Session 10 - Equity Valuation Concepts Flashcards
Fama - French Model
Required Return =
Rf + βmkt(Rmkt - rf)
+ βSMB(Rsmall - Rbig)
+βHML(Rsbm - Rlbm)
*Multifactor model that attempts to account for the higher returns generally associated w/ small cap stocks.
Pastor - Stambaugh Model
- Adds a liquidity factor to the Fama - French model.
- The baseline value for the liquidity factor beta is zero. Less liquid assets should have a positive beta, more liquid = negative beta.
Macroeconomic Multifactor Models (Burmeister, Roll, and Ross Model)
- Confidence risk
- Time horizon risk
- Inflation risk
- Business cycle risk
- Market timing risk
Build-up Model
Similar to risk premium approach, it is usually applied to closely-held companies where betas are not readily obtainable.
= Rf + equity risk premium
+ size premium
+ specific-company premium
Adjusted Beta
Used to compensate for beta drift.
= (2/3)(regression beta) + (1/3)(1.0)
Unlevered Beta
Unlevering isolates systematic risk
= (Beta of X) x [1/(1+debt/equity ratio)]
Estimate of Beta for Company Y
= (unlevered Beta company X) (1+ debt/equity ratio)
Holding Period Return
= (Price1 - Price0 + CF1) / Price0
Gordon Growth Model Risk Premium
= (1-yr forecasted div yield market index)
+ (consensus long-term earnings growth rate)
+ (long-term government bond yield)
Confidence Risk (multifactor models)
Unexpected change in the difference between the return of risky corporate bonds and government bonds.
Time horizon risk (multifactor models)
Unexpected change in the difference between the return of long-term government bonds and Treasury bills
Business cycle risk (multifactor models)
Unexpected change in the level of real business activity
Market timing risk (multifactor models)
The equity market return that is not explained by the other multifactors.