Thatcher Flashcards
why was 1979 election called
- Called after Callaghan’s government lost a vote of confidence by 1 vote (following the Winter of Discontent and defeat of the Scottish devolution referendum).
1979 election results
- Thatcher’s Conservatives ousted Callaghan’s Labour to win a majority of 44 seats. This was the first of 4 consecutive election wins for the Conservatives, and Thatcher became Europe’s first elected female head of government.
1979 election effect on labour’s politics
- Led to the Labour Party shifting even further to the left in the 1980s (believing their defeat had been due to a lack of ideological commitment), leading to the 1981 SDP (social conservatism with centre left economic policy and support for social market economy- rejected trade unions) break-off and enabling the Conservatives to move further to the right.
1983 election results
- Incumbent Conservatives increased their majority to 144 seats (the most decisive election victory since Attlee’s Labour in 1945).
1987 election results
- Incumbent Conservatives lost 21 seats but retained a large majority.
1992 election results
- Surprise 4th consecutive win for the Conservatives (now under Major) – a narrow majority whilst receiving the largest number of votes in British electoral history.
1997 election results
- Blair’s Labour won a landslide 418 seats ,the most seats the Party has ever held.
- Huge Conservative-Labour swing of 10.2% on a national turnout of 71% (the last national vote where turnout exceeded 70% until the 2016 EU Referendum).
Scottish devolution referendum 1979
64% voted for a Scottish assembly but since less than 40% of the population voted yes(considering turnout), the act was repealed
Heath as photo Thatcher/ right wing
- Cut income tax in his first budget
- Lifted £2bn of corporation tax in his second budget
- Successfully restricted the Post Office strike of 1971.
- Passed the Industrial Relations Act 1971 without consulting the trade unions – required state registration of unions, made collective agreements legally enforceable, and limited ‘wildcat’ (unofficial) strikes.
Heath - economic interventionism
Abolished financial targets for nationalised industries, and provided a fiscal stimulus to the economy through a £100m public works programme.
* 1972-74 actually ended up being the peak of Keynesianism, despite the 1970 ‘A Better Tomorrow’ manifesto promising lower taxes and spending.
pragmatic Tory?
Heath and nationalisation
- Nationalised the aero-engine division of Rolls Royce in 1971 when it went bankrupt (because its production was necessary for the armed forces).
- Bailed out Upper Clyde shipbuilders in 1972 after a Communist-led sit-in.
Heath economic discontent
unemployment had broken 1m in January 1972, and the humiliation of the miners’ strike in February 1972.
inflation – it peaked at 26.9% in the 12 months to August 1975.
international oil crisis which quadrupled energy prices
Heath intervention in wages
Introduced a statutory incomes policy in 1972- wage and price controls
1974 election
Labour emerged as the largest Party despite the Conservatives winning the most votes and, when the Conservative coalition talks failed (the Liberals could not uphold a defeated government), Wilson formed a minority Labour government.
when did thatcher become Tory leader
1975
Tories euro centrism pre Thatcher
Britain’s entry into the EEC in 1973 (it was the Conservatives who were the pro-EEC/EC/EU Party compared to Labour in the 1970s),
Heath on NI
- Short-lived achievements: Power-sharing in Northern Ireland (shattered shortly after February 1974 election).
external opposition to Heath
- Rise of militant unionism and the student movement–law and order was declining, and Heath had to impose five states of emergency.
external economic failures under Heath
o Nixon ended the Bretton Woods Agreement (which had fixed world currencies against the Dollar) in August 1971, creating instability.
o Huge rise in commodity prices when Heath was seeking to curb inflation.
o OPEC oil crisis in 1973, which quadrupled energy prices.
Heath as a wet Tory
- Despite his 1970 ‘A Better Tomorrow’ manifesto promising lower taxes and spending, Heath was ‘wet’ and U-turned on this (e.g. promising a £100m public works programme in the July 1971 Special Budget), and 1972-74 ended up being the peak of Keynesianism.
How Heath’s u turns influenced Thatcher
The abandonment of the 1970 manifesto (based on free-market economic policies) led to the creation of the ‘Selsdon Group’ in 1973, whose policies influenced the Thatcher and Major governments.
