Risk Flashcards
Risk
- The effect of uncertainty on objectives
- It is potential - what could happen (not positive or negitive)
Antifragility
Ability to not just withstand high-impact events or shocks but to improve and benefit from them.
Risk management
- Coordinated activities to direct and control an organization with regard to risk
- Designed to change the probability of risk event occurring and/or degree of impact on organization’s objectives
Known knowns
Events to be expected and involve little uncertainty
Known Unknowns
Uncertainties we know exist, but don’t know much about their probability or impact
Unknown knowns
- Risks we mistakenly think we understand
- Black swans - unforseen outlier events that are rare and have a major impact
Types of risk
- Strategy
- Operations
- Financial reporting
- Compliance
Internal and preventable risks
- Come from inside the organization
- Could include violations of ethics and failures in routine processes
Strategy risk
Risks that affect the organization’s ability to achieve its objectives
Operations Risk
Risks that affect the ways the organization creates value
Financial reporting risk
Risks that affect the accuracy and timeliness of information about the organization’s financial performance and condition
Compliance risk
Risks associated with meeting the requirements of laws and regulations
Benefits of risk management
- Aligns risk management process process with the organization’s strategy and objectives
- More effective and consistent response to risk
- Losses are reduced and less resources wasted
- Risks are understood and managed
Barriers to risk managemeng
- Structural
- Cognitive
- Cultural
Structural barrier to risk management
- Silo organizations
- Respond to risk in operational rather than strategic
Cognitive barrier to risk management
Need to think past “if then” scenarios to “what if” scenarios
Cultural barrier to risk management
- Be aware of the diverse workforce and their beliefs and attitudes toward risk
- Communicate the organization;s position and appetite for risk
An effective risk management program should
- Create and protect value
- Be integral part of all orgnizational process
- Be apart of decision making
- Address uncertainty
- Be systematic, structured and timely
- Based uponthe best available information
- Fit an organization’s risk and control environment
- Take into account human and cultural factors
- Transparent and inclusive
- Dynamic, iterative and respond to change
- Facilitate continual improvement of the organization
Risk Organizational Framework Steps
- Management commitment
- Design a framework for managing risk
- Implementing risk management
- Periodic monitoring and review of the framework
- Continual improvement of the framework
Risk Management Process
1. Establish the context of risk
1. Define risk appetite and set risk management goals 2. Identify and analyze risks 3. Manage risks 4. Evaluate
The circle then goes back to 1
Risk position
The organization’s desired gain or acceptable loss in value
Risk appetite
- Also called risk tolerance
- Amount of uncertainty an organization is willing to pursue or to accept to attain its risk management goals
Risk appetite/risk tolerance affect
- Amount that risk that will help organization reach or interfere with the strategic goals
- Characteristic attitude toward risk
- Resources or risk capacity
- Externally imposed requirements (fire prevention programs)
- Loss expectancy
Single loss expectancy (SLE)
- Expected monetary loss every time a risk occurs
- Single loss expectancy = asset value * exposure factor
Annualized loss expectancy (ALE)
- Expected monetary loss for an asset due to a risk over a one-year period
- Annualized loss expectancy = single loss expectancy * annualized rate of occurrence
Misaligned risks
- Moral hazard
- Principal-agent problem
- Conflict of interest