Unit 06: Open-Economy - International Trade and Finances Flashcards
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06.01
Modern Theories
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Why do experts disagree in economics (4) ?
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Different Time Period
- one might be discussion one month and the other a year
- Different Assumptions
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Different Theories
- might be Keynesian or Classicalist
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Different Values
- some belief inflation more important
What is the Monetarism Theory?
- associated withh Milton Friedman (same as Classical theory)
- argued Keynesian policy ineffective → because of crowding out and crowding in
What:
Economy is stable in the long run
- Follow MONETARY RULE (increase money supply by 3-5% per year to spur matching increase in GDP)
- Not enough money flowing through economy to sustain inflation
- (Recession) injection of money increase output causing unemployment to decrease
What is the Supply Side Economics Theory?
Ronald Reagan, “Government is not the answer to your problems; Government is the problem”
- what mean: decades taxation and regulations cause reduced nation’s ability to produce maximum levels of efficiency
- Result: reduced aggregate supply of nation
- permanent state of reduced output
- Resolve: Shifting AS curve back to the right
How can supply side economics be implemented?
(Theory) all the government has to do is tax and regulate businesses less
- question “who gets the tax?”
- Supply answer: “businesses”
- why: based on AS/AD model: businesses are the producers → their tax burden increases the AS curve → shift line to right
What are the advantages to Supply Side economics?
- Reducing Tax Rate: businesses stimulates production and increases output
- Reduce tax rate for the wealthier → more likely to purchase goods that will stimulate GDP
- If government needs to borrow money to pay budget deficit → issue bonds
- Reducing government regulations on business community: stimulate national economy
What are the disadvantages of the Supplied Side Economy?
- If the government reduces tax: cut back the amount of services will provide
- Lowering taxes for the wealthy: cause a growing divergence between upper and lower classes → jeopardizing middle class
- Issuance bonds: increase national debt
- Without adequate government regulatiosn: businesses more likely pollute environment, take advantge workers
What is the Rational Expectations Theory?
- John Muth: others ineffective because people will make their decisions based on all the avaliable information
- People expect economic changes as price level increase
- If inflation and Fed increased discount rate: not be effective because people were expecting change
- Only effecitive is citizens are surprised by the change
Other economists believe that Muth’s findings were overstated and that is why rational expectations theory is not popular among economic decision makers.
06.02 Fiscal Policy Review
♣ 06.02 Fiscal Policy ♣
06.02 Fiscal Policy Review
What is the purpose of Fiscal policy? What is the difference between expansionary and contractionary?
Government’s effort to manage economy
- Expansionary Fiscal Policy: increasing spending or decrease income tax
- Contractionary Fiscal Policy: decrease spending or increase income tax
06.02 Fiscal Policy Review
What is the cause and effect of “increased aggregate demand”?
why: stimulate economy
what:
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Government Expenditures:
- increase spending programes
- increase AD → more jobs, more income, more spending
- Ouput and price levels increase when AD increases
- Employment increases when output increases
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Personal Income Tax:
- Decrease personal income taxes → more disposable income taxes
- Consumer spending increases → increase AD
- Output and price levels increase when AD increases
- Employment increases when output increases
06.02 Fiscal Policy Review
What can the government do to increase aggregate demand?
why: slow down economy
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Government Expenditures:
- Decreaes
- Decrease AD → cutbacks in pay, less income, less spending
- Output & price levels decrease when AD decreases
- Employment decreases when ouput decreases
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Personal Income Taxes:
- Increase (raise)
- Less disposable income
- Output & price levels decrease when AD decreases
- Employment decreases when ouput decreases
06.02 Fiscal Policy Review
How do congress and state government limit the effect of fiscal policy?
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Congress takes time recognize problems in economy & to respond
- politicians also have adgendas & different ideas how to fix it
- months of negotiations take place
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Implimentation also takes time to complete
- might correct self before congress
- (then) Congressional action worsen situation
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State local governments take actions undermine Congressional action
- might increase taxes enlarge budget
If Congress is lowering taxes to spur recovery and the state government increases taxes to balance its budget, aggregate demand will not shift as expected by the expansionary fiscal policy.
