Session 16 - Derivaties - Forwards & Futures Flashcards
Forward Price
price that would not permit profitable risk-less arbitrage in frictionless markets.
= (Spot price at inception) x (1 +Rf)^contract term in years
London Interbank Offered Rate (LIBOR)
The lending rate on dollar-denominated loans between banks. In contrast to T-bill discount rates, LIBOR is an add-on rate, like a yield on a short-term certificate of deposit. LIBOR is used as a reference rate for floating rate U.S. dollar-denominated loans worldwide.
Currency Forward Contract
(Spot price) x [(1+domestic interest rate)^time / (1+foreign interest rate)^time]
Key differences between forward and future contracts
- Futures are marked to market at the end of every trading day. Forward contracts are not marked to market.
- Forwards are private contracts and do not trade on organized exchanges. Futures contracts trade on organized exchanges.
Future Price
(Spot price at inception) x (1 +Rf)^contract term in years
Cash-and-carry arbitrage
consists of buying the asset, storing/holding the asset, and selling the asset at the futures price when the contract expires.
Reverse cash-and-carry arbitrage
consists of going long in the futures contract, shorting gold, and investing the short-sale proceeds.
Backwardation
a situation where the futures price is below the spot price. For this to occur, there must be significant benefit to holding the asset, either monetary or non-monetary. It might occur if there are benefits to holding the asset that offset the opportunity cost of holding the asset (the risk-free rate) and additional net holding costs
Contango
Situation where the futures price is above the spot price.
Forward Contract: Value of Long Position
= Spot Price - [(future price)/(1+RF)^time in years]
Forward Contract: Value of Short Position
= inverse of long position
Price of an equity forward contract w/ discrete dividends
remove the PV of dividends from the spot price or the FV of dividends from the forward price. Otherwise, use the standard forward formula.
Price of an equity index forward contract with continuous dividends
Spot x e^(risk free rate - dividend yield)(time in years)
Value of long position in equity index forward contract with continuous dividends
= [(Spot)/(e^dividend yieldtime)] - [(FP)/e^risk free ratetime)]
Notions for Forward Rate Agreements
- # of months until the contract expires (e.g. 2)
- # of months until the underlying loan is settled (e.g. 3)
“2 x 3”