Topic 1 - The Scientific Method Flashcards
5 Stages of the Scientific Method
1 - Make observations
2 - Form a testable question
3 - Propose a hypothesis (testable, falsifiable - you can prove it wrong)
4 - Test hypothesis (experimental manipulation)
5 - Assess: reject or accept all or part of the hypothesis and return to 1
This is idealized, it doesn’t always work this way. Sometimes the order is different or there was luck involved etc.
What is a testable question?
What words should these qs avoid?
One that allows you to set up an experiment to learn the answer. It must be measurable.
Do not use words like best/better/worse
How to turn a question into a hypothesis
Use the format:
If… then… because
If I put my fingers in warm water then the water will dissolve the oil so warm water will wrinkle my fingers faster than cold water
The pirate example
Observe that the temperature has gone up globally as the number of pirates has decreased - a correlation
Create a hypothesis: if we increase the number of pirates then the global temperature will drop
Experiment - manipulate the number of pirates, observe temp drop. You would have to control for all other variables
.
Assess - did the number of pirates influence global temperatures
Correlation vs. causality
Correlation does not equal causality
Ice creams and drowning. Correlated. Actually both caused by summer.
Sometimes correlations DO point out causal relationships. We just cant assume it.
Always be weary of the media presenting things as causal when they are actually only correlated.
Sample size
Make sure the sample size is appropriate to show what you are interested in.
E.g. A coin tossed once shows 100% of the time it lands heads or tails. With repeated measurement, it gets close to 5050
Sampling bias
If your sample is biased, you can make wrong conclusions.
WW2 fighter planes examined for bullet holes. Do you put armor where the holes are or elsewhere?
Elsewhere - the observations are all done on planes that made it back. In reality, the armor needs to go where there are none as they are not surviving.
Internal validity
Study is well designed and free from biases or confounds. DOes the study really measure what it wants to?
Eg sample men who take tylenol for headaches and women who take advil for headaches
Worthless - we dont know if differences are due to medication or sex.
HAS internal validity as long as:
The same selection criteria applied to everyone
Double blind
External validity
Does it generalise?
If the sample is too specific, it might not apply to everyone
Watch the Y axis
Different y axes can be used to make a point seem bigger or smaller than it really is. Always check for y axes.
Watch what data is being included
Are they reporting things that are reasonable to make the point they wish to make or data that specifically makes their point?
What is being compared?
Comparisons must be reasonable or they distort the impression an article gives.
Who is paying for it?
Good - government or unbiased sources
Bad - industry or biased source
What makes a good science media source?
5 things
- Clear links/reference to the original research so you can track it down
- Description of the data, how it was collected. Not just the interpretation
- Interviews with the author(s) of the study
- Interviews with other scientists not involved with the study