unit 3 Flashcards
demography
Demography: The study of human population dynamics. It looks at how populations change over time due to births, deaths, migration and aging.
factors leading pop increase
Food, Health, Economic Growth & Migration
Effects of Population Increase include:
Increased poverty
Resource depletion
Medicine shortages
Urban sprawl
population growth rate
Population Growth Rate is the number of persons added to (or subtracted from) a population due to natural increase and net migration.
Factors that may lead to population decline:
Heavy Emigration
Disease
Famine
War
Sub-replacement Fertility
Sub-replacement Fertility:
a fertility rate that is not high enough to replace an area’s population. Sub-replacement fertility rate is 2.1 children per
woman or lower.
Why would there be a low sub-replacement fertility rate?
Urbanization
Contraception
Government Policies
Change in role of women + values
malthusian theory core principles
Population increases by geometric progression.
Food supply increases by means of arithmetic.
Consequence? Population will overtake food supply.
Malthus argued that there are “natural” controls on population
growth:
War
Famine
Disease
Problems with Malthusian Theory
Malthus lived in a pre-industrial society
Theory does not consider the technological revolutions in agriculture and medicine
Mathematically biased – humans as baby-producing machines
“Natural” order is out of date
ADAPTATION THEORY CORE PRINCIPLES:
Food is necessary for human existence.
Human population tends to grow faster than the power in the earth to produce subsistence, and that these two unequal powers may be made equal through human efforts.
Since humans tend not to limit their population size, we must find ways to grow more food, and prevent disease in order to sustain the population.
Explain the Malthusian theory of population
He believed the main reason why so many people were living in poverty was because the population was growing faster than the food supply. He believed that the population can never increase beyond the lowest nourishment capable of supporting it. He also believed that population left unchecked goes on doubling, or increases geometrically, while food increases arithmetically.
Malthus then examines “the general checks to population” that keep the population down to the level of the subsistence being provided. The preventative checks are based on the assumptions that couples could recognize the size of family they were able to support and would plan accordingly. Among these checks were “moral restraint” (delay of marriage) and “vice” (measures of birth control). The other checks called the positive checks were extremely various and include every cause, whether arising from vice or misery, which in any degree contributes to shorten the natural duration of human life.
Explain why Malthusian ideas have not come to fruition?
His ideas have not come to fruition because when he came to this conclusion, the population of Britain was 9 million and the population of the world was 900 million. As well, times were very different, and Malthus could not have foreseen or even imagined the tech developments that were only just beginning. As a result, the conflict that Malthus predicted between the increase in pop and the means of subsistence was averted.
Explain how Marx’s theory of population differs from that of Malthus
Marx didn’t believe that the growth of human population was controlled by any natural law, as Malthus’s theories suggested. His ideas are complex, and since they are related to 19th century capitalism, they don’t fit today’s circumstances.
Explain Catton’s theory of population
Catton begins by defining carrying capacity as the max permanently supportable population- that is, the number of people a given environment can support indefinitely. If this number is exceeded, then environmental damage will occur, and this in time will reduce the carrying capacity.
A sustainable economic system is one that does not exceed the carrying capacity. Those who benefitted came to believe that their good fortune was a result of the “limitlessness” of the earth’s resources and they saw no reason why this shouldn’t go on forever…called the cornucopian myth.
During the Industrial Revolution, the earth’s carrying capacity underwent greater growth because of the settling of new lands in the Americas and elsewhere partly because of an increase in the consumption of resources (fossil fuels). This was done by drawing down (“stealing from the future”) from a finite reservoir of resources, thus carrying capacity enlarged and populations grew.
Not only are we being deluded that tech is will save us, but according to Catton, industrialization and tech have helped us to develop a phantom carrying capacity. By drawing down resources that are largely non-renewable and damaging our environmental support systems, we have overshot our permanent carrying capacity and are living beyond ours means, which’s not sustainable.
Explain Bogue’s theory of demographic regulation
His theory maintains that all societies are capable of regulating their populations and that such regulation is a result of certain social norms and economic conditions. “Every society tends to keep its vital processes in a state of balance such that population will replenish losses from death and grow to an extent deemed desirable by collective norms. These norms are flexible and readjust rather promptly to changes in the ability of the economy to support population”. This theory is a positive assertion that nations, when faced with serious overpopulation, will undergo adaptive social change to lower fertility rates and in doing so will invent and adopt a technology of contraception.
gradual transition to zero growth
If all countries follow the transition path, growth will gradually diminish until it ceases.
The final population will depend on when all the countries of the world reach replacement level conditions, the most recent projections indicate that this will happen in the first half of the next century, and the population will finally stop growing
This can happen only if the carrying capacity of the earth has not been exceeded and if people restrain their growth to a level that is sustainable- that is if it doesn’t exceed the carrying capacity