set 3 Flashcards
what is decision tree?
mathematical model that tells manager the outcome of a decision
how to workout expected value
success money x success decimal = first answer
failure money x failure = second answer
first answer + second answer= expected value
how to work out net gain?
money you put in from the beginning - expected value
what is 3 pros + cons for using decision tree?
pro
1. logical approach
2. giving option making them easy to compare
3. shows risks
cons
1. may not considered qualitative factors such as personal choice
- reliant of the quality of the data
- external environment = changes quickly.
what are 6 influences on decision making ?
remember acronym
miss only eats Rayans ear comfortably
mission = does the decision move closer to the mission or further away
objectives= does the decision help achieve its goals
ethics= is this moral correct decision we are making? how will society view this decision? what impact on stakeholders.
resource constraints= does organisation have financial resources/human resources required.
external environment= what is state of the economy
competition= how will competitors respond to the decision