Probability Flashcards
what the definition of probability
scaled-down group behaviour applied to a single individual”
Define experiment
any procedure the outcome of which cannot be predicted with certainty
define sample space
the set of all possible outcomes
what does P(E) mean?
probability of event E
p(E) = 0 implies event E is impossible
P(E) = 1 implies event E is CERTAIN
A larger P(E) implies event E has greater likelihood of occurring
what does it mean if two events are mutually exclusive
If they have no elements in common, i.e. if they cannot both happen at the same time
If A, B, C are mutually exclusive events:
P(A or B) = P(A) + P(B)
P(A or B or C or …) = P(A) + P(B) + P(C) + …
- For a certain population:
P(type O blood) = 0.43; P(type A blood) = 0.20
P(type O or type A blood) = 0.43+0.20 = 0.63
If A, B, C … are not mutually exclusive events:
P(A or B) = P(A) + P(B) - P(A and B)
P(A or B or C) = P(A) + P(B) + P(C) - P(A and B) - P(B and C) - P(C and A) + P(A and B and C)
conditional probabilities
this is when we restrict our comments to only the male population or the female population
how to work out conditional probabilities
if working out the probability of A given B then you do the probability of A and B divided by the probability of B