06.02 Fiscal Policy Review
How doe state and local governments try to undermine Congressional action
06.02 Fiscal Policy Review
What happens to expansionary fiscal policy if the government begins deficit spending?
- demand loanable funds increase
- why: government not collect as much tax or begins spending mone
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Result: real interets rates increase
- (then) private investment spending is “crowded out” (less private investment)
- (then) AD shift right less than expected because of crowding out
06.02 Fiscal Policy Review
How do the different economic theories view “crowding out?”
- Keynesian: minimal and should not be considered
- But other economic theorists have their own ideas about the extent to which crowding out occurs.
06.02 Fiscal Policy Review
how does contractionary policy affect the demand for loanable funds and what are the effects?
More taxes / less spending
- Demand loanable funds decrease & interest rates decrease
- Private investment increases & “crowded in”
Result: AD shift left less than expected
06.02 Fiscal Policy Review
how can congress try to combat changes in interest rates when fiscal policy changes?
Attempt to balance the change in spending with euqal change in taxes
06.02 Fiscal Policy Review
What are the limiations of Fiscal Policy?
- Congressional and state action
- Net Export Effect
- Shocks (exogenous stocks) from abroad
- Sloped and vertical sections in SRAS
06.02 Fiscal Policy Review
What is the Net Export Effect?
Change in depand for money = affects exchange rate market
- If demand dollar changes: interest rates change
- Interest rate changes: individual other nations change amount of financial capital invest in country
- Then: international value of dollar to change
- Change dollar value: change in QD of exports and imports
For example, if the U.S. Congress decreased taxes, the demand for loanable funds would increase to fund the expansionary fiscal policy causing interest rates to increase. When interest rates in the United States increase, individuals from other nations will invest financial capital in U.S. banks in order to receive a higher rate of return on their money than they would if they placed the money in their own country. The appreciation of the dollar as a result of the expansionary fiscal policy would cause American goods to become more expensive. In addition, foreign goods appear less expensive, so imports increase, making net exports more negative. As a result, GDP shifts to the right less than expected, countering the expansionary fiscal policy enacted by Congress.
06.02 Fiscal Policy Review
How do price level changes and interest rate changes compare when government spending increases?
Price level changes slower than interest rates
06.02 Fiscal Policy Review
How do economic, exogenous stocks affect fiscal policy?
- shock reverberates through economy → drives up prices of everythings
- government cannot plan for stocks that shift AD or SRAS & not react fast enough
06.02 Fiscal Policy Review
How does slopes and vertical sections of the SRAS affect the multiplier?
When the SRAS is vertical, there is no multiplier effect.
If analysts who gather data and make recommendations don’t account for the steepness of the SRAS curve, then the impact of the change in government spending will not have the desired effect and the problem in the economy will not be solved.
06.03 Automatic Stabilizers
♣ 06.03: Automatic Stabilizers ♣
06.03 Automatic Stabilizers
What are discretionary policies?
- Congress changes taxes or fiscal policies
Discretionary Policies: policymakers take action, economics term change in taxes or spending
06.03 Automatic Stabilizers
What are automatic or nondiscretionary fiscal policies?
Requires no action by government but still stabilizes the economy
- economic changes: because of ebb and flow of business cycle
- more poeple working → more taxes → more government spending
- more people working, fewer people collecting unemployment and welfare
- Government spending less in transfer payments
Result: government surplus money used to offset any budget deficits
06.03 Automatic Stabilizers
How can normal economic changes result in a surplus in governmental funds?
- economic changes: because of ebb and flow of business cycle
- more poeple working → more taxes → more government spending
- more people working, fewer people collecting unemployment and welfare
- Government spending less in transfer payments
Result: government surplus money
used to:
- offset any budget deficits
- pay down public debt
- saved time in recession
06.03 Automatic Stabilizers
How do automatic stabilizers come into play during a recession?
- More poeple collect welfare & unemployment
- Government: usually deficit spending
- borrow money on loanable funds
Because automatic stabilizers affect disposable income and government revenue, they help make inflation and recession less severe on the overall economy.