Merger Modeling Comprehensive (Reverse) Flashcards
The offer price and the unaffected stock price.
The unaffected stock price is the stock price before any news of an acquisition was released and thus increasing the stock price.
When conducting premium analysis, you want to use what stock price?
Yes. But, it must consider the opportunity cost of interest income.
If a deal is financed with cash, can a company tap into its balance sheet to use its own cash instead of using 100% debt?
Leverage ratios, no greater than 2.5x - 3.0x
Coverage ratios, no less than 5.5x - 6.0x
What are the thresholds for leverage and coverage ratios for investment grade companies?
- Impact to target’s shareholders
- Creation of deffered tax liabilities due to purchase accounting and write ups
- Stock vs asset purchase
What are 3 tax considerations in a merger?
Offer price x target’s diluted shares outstanding
Offer value is derived using public and acquisition comparables analysis and DCF anaylsis
What is the offer value?
Which methods are used to derive offer value?
- $275 million
- $137.5 million debt raised
$137.5 equity issuance
- $150 million
- 0.7639
- 7.639 million
- $4.95 million
- $62.35
- 61.039
- 1.021
- 0.0214 or 2.14% accretion
- $1.31 million
- 7.7x
- 2.1x
- 12.5%
50% stock 50% debt
Acquirer Information
Current price/share $18
Total existing debt $200
EBITDA $135 million
Existing interest expense $12 million
Tax rate 40%
Interest on new debt 6%
NI $53.4
Diluted shares outstanding 53.4
EPS $1
Target Information
Current price/share $22
Total existing debt $50 million
EBITDA $52.2
Existing interest expense $4
Total assets $370
Total liabilities $220
Existing Goodwill $25
NI $13.9
Diluted shares outstanding 10
EPS $1.39
Offer price/share $27.5
- What is the offer value?
- Show the split between debt raised and equity issuance
- What is the resulting Goodwill?
- What is the exchange ratio?
- What is the number of newly issued shares?
- What is the incremental after tax interest expense?
- What is the pro forma NI?
- What is the pro forma shares outstanding?
- What is the pro forma EPS?
- What is the accretion/dilution amount?
- What is the after tax cushion to be EPS flat?
- What is the pro forma coverage ratio?
- What is the pro forma leverage ratio?
- What is the target shareholder %
Synergies offset a higher premium paid for an acquisition.
Also, it offsets the potential incremental interest expense and depreciation/amortization.
Synergies offset what in regards to an acquisition’s price?
It tells what a company COULD pay.
What a company should pay is derived from public comparables, acquistion comparables, and discounted cash flow analysis.
Merger modeling aka accretion/dilution analyis tells us what a company could/should pay?
Offer value is almost equatable to Equity value
Transaction value is like enterprise value, which includes offer value plus the assumed liabilities. It measures the size of the transaction.
What is the difference between offer value and transaction value?
20% to 40%
What is the historical control premium?
Cost reductions, revenue enhancements, CapEx savings
What are the three main synergies resulting from M&A?
Total Debt / EBITDA
EBITDA / Interest expense
Companies could receive credit downgrades, thus reducing their ability to issue debt at lower rates in the future
What pro forma ratios do you analyze to determine credit risk?
What are the consequences of taking on too much debt?
The buyer appeals directly to the target’s shareholders to offer cash in exchange for their shares
What is a tender offer?
Offer price per share / Target’s standalone EPS
Relative P/E anaylsis should be used in a high % stock consideration transaction
What is the offer P/E multiple?
When should relative P/E analysis be used to analyze accretion/dilution?
Stock contributions are typically tax deffered until the stock is sold, while cash contributions are typically taxed immediately.
In regards to taxes, how are stock contributions different from cash contributions?
interest on new debt, increase in depreciable value, and new stock issues.
What dilutes the EPS figure in an acquisition using cash and stock?
It assigns % of acquirer and target to specif metrics such as EBITDA, NI, Sales, etc
Pro forma ownership analysis assigns ownership %s based on the acquirer’s stock and newly issued stock.
Contribution to NI, EBITDA, etc should closely match the ownership anaylsis, thus that is why it is important to compare them.
What is contribution analysis?
What is pro forma ownership anaylsis?
Why is it important to compare ownership and contribution analysis?
Pg. 109 of Merger Modeling
Purchase price - fair value of net identifable assets
Assets are adjusted to fair market value, typically written up, thus causing incremental depreciation etc.
More precise way:
Purchase price - book value of net identifiable assets = purchase price allocation
Purchase price allocation - write ups + resulting deferred tax liability = Goodwill
What is the formula for Goodwill in M&A?
Asset purchases and stock purchases
What are the two types of transaction structures for tax purposes?
Offer price
At what price does the acquirer use to repurchase shares using proceeds for options?
Outstanding
Do you use outstanding or exercisable options when calculating diluted shares?
1 / (interest rate % x (1-T))
Review P/E of cash
The resultant company takes on debt of the acquiree. Thus, it increases its debt load.
Even if a merger occured through equity issuance, how could the resultant company’s debt be impacted?
Expenses for consultants, accountants, and investment bankers. They are expensed as incurred. They are not recurring, thus they need to be adjusted for appropriate for pro forma analysis.
What are transaction expenses, and when are they expensed?
Diluting earnings and ownership. Will the target’s shareholders that are the recipients of the new shares have more ownership than the acquirer’s want?
What is a concern of issuing stock to finance a transaction?
22% target’s shareholders
78% acquirer’s shareholders
Acquirer’s shares 53.4 million
Newly issued shares 15.278 million
What is the % ownership between acquirers vs target’s shareholders?
- Structure the terms of the transaction
- Calculate offer value
- Determine consideration mix (cash vs stock)
- Choose for tax impact - Calculate transaction adjustments
- Balance sheet and income statement adjustments - Analyze pro forma impact
- analyze financial statements
- analyze tax consequences
What are the 3 phases of a merger consequences analysis? Describe the subphases.