Relative Valuation (Reverse) Flashcards
Yes, typically. If it appears on the front page of the 10-k, then yes.
RSUs are not part of the basic share count. Due to conservatism, they should be added to diluted shares.
Non-vested RSUs would NOT be on the front page of the 10-K
Is restricted stock part of the basic share count?
Are RSUs part of the basic shares count?
Of restricted stock and RSU (vested vs non vested), which would NOT be included in the front 10-Ks share count?
Pg 125 Relative valuation
If the company is operationally and financially healthy, market value and book value should be similar.
Look for the latest round of debt issuance and get that interest rate and then calculate from there. See the below.
http://pages.stern.nyu.edu/~adamodar/New_Home_Page/valquestions/mktvalofdebt.htm
In EV calculation, do you use market value or book value of debt?
How do you estimate market value of debt?
Acquiree (company being acquired).
Operational
Industry, products, distribution channels, customers/consumers, patents, geography
Financial
Credit risk/Financial performance
Other
SIZE!
Hostile vs friendly
Strategic vs financial
Economic/market conditions
When choosing a precedent transaction to analyze, do you match the company you are analyzing to the precedent transaction’s acquirer or acquiree?
What are those characteristics?
Interest, taxes, dividends received, working capital
CFO adjustments, CapEx, gains/losses on investments, debt issuance/repayment, cash from stock, treasury stock, dividens paid
What is excluded from EBITDA that is adjusted for in CFO?
What is excluded from EBITDA but adjusted for throughout the entire cash flow statement?
Utilize previous analyses
Utilize public filiings that may indicate competitors to a company
Capital IQ, Bloomberg, etc
What are more practical ways to gather a peer set?
No, treat it as straight debt. Adjustments won’t be made until the convertible bond becomes in-the-money.
Do you make any adjustments to EV if the convertible bond is out-of-the money?
Pg 51 Relative Valuation
Implied offer value = 4.245
Implied transaction value = 8.24
In 2006, KKR, Silver Lake, and Co. acquired a 80.1% stake in Philips Semiconductors for euro 3.4 billion. The LBO consortium assumed euro 4 billiion in debt.
What is the implied offer value and implied transaction value?
Restricted stock and restricted stock units (RSUs)
What are the 2 categories of restricted stock awards?
Its value on the balance sheet.
Yes.
What is carrying value?
Is preferred stock sometimes covertible into common stock?
Pull documents for the acquiree for (typically) the LTM as of the transaction announcement date.
10-K, annual report, 10-Q, S-4, 8-K
In precedent transactions analysis, you pull documents for which company (acquirer or acquiree) and for which timeframe?
Which documents should you pull?
CapEx, depreciation, taxes
What does EBITDA not capture that is extremely important?
Equity value = current market price per share
Offer value = offer price per share
Equity value = total diluted shares: the company repurchases stock from the proceeds of the options and subtracts those number of shares.
You do that because companies would repurchase shares to diluted the effect of exercised employee options.
Offer value = total potential shares, which is basic shares + all outstanding in-the-money shares BUT THEN you subtract the proceeds
The proceeds from the options could be used to pay off the acquisition, thus you subtract it.
However, both approaches yield the same result!!!! They are just two different mechanical ways of reflecting what actually happens
What is the difference between equity value and offer value?
- Potentially having to separate a division within a company
- Extreme size differentials
- Public vs private companies
What are 3 challenges in selecting a peer set?
Adjust for non-recurring items
What do you do to the income statement to show a more accurate reflection of operations?
Cost reduction, revenue enhancement, and CapEx savings
Transaction Value / Target’s EBITDA + Annual expected synergies
What are the three main types of synergies?
What is the adjusted EBITDA multiple formula as a result of synergies?
LTM
Take the latest FYE (fiscal year end), add the most recent period, and then subtract that same period that occured 1 year earlier.
LTM captures most recent data, compares companies on the same timeframe, and it takes into account the seasonality effect
When calculating historic multiples, which timeframe is typically used? How do you derive this timeframe?
Why use LTM for historical performance?
Operational
Industry, products/services, distribution channels, customers/consumers, technology, geographic region
Financial
Most important: size (annual revenue, equity value, EV)
Credit Risk and Financial performance
Credit risk
Leverage/coverage ratios and credit ratings
Financial Performance
Operating margins, growth
What 2 attributes do professionals examine to determine a peer set for a company? Explain the attributes.
Restricted shares issued do not come with any offsetting cash from the person awarded the share, whereas stock options come with cash from the person receiving the option.
Restricted shares = no cash to company
Options = cash to company and used to buy back shares
What is the biggest difference between restricted shares and stock options?
The football field
What type of analysis shows the various ranges for offer prices/share?
Different
Merger consequences looks at accretion/dilution impacts to EPS and is typically the result of a strategic merger. Whereas LBO analysis is a financial acquisition in which the sponsor is looking to exit in 5-10 years.
Similar
Both look at impacts to the balance sheet and subsequent leverage and coverage ratios
How is mergers consequences anaylsis similar and different from LBO analysis?
A transaction that utilizes both debt and equity to fund an acquisition
What is a mixed consideration transaction?
Offer value = gaining ownership
Transaction value = true cost of an acquisition
Offer value allows the acquirer to gain ____ of the company, but transaction value reflects the _____ of acquiring the company.
Current EV/Equity value in the numerator and forward looking metric in the denominator.
Forward looking statsitic use a current figure in the ____ and a forward looking figure in the ____.
P/E multiple / Projected annual EPS growth
What is the PEG formula?
Typically, there is Common Stock A and Common Stock B shares. Differentiating features include voting privileges, conversion factors, dividends, private vs public, etc
Explain, generally, dual share characteristics.
C.O.M.P.S. analysis
Credit risk
Operational charcteristics
Market factors
Performance (financial)
Size
Setting aside operational, financial, and size characteristics in determining a peer group, what is another way to decide on a peer group?
The impact on taxes.
When normalizing past EBIT, what is important to consider?
Principal amount of convertible bond / conversion price
Ex: Adjusted NI
$502.6 million
What is the underlying shares increase formula (convertible bond)?
What is the adjusted NI formula to account for the interest expense as a result of a convertible bond?
Example:
A company has a 4% coupon, $100 million convertible bond, a 35% tax rate, and $500 million of reported NI. Show the adjusted NI.
- Take the multiples and multiply it by the target’s EBITDA to get the transaction value
- Subtract net debt, value of preferred stock, minority interest and add equity interest to get offer value
- Divide by diluted shares outstanding to derive implied offer price
Once you have the TV/EBITDA multiples from previous transactions, what do you then do to derive implied offer price/share?
You subtract equity interest but add non-controlling interest
Is equity interest subtracted or added to EV?