Thatcher’s victory in leadership election
- In the 1975 leadership election, she won 130 votes vs. 119 for Heath, due to:
- Her‘ conviction politician’ personality–the facts he was not Heath.
- The fact she was willing to challenge Heath when others would not (she was the only candidate in the first round – Whitelaw entered too late in the second round).
The skill of her campaign manager (Neave) – he deliberately underplayed her strength ahead of the first ballot, thus encouraging MPs to vote for her who would otherwise have abstained. This momentum carried her through the second ballot.
Thatcher as distinctly anti socialist
o By lowering inflation, dismantling the corporate state and ending the rhetoric of class war, Thatcherism promised healing and reconciliation.
o Sutcliffe- Braithwaite: No previous leader had made anti-socialism so central to their message, or talked so confidently of the elimination of socialism from British politics.
Labour defection to Tories
o Crucial role was played by Labour defectors who were drawn to Thatcher in remarkable numbers. Some were instinctive rebels, transferring their allegiance to a new rebel project; others strongly anti-Soviet; while many were essentially libertarians, who now thought union power the chief menace to freedom.
eg Reg Prentice flipped on 1977- not tons of defections but defo him
3 fold charge against Labour
nationalisation programme, punitive tax regime and closed-shop legislation were endangering the freedom of individual citizens to work, spend and save as they chose.
democracy was said to be in jeopardy, as Labour strove to bring the ‘Iron Curtain down on the Mother of Parliaments’. - Labour accused of sidelining Parliament by the suspension of standing orders and guillotining of debate.
Labour stood accused of sponsoring law-breaking and lifting its trade union allies beyond the reach of the courts.
inflations and critique of trade unions
o Inflation was also crucial because in Conservative thinking it was linked directly to the question of the role of trade unions. Traditionally Conservatives grounded much of their hostility to unions on their alleged impact on inflation
Thatcher’s excuse of need for change
Strategic thrust of the Conservatives from 1975 was to treat all economic problems not as the result of conjunctural events or specific policy failings, but as symptoms of a profound, long-terms malaise in the British economy and British society. Hence inflation was central to the Thatcherite claim that only a radical new start could save Britain from ever-worsening decline- She set the groundwork for radical change from the start.
Thatcher as a moderate pre 1975
o She was the daughter of a grocer from Grantham.
o As Education Secretary under Heath, she had never publicly dissented, and had even boasted about high government spending on education.
o She had voted to legalise both homosexuality and abortion in 1967.
seeds of Thatcherism pre 1975
- But the seeds of Thatcherism were there – she was sympathetic to free markets / monetarism, but also supported traditional authority / strong leadership / law and order, so she appealed both to economic liberals and to traditional Conservatives.
How context of 1970s suited Thatcher
- The OPEC oil crisis of 1973, leading to high inflation – crucially, she saw monetarism and cuts in government spending as the solution, not pay policies.
- The fact that Labour was becoming extremely left-wing (see notes above).
- Trade union disruption, culminating in the Winter of Discontent 1978-79.
- Bale- Thatcher didn’t win elections because she converted a majority of citizens to her cause (she didn’t) or because she was personally popular (she wasn’t). She won them because her governments delivered just enough tangible benefits to just enough voters at just the right times in order to defeat an opposition whose record in office was woeful
Thatcher’s initially moderate economic policy
- The ‘Clegg Commission on Pay Comparability’ between the public and private sectors (established by Callaghan) was retained for a year before being disbanded
Thatcher’s initial restraint- privatisation
- Privatisation was confined to undoing Wilson’s nationalisation of road haulage, and Callaghan’s nationalisation of aircraft- and ship-building
- Keith Joseph (Industry Secretary) could not stomach his own pro-market policies and actually increased subsidies to firms like British Leyland.
Thatcher’s initial restraint - striking
- Jim Prior (Employment Secretary) made secondary picketing illegal, but not yet secondary strikes; and he provided finance for strike ballots.
