sales forecasting Flashcards
what is the purpose of sales forecasting
managers need to know what is likely to happen in their industry
may need more staff
profit and cash flow forecasts will depend on sales forecasts
what are the factors affecting sales forecasting
consumer trends
economic variables
actions of competitors
seasonal fluctuation
how does consumer trends affect sales forecasting
if consumer tastes and preferences change the sales forecast will change
demographics change eg an ageing population
globalisation of a brand
affluence
how does economic variables affect sales forecasting
some products are highly sensitive to a change in the economy because their income elasticity is high
a fall in the pound will make imports more expensive
a rise in taxation
inflation
what are the difficulties with sales forecasting
if the business is new
market is subject to significant disruption from technological change
demand is sensitive to change in income
based on continuation of past trends -only correct if future is like the past.
how do you calculate sales forecast
new value / original X 100