risk and causation Flashcards
measures of risk
strength of association
- relative risk
- hazard ratio
- odd ratio
impact of exposure in the population
- attributable risk
- population attributable risk
attributable risk
the difference between the incidence in the exposed and that in the unexposed
how to calculate AR
incidence in exposed - incidence in unexposed
Ie- Iu
AR%
the proportion of disease among the exposed which
- can be attributed to the exposure
- could be avoided by eliminating the exposure
Ie- Iu/ Ie x100
PAR (population attributable risk)
incidence of disease in a population attributable to the risk factor
= It- Iu
It= absolute difference between risk in the total population
PAR %
proportion of cases in the population attributable to the exposure
expressed as a percentage of total risk in population
= It-Iu/ It x100
causation
implies that there is a true mechanism that leads from exposure to disease
association
an identifiable relationship between an exposure and disease
- implies that exposure might cause disease
- risk factors or risk markers or risk indicators
why might an association not mean it is causal
bias
chance
confounding
sufficient cause
complete causal mechanism that always produces disease and consists of many ‘component causes’
analytical study types
observation:
- cross sectional
- case-control
- cohort studies
experimental
- randomised controlled trials