– to avoid an NUM strike, she forced the National Coal Board (NCB) to abandon its plan to close 23 uneconomic coal pits.
o Heseltine’s Housing Act 1980
(‘Right to Buy’) led to 0.5m council house sales by the next election, and more than 1m sales by 1990.
Howe’s 1979 budget
o 1979 Budget cut public expenditure by £4bn, but doubled VAT to 15% in order to cut income tax. N.B. it is interesting the Tories have managed to portray Labour as the Party of taxation, as VAT is almost entirely a Tory tax – introduced under Heath in 1973 (supposedly as an emergency measure), doubled to 15% under Thatcher in 1979, raised under Major to 17.5% in 1991, and raised again under the coalition to 20% in 2011.
1980 budget
abolished exchange controls- the external value of the pound should be left to international market forces- and the banking ‘corset’, paradoxically making it impossible to control the M3 money supply and meet targets set out in the Medium-Term Financial Strategy (MTFS), which set out a gradualist path to a monetary growth target of 6% in 1983-84. Upon calls for a Heath-style U-turn, Thatcher told the 1980 Conservative Conference, “You turn if you want to; the lady’s not for turning”.
1981 budget
was very deflationary, despite being in the midst of recession with rising unemployment – in order to reduce inflation, Howe increased net taxation by almost £7bn and further cut public spending, even though this destroyed much of the UK’s industrial base (led to the UK’s economy becoming service-based) and raised unemployment to over 3m by 1983. Michael Foot (now Labour Leader) declared it a “no-hope Budget produced by a no-hope Chancellor”, and 364 economists condemned it
Thatcher’s unemployment policy
Thatcher had no unemployment policy” – she saw it as simply natural in a free-market economy.
response to 1981 budget
o The 1981 Budget led to widespread rioting (starting in Brixton), and Thatcher faced a Cabinet revolt – she sacked the ‘wets’ (e.g. Gilmour, Soames, and Prior), and appointed Tebbit as Employment Secretary, who promptly made unions liableto be sued for damages in secondary strikes, and gave employers the right to dismiss strikers selectively
1982 policy memo
policy memo suggested the Tories were considering education vouchers, an insurance-based NHS, and the withdrawal of state funding for higher education, but Thatcher quickly retreated – e.g. reaffirmed taxpayer-funded NHS.
effect of Foot’s election as Labour leader
This rightward shift was made possible by Labour moving sharply left (Foot elected Leader in 1980, and adopted mandatory reselection of MPs), with the ‘Gang of Four’ defecting to form the SDP in 1981.
1982 privatisation
November 1982 saw the start of privatisations – e.g. Britoil, BT, British Airways, British Leyland, and British Steel.
Monetarism
Monetarism is a macroeconomic theory stating that governments can foster economic stability by targeting the growth rate of the money supply.
Monetarism is closely associated with economist Milton Friedman, who argued that the government should keep the money supply fairly steady, expanding it slightly each year mainly to allow for the natural growth of the economy
idea that Inflation could therefore be controlled by governments acting on their own, without having to resort to incomes policies which involved them in difficult and dangerous bargaining with unions and employers
Thatcher in the Cold War
- Thatcher did reinvigorate the special relationship and the security community that upheld it by defining a new purpose for it. Her warnings about the new expansionist threat posed by the Soviet Union in the 1970s helped make Soviet intensions towards Western Europe once more the focus of security policy.
- The battle against the Soviet Union engaged all her energy and enthusiasm, and rekindled her trust in the US
How Falklands changed election
- Before Argentina invaded the Falkland Islands in April 1982, most commentators expected a hung parliament (especially with unemployment at 3m by 1983) – Thatcher was dramatically boosted by the Falklands being retaken in June, and won a 144-seat majority in the early 1983 election (the most decisive victory since Attlee’s Labour in 1945).
unemployment in 1983
3 million
Labour’s 1983 manifesto
unilateral nuclear disarmament, withdrawal from Europe, more nationalisations etc.) was branded as “the longest suicide note in history” by Gerald Kaufman (Labour’s Shadow Environment Secretary).
1985 - detectable failings of Thatcher
The Conservatives trailed in the polls by 1985 (only 24% support), with the seeds of Thatcher’s eventual downfall detectable by early 1986