Reasoning Flashcards
what is reasoning?
inferring a conclusion from some initial information or premises
what is inductive reasoning?
making broad generalisations based on specific observations
are conclusions drawn from inductive reasoning true?
usually
do people follow rules of probability when reasoning?
no - often rely on heuristics (mental shortcuts that reduce cognitive load)
what are cons of the use of heuristics?
- can increase errors
- lead to bias e.g. stereotyping
what is the availability heuristic?
- a representation that is immediately available
- works well in a range of contexts
what is the conjunction fallacy?
the wrong assumption that 2 specific conditions are more probable than 1 condition
outline hypothesis testing?
- a form of inductive reasoning
- gain evidence to confirm and falsify the hypothesis
can hypothesis testing ever fully support the hypothesis?
no
what is confirmation bias?
seeking to confirm a hypothesis but failing to attempt to disprove it
are there times when confirmation testing is more appropriate than falsifying?
yes e.g. drug trials
what are cons of inductive reasoning?
- reliance on heuristics not statistics
- heuristics are error prone
- people typically attempt to prove hypotheses (conf bias) rather than disprove - leads to more errors
what is deductive reasoning?
drawing definite conclusions based on formal logic
what are the two types of deductive reasoning?
- syllogistic
- conditional
what is syllogistic reasoning?
when two statements or premises followed by a conclusion