Prediction and forecasting

Question 1

What does prediction depend on?

Answer 1

type and location of the tectonic hazard

Question 2

Earthquakes prediction

Answer 2

• Cannot be predicted.
• Only areas at high risk can be identified.

-Animal behavior, seismometer, radon gas, past quake mag

Question 3

Volcanoes prediction

Answer 3

• Can be predicted

- seismometer, geometer (measures internal swealing), radon gas

Question 4

Tsunamis prediction

Answer 4

• Can be partly predicted
• An earthquake-induced tsunami cannot be predicted

However, seismometers can tell an earthquake has occurred and locate it, then ocean monitoring equipment can detect tsunami in the open sea
- This information can be relayed to coastal areas, which can be evacuated.

-DART system, drawdown, BOIYS

Question 5

Hazard management cycle

Answer 5

Prep (community resilience) - response (short term aid) - recovery (long term aid) - mitigation (mitigation)

Recovery depends on development level, mag of disaster, external help.