Topic 3: Neutral Theory and DNA variation Flashcards
What is the neutral theory?
Motoo Kimura proposed that most variation is neutral, otherwise deleterious mutations would be removed by selection and beneficial ones would be rare and quickly fixed.
This came about because high levels of polymorphism observed are not consistent with strong selection at all loci.
New variants arise through mutation and allele frequencies are due to an equilibrium between mutation and genetic drift
What is genetic drift?
Random change in allele frequency that occur from generation to generation as a result of sampling effects. Is much more extreme in small populations were alleles are fixed and lost at much more random rates
What are the four forces of evolutionary change?
Genetic drift
Gene flow
Mutation
Selection
What 5 things can we predict based on the principles of the neutral theory (variation is a consequence of the balance between genetic drift and mutation)?
Probability of fixation of an allele
Rate of fixation of an allele
Time between fixation of an allele
Time is takes for a new allele to become fixes
Amount of diversity on a population
All of the things we can predict from the principles of Neutral theory can be predicted from what two simple functions?
Population size and mutation rate (if we ignore selection and migration)
What is the probability of fixation of a new allele?
The probability that a neutral allele will reach fixation is equal to its frequency at the time of consideration, p.
What is the probability that a new mutation will reach fixation? (an allele that arose via mutation)
There are 2N alleles in a population, thus the new allele has a frequency of 1/(2N) therefore the probability of a new mutation becoming fixed is 1/2N where N is the number of individuals in the population
What is the rate of fixation of new mutations?
The rate at which new mutations are fixed in the population is μ. This results from the fact that the rate of new mutations per bp/ gene and per generation is μ . The probability of fixation for each new mutation is 1/2N, and there are 2N μ new mutations each generation. Combining these two formulas you get 2N μ /2N and this is just μ . This means that the rate of new mutations per bp/ gene per generation is the same thing as the rate of fixation of new alleles.
What is the average time between the fixation of new alleles?
1/ μ (reciprocal the rate of fixation)
What is the average time to fixation and time to loss of a new allele?
Mutations that are destined to become fixed, do so in 4Ne generations, and mutations that are destined to be lost are gone in (2Ne/N) ln (2N) generations
What is Ne?
This is the effective population size, it is an idealized number that is usually smaller than the actual population size (N) because it only includes successful breeders.
Why is genetic drift stronger in small populations?
It is stronger in small populations because there is greater sampling error between generations. In other words, allele frequencies fluctuate more widely in smaller populations in the same amount of time.
Are mutations lost or fixed more quickly in populations? What does this explain?
They are lost much faster than they are fixed, but both processes take time in larger populations. This explains why larger populations are more genetically diverse; because they stay polymorphic for longer.
What is the usual mutation rate for a population?
1 x 10^-6
How do you calculate predicted gene diversity (expected heterozygosity) as a function of population size and mutation rate?
He = 4Ne μ / 4Ne μ +1