Tectonics EQ3 Flashcards
Are geophysical hazards occurring more frequently, causing more deaths and more economic damage?
- No
- Occurrence is the same there is no real change
- Number have decreases since 2000. In 2000 there was 60,000 deaths while in 2010 there was only 20,000
- The number of disaster have increased from 1960 to 2000, but has decreased since 2000
- Cost has been increasing but thus has been skewed by major disaster spike events
- Number of people affected has been increasing since 1975
How good are disaster statics? Are they reliable and accurate?
- Political bias may prevent accurate declaration of data. After the 2004 tsunami in Myanmar the government did not want to show weakness by stating losses. Importance in tourism meant the number of reported deaths were lower.
- In remote areas it is harder to get accurate data
- Trend scan be upset by a cluster of mega disasters such as 2004,2011 and 2015(Nepal)
- Hard to get data in densely populated areas and remote low HDI countries
- No single organisation is responsible, so different sources vary
- Do you include secondary deaths
Case study Eyjafjallokul mega disaster
- A volcanic eruption is 2010 in Iceland causing an ash to spread to Europe
- There was no direct deaths but was a high profile impact due to air movements
- Imports and exports were greatly affected in Europe by air travel. Air travel accounts 0.5% of weight of products but 25% of trade by value.
- Delays in transport meant that large quantities of perishable goods rotted resulting a loss for producers. Afghan countries lost $65million.
- Tourists where stranded from home and airlines lost $200million
- Disruption to tourism costed $3billion
- Car manufacturing was disrupted as factories ran out of critical sensors which were produced in Ireland.
Case study Tohoku tsunami Mage disaster
- Magnitude 9 earthquake produced a tsunami leaving 150,000 dead and 4000 missing. There was large scale destruction to coastal infrastructure and communities.
- Fukushima nuclear power plant was hit causing high radioactive release, contaminating Pacific Ocean and fishing waters.
- Loss of public acceptability of nuclear power plant and lead to other countries such as Germany and Italy to close reactors or abandon plans. There was increased capital costs because of safety measures. Japan shut down all there reactors.
- This lead to an increased demand of natural gas, where availability was less and price went up.
- There was a decline in Japan’s contribution to world industry, particularly the supply of semiconductors, high tech products and vehicle
- Changed the earth wobble by 17cm and the rate of spin by 1.8 microseconds.
What is a mega disaster
- A large scale disaster on a spacial, economic or human impact scale.
- They pose serious problems when trying to reduce its affects in both long and short term
- International support is need with immediate impacts and long term recovery
- They are classified as high impact low probability events
What is a hydrometerolgical hazard
A natural hazard caused by climate processes (including droughts, hurricanes and storms)
What are multiple hazard zones
Places where a number of physical hazards combine to create an increased level of risk for its country and population
Why is the Philippines a multiple hazard zone
- Sits across a mojar convergent plate boundary, so it faces earthquakes, tsunamis and volcanoes
- Faces the Pacific Ocean the most tsunamis prone ocean
- Lies within South-East’s typhoon belt, bringing strong winds, heavy rainfall which increases risk of flooding and landslides
- Has a tropical monsoon climate
- High level of deforestation
- High population density with 25% living in poverty and poor people living in coastal areas
Name 4 hazards that occurred in the Philippines
Volcano Mt Pinatubo
Typhoon Haiyan
Earthquake Bohol
Typhoon Koppu
Case study Mt Pinatubo
- Second largest volcanic eruption on earth that century emitting thousands tons of noxious sulfur dioxide, causing a pyroclastic flow and emitting 20million tonnes of sulfur dioxide into the stratosphere, dropping global temperature by 0.5 decrees.
- Jets encountered ash and sustained $100million in damage
- 20,000 highlander who lived on the slope were evacuated and have returned by face continuous threats from lahars
- Crops were buried by lahars and those areas will be out of use for years
Typhoon Haiyan
- Most powerful storm to make landfall
- Killed 7000 and affecting 11.5million, displacing 550,000 and destroying 130,000 houses.
- Wind speeds reaching 230km/h
- Costing $2.86 billion
- Bodies are still being found in 2014
- One provenance had 8 trucks and aid from other countries was delayed.
Earthquake Bohol
- Magnitude 7.2 with a focus of 12km.
- 208 people died with 797 injured
- Search and rescue was hampered by damaged roads and many buildings were destroyed including historical buildings.
- Two stampedes were reported in cities killing at least 3 people
- Earthquake hit 3 weeks after hurricane Haiyan.
- There was an undiscovered fault called north Bohol fault
- 4 hospitals damaged
Typhoon koppu
- More than a meter of rainfall in a day causing flooding and landslides
- 100,000 people displaced due to risk of landslides, 58 people killed
- Cost $235.8million
- 200km/h wind speeds
- Flood water prevented military vehicles from reaching the worst hit villages.
- It was a slow moving typhoon so it stays over longer. This is because of a ridge of pressure trapped it.
Forecasting earthquakes
Forecasts are based off data and evidence gathered through global seismic monitoring networks as well as historical records.
Forecasting in the long term are currently mor accurate than the short term. This is important as it allows government to prepare.
What is a prediction
Identifying an actual events and times
What is forecast
A broad pattern of when and where
Volcanic prediction methods
- Measure thermal temperatures
- GPS positioning system measuring changes in size and shape of the volcano due to a build up of magma
- Robotic spiders can travel into the vent and collect rock samples and test mineral contents
- Collect gas samples e.g. Sulfur dioxide during eruptions emissions increase 5 to 10 times.