The Forecasting Process - Chapter 4 - Week 8 Flashcards
Forecasting is…
Process of asserting the NET REQUIREMENTS for people (human capital) in an organization by assessing the demand for and the supply of Human Resources now and in the future
HR forecasting is important because ….
- attempts to create a balance between the work that needs to be done and the workforce that performs the tasks to do the work
-insufficient work and too many employees leads to inefficiencies and lower productivity (employees become bored, unmotivated and engage in counterproductive behaviours)
-too much work and insufficient number leads to high OT, wage expenses, while increasing stress and fatigue of overworked employees
—>both scenarios result in ineffective org. & might compromise ability to meet goals and objectives
Strategic importance of HR forecasting (4)
- Reduces HR costs
- Increases organizational flexibility
- ensures a close linkage to the macro business forecasting process
- Ensures that organizational requirements take precedence over issues of resource constraints and scarcity (HR supply and HR demand)
What is HR demand?
An organization’s projected need for people AKA human resource
What is HR supply?
The source of workers to meet demand requirements
Who do HR forecasters look at and why? (4)
- Specialist/ technical/ professional personnel
- hold high demand qualifications or lengthy prep training to be competent in skills - Employment equity— designated group membership
- legislation and guidelines require orgs. employment practices are fair - Managerial and executive personnel
- leadership and management are important — need dynamic and transformational leaders - Recruits
- externally for new ideas or bring employees at lower level & necessary to promote your culture by developing employees within
HR forecasting process (4 steps)
- Determine staffing a needs by skills, skill levels, or jobs
- Analyze and determine # of employees required
- Create a budget to determine cost involved
- Put HR programs and policies in place to meet demand and supply and track results
Define job analysis:
Process used to collect info about the duties, responsibilities and necessary skills, outcomes and work environment of a job
Used to meet the immediate needs of an organization
Current forecast
Occurs when demand for HR exceeds the current personnel resources available in the organization’s workforce
demand > supply
HR shortage
Occurs when the internal workforce supply exceeds the organization’s requirement or demand for personnel
Supply > demand
HR surplus
Hiring freeze:
A prohibition on all external recruiting activities
The process of reducing an HR surplus by allowing the size of the workforce to decline naturally because of the normal pattern of losses associated with retirements, deaths, voluntary turnover, and so on
Attrition
Worksharing:
A federal gov’t program that aims to help organizations mitigate temp layoffs through a redistribution of work, earnings, and leisure time
Job sharing
Occurring when 2 or more employees perform the duties of one full-time position, each sharing the work activities on a p/t basis