resource economics 1 Flashcards
Nonrenewable resources
resources in fixed supply like oil, coal, or minerals - beryllium, cadmium, cobalt, copper, lead, mercury, nickel, palladium, silver, and zinc.
Renewable resources
biological resources for which there is a natural growth function
Nonrenewable Resources and the Hotelling Model
Harold Hotelling (1931): a model of nonrenewable resource development. Predicts that over time price would rise, as quantity declines.
If a firm sells the resource and puts the money in the bank, they earn interest
A resource in the ground doesn’t earn interest, unless, the price of the resource is likely to rise over time
This implies, to a degree, ‘Profit-Based Conservation’
Hotelling’s Rule
the percentage increase in the resource price ((P2 − P1)/P1) will equal the interest rate (r)
Testing the Nonrenewable Resource Model
Do nonrenewable resource prices tend to rise and quantities tend to fall as suggested by the Hotelling model?
From ‘67-’01, there was a downward trend in prices
Two possible explanations:
1. even though there will be scarcity of the resources some time in the future, it is still too far off for it to factor into either consumer or firms’ behavior
2. As technology steadily advances, lower grade ores can be mined cost-effectively, shifting the supply curve down.
Peak Oil
Peak Oil: when oil production hits its high and starts to decline
In 1956, M. King Hubbert predicted that production of oil in the continental United States would peak in the late 1960s or early 1970s. US Oil production did peak in 1970…
But rebounded in 2008 Following the introduction of ”fracking” technology
Takeaways from 2-period example
- Those who own resource stock will earn a positive
resource rent - With a positive interest rate the price of the
nonrenewable resource will increase through time - If demand is constant across periods then a rising
price means falling consumption through time