow } add up total for total net present value
pros x cons NPV
- pros:
takes into account the impact of inflation on the value of money over time
makes the opportunity cost of projects clear
considers returns x costs over whole life of investment
considers timing of inflows (smaller discounts for earlier years)
cons:
deciding on discount factors is complex (not accurate)
predicting likely future inflation level can be difficult e.g. 2022 inflation was at 11% in autumn (october)
what can investment appraisal techniques be compared to
bench mark
other factors in investment decisions
- state of economy + expanding during a recession & interest rates
- quality of data of forecasts
- current financial position + availability of finance
- impact on staff e.g. automation & redundancy
- correlation to environmental + ethical objectives & impact on corporate image
- legislation & actions of rivals
- efficiency
sensitivity analysis
‘what if analysis’
- management technique that uses variation in forecast data to investigate a range of possible outcomes.
allows managers to variables in data to see diff possible outcomes + identify likelihood of outcomes happening & risks involved
how sensitive the outcomes of investment appraisal are to changes in variables e.g. sales
pros x cons of ARR
pros:
- takes into account the full returns of a project over the life of the investment
- compares returns to initial cost showing return on investment (profitability)
- allows easy comparison btwn projects + shows opportunity cost of investment
cons:
- considers average annual profit so projects may be chosen even tho it only produces a return over a long period of time
- doesn’t attach importance to timing, some projects may not become profitable for many years
- doesn’t take into consideration inflation
pros x cons of payback
pros:
-easy to use, little training or expertise needed
- method focuses on cash flow, liquidity + speed of payback
- focus on time = useful in dynamic markets such as tech which becomes obsolete
cons:
~ ignores total return of investment so options that would be more profitable after payback may not be chosen
~ fails to consider impact of inflation on future returns
~ may encourage short-termism = only picking short-term, lower risk options overlooking long term higher return projects