S3 7.3 Flashcards
How to calculate BASIS?
Cash - Futures = Basis
Which is usually higher, Cash or Futures price?
Futures usually higher, so Basis tends to be Negative
What happens to the Basis if the Futures (Mkt) price increases?
The Basis gets more negative –> It Weakens (or Widened)
What happens to the Basis if the Futures (Mkt) price decreases?
The Basis gets less negative –> It Strengthens (or Narrows)
What is my expectation, in terms of Basis, if I go long futures to hedge?
1) Futures price increases –>
2) Cash - larger number = more negative –>
3) Basis weakens
What is my expectation, in terms of Basis, if I go short futures to hedge?
1) Futures price decreases –>
2) Cash - smaller number = less negative –>
3) Basis strengthens
Another term for Negative Basis?
Basis is UNDER
Do Futures abd Cash prices move in the same direction and the same amount?
1) Same direction - YES
2) Same amount - NO
What is a Perfect Hedge?
When there’s no change in the Basis in the life of the Hedge (Highly unusual)
How is a Profit or Loss produced in terms of the Basis?
A change in the Basis = Profit / Loss
What are other terms for OPening and cliosing a hedge position?
Establishing and lifting
What is Basis Risk?
Unexpected widening or narrowing of the Basis between establishing and lifting hedge position
What does thre fact that the Basis changes?
Implies there will be G/L based on how the Basis fluctuates (no perfect hedge = no full protection against price variations)
What happens to Futures and Cash Prices as contracts come to maturity?
Cash and Futures Prices converge = Basis will approach zero (due to investors buying lower and selling higher)
What makes a hedger roll a contract?
Delayed harvest