RPA2 Flashcards
Describe the following types of investment risk: (a) purchasing power, (b) business,
(c) interest rate, (d) market and (e) specific
(a) Purchasing power risk reflects the relationship between the nominal rate of
return on an investment and the increase in the rate of inflation.
(b) Business risk involves the prospect of the corporation issuing the security
suffering a decline in earnings power that would adversely affect its ability to pay
interest, principal or dividends.
(c) Interest rate risk comprises the well-known inverse relationship between interest rates and (long-term) bond prices. That is to say, when interest rates increase, the value of long-term bonds falls.
(d) Market risk can be thought of as an individual stock’s reaction to a change in the
market. In general, most stock prices will increase if the stock market increases
appreciably and decrease if the market decreases appreciably; however, the price
of one stock may change half as fast as the market, on average, while another
may change twice as fast. This relationship is quantified by a measure known as
beta.
(e) Specific risk is risk that is intrinsic to a particular firm
Describe (a) why the tax aspect of an investment is important for a pension fund
and (b) why an investment’s relative liquidity may be important to a pension plan’s
investment manager.
(a) The tax aspect of an investment is important because of the tax-exempt status of
the pension fund. Because investment income of qualified retirement plans is
tax-exempt, certain types of investments may not be as attractive to pension
funds as they would be for other types of investors.
(b) Liquidity refers to the ability to convert an investment into cash in a short time
period with little, if any, loss in principal. This may be an important attribute for
at least a portion of the pension plan assets in case the plan has to sustain a short
period of time when the plan sponsor is unable to make contributions (or
contributions are less than the amount of the benefit payments for the year) and,
at the same time, the securities markets are depressed. If the plan does not
possess an adequate degree of liquidity, the sponsor might have to sell securities
at an inopportune time, perhaps resulting in the realization of capital losses.
What have historical studies demonstrated with respect to the risk-and-return
characteristics of the major classes of investments?
Published in 2016, an 89-year time series analysis of the major classes of investments
found, as expected, that the riskiest investments also generated the highest yields.
Common stocks provided the highest annual return, with small company stocks
having a compound annual growth rate of 12.0% and large company stocks having a
compound annual growth rate of 10.0%. However, investors purchasing common
stocks paid a price in terms of the volatility of their investment. Over the past several
decades, the large company stocks experienced one-year losses as high as 37.0% (in
2008). Long-term bonds issued by the government had a significantly lower return
(6.0%). U.S. Treasury bills were obviously the safest investment in terms of annual
volatility; however, they only generated a return of 3.4%.
These figures cannot be viewed in isolation, and it is important to consider how they
fared after the effects of inflation had been removed. During this period, the
compound inflation rate was 2.9%, an amount that should be subtracted from the
nominal rate of return to find the real rate of return produced by an investment.
What types of questions should the investment manager’s guideline statement
cover?
(a) How much risk is the plan sponsor prepared to take to achieve a specific
benchmark rate of return?
(b) What is the time period for measurement of performance relative to objectives?
(c) What is the sponsor’s preference in terms of asset mix, especially as it relates to
stocks?
(d) What is the liability outlook for the plan, and what should the fund’s investment
strategy be in light of this outlook?
(e) What are the sponsor’s cash flow or liquidity requirements?
(f) How much discretion is the manager permitted regarding foreign investment,
private placements, options, financial futures, hedge funds and the like?
The 4 steps involved in effective performance measurement and
Definition, Input, Processing, Output
Describe: Definition, Input, Progressions, Output
Definition: Establishment of investment objectives and, to the extent
practical, a clearly formulated portfolio strategy
• Input: Availability of reliable and timely data. Incorrect and tardy data will
render the most sophisticated system ineffective.
• Processing: Use of appropriate statistical methods to produce relevant
measurements. The complex interaction of objectives, strategies and
managers’ tactics cannot be understood if inappropriate statistical methods
are used. A meaningful summary will make possible analysis of the
investment process at the necessary depth.
• Output: Analysis of the process and results presented in a useful format.
