Pricing Health & Care Contracts (28) Flashcards
Costing IP approaches (2)
- Multi-state model
- Claim inception & disability annuity
Multi-state Modelling
Stages
– healthy premium paying
– sick with deferral period
– claimant after deferral
– recovery + premium paying
– dead
Need:
– Forces of transition (intensities) btw stages
– Project transition probabilities
– Leads to sub-cohorts
Superior for sensitivity testing
Inception & disabled life annuity approach
Simplified multi-state
{ survival probability } x { claim inception rate } x { annuity disability }
– producing mid-year values
– discount to get beginning of year
Five components
1. survival probability
2. claim inception rate
3. value of annuity payable
4. discount factor
5. annual benefit amount
Disabled annuity
Base off of double decrement
– recovery
– death
Only current claims only
Claim inception rate
Sickness inception rate x P(sick lives surviving sick deferral period)
- initial claim inception rate: ix,d
- central claim inception rate: (ia)x,d
- central claim inception rate: (ib)x,d
Disabled life annuities
- current benefit
- during sickness, currently healthy
Critical illness
critical illness claim incidence rate = ix * { probability of surviving survival period}
Accelerated critical illness claim incidence rate = ix + (1 - kx)*qx