Presentation should relate realized performance to objectives and preestablished standards. Enough material should be available to understand and
analyze the process. Exhibits should be designed to highlight we
4 caveats that must be kept in mind in choosing a performance
measurement system
There is a danger that a hastily chosen system, poorly related to real needs,
can rapidly degenerate into a mechanistic, pointless exercise.
• The system should fit the investment objectives—not the reverse.
• Measuring the process may alter it.
• To save time and cost, it is important that overmeasurement be avoided
Internal rate of return
valuable in that it allows the sponsor to determine whether the investment is achieving the rate of return assumed for actuarial calculations; however, it is largely ineffective as a means of evaluating investment managers because it is contaminated by the effects of the timing of investments and withdrawals—a factor over which the investment manager presumably has no control
Time-weighted value
computed by dividing the time interval under study into subintervals whose boundaries are the dates of cash flows into and out of the fund and by computing the internal rate of return for each subinterval. The time-weighted rate of return is the (geometric) average for the rates for these
subintervals, with each rate having a weight proportional to the length of time in its corresponding subinterval.
Capital asset pricing model (CAPM)
uses standard statistical techniques
(simple linear regression) to analyze the relationship between the periodic returns
of the portfolio and those of the market (for example, the Standard & Poor’s 500)
importance of the (a) alpha value and (b) beta value produced by the
capital asset pricing model
(a) The portfolio’s alpha value can be thought of as the amount of return produced by the portfolio, on average, independent of the return of the market. Generally alpha is viewed as the level of return contributed because of the skill of the investment manager that is managing the portfolio.
(b) The beta value is the slope of the line measured as the change in vertical
movement per unit of change in the horizontal movement. This represents the
average return on the portfolio per 1% return on the market. For example, if the
portfolio’s beta is 1.25, then a 2% increase (or decrease) in the market would be
expected to be associated with a 2.5% (1.25 3 2) increase (or decrease) in the
portfolio, on average.
How is the risk-adjusted rate of return utilized in portfolio measurement?
The risk-adjusted rate of return can be used to measure risk-adjusted performance and to compare portfolios with different risk levels developed by actual portfolio
decisions.
Various forms of money market instruments
US Treasury Bills/Notes Federal Agency Issues Certificates of Deposit Commercial Paper Money Market Mutual Funds
Describe the various forms of money market instruments
(1) U.S. Treasury bills and notes. Treasury bills have maturities at issue ranging from
91 to 360 days, while Treasury notes have initial maturities ranging from one to
five years. There is almost no default risk on these investments. In other words,
the probability that either interest or principal payments will be skipped is nearly
zero.
(2) Federal agency issues. The Treasury is not the only federal agency to issue
marketable obligations. Other agencies issue short-term obligations that range in
maturity from one month to over ten years. These instruments typically
(3) Certificates of deposit. These certificates are issued by commercial banks and
have a fixed maturity, generally in the range of 90 days to one year. The ability to
sell a certificate of deposit prior to maturity usually depends on its
denomination. The default risk for these certificates depends on the issuing
bank, but it is usually quite small.
(4) Commercial paper. This is typically an unsecured short-term note of a large
corporation. This investment offers maturities that range up to 270 days, but the
marketability is somewhat limited if an early sale is required. The default risk
depends on the credit standing of the issuer, but commensurately higher yield is
available.
(5) Money market mutual funds. These funds invest in the money market
instruments described above. As a result, investors achieve a yield almost as high
as that paid by the direct investments themselves and, at the same time, benefit
from the diversification of any default risk over a much larger pool of
investments.
Why are bonds used in pension plan portfolios?
The use of bonds in pension plan portfolios typically can be attributed to one of two reasons. First, if the sponsor realizes that (to a large extent) the pension plan’s obligations are fixed dollar obligations that will be paid out several years in the future, there may be a desire to purchase assets that will generate a cash flow similar to the benefit payments. Second, the investment manager may be willing to purchase assets with a longer maturity than the money market instruments described above.
This assumption of interest rate risk is presumably compensated for by a higher yield than that available from shorter maturities.