PPP, Price Levels And Exchange Rates In The LR Flashcards
What does the Law of one Price state?
- price of the same good (using a common currency) in different competitive markets must be the same if transaction costs and barriers between markets are negligible
What is PPP?
- application of LOOP across countries for all goods and services
What does Absolute PPP suggest?
- general level of prices, converted to a common currency will be the same in every country
- exchange rates equal the ratio of relative average prices across countries
What does the monetary approach to exchange rates predict?
- levels of average prices across counties adjust so that the quantity of real monetary assets supplied will equal the quantity of real monetary assets demanded
According to Absolute PPP describe what happens when there is a permanent increase in the money supply?
- permanent increase in the Ms causes a proportional increase in the domestic price level in in order to keep real money supply constant
- results in a proportional depreciation of the domestic currency / increase in E to ensure PP across countries is unaffected
According to Absolute PPP describe the effect of an increase in the domestic interest rate?
- increase in the interest rate means there is an increase in the opportunity cost of holding money
- demand for money falls
- prices rise to compensate
- proportional depreciation in the domestic currency required to maintain purchasing power
According to Absolute PPP describe the impact of a rise in the output level
- rise in output level increases demand for money
- this is associated with a decrease in the average domestic price level
- causing a proportional appreciation of the home currency to ensure PP is unaffected
What does Relative PPP say ?
- the rate of change in the exchange rate equals the inflation differential between two countries
Combining the interest rate parity condition and Relative PPP what do we find?
- the nominal interest differential equals the expected inflation differential
What is the fisher effect?
- a rise in the expected inflation rate in a country caused an equal rise in its nominal interest rate
What came be said about the real interest rates across countries
According to Relative PPP real interest rates across countries should be equal
Using the money market equilibrium condition, Relative PPP and the fisher effect describe the impact an increase in domestic Ms growth has
- according to the fisher effect the domestic nominal interest rate will increase because of the increase in inflation caused by the increase in Ms
- the increase in RH decreases the demand for money
- for the money market to maintain equilibrium in the LR prices must jump up
- From relative PPP, E must also jump up (domestic currency depreciates)
Why do prices, interest rates and the exchange rate jump?
- we form expectations about the rate of inflation before the CB actions the policy
What are the shortcomings of Absolute PPP?
- there is little empirical support
What are the shortcomings of Relative PPP?
- more consistent with data
May not be accurate because: - trade barriers and non traceable products
- imperfect competition
- differences in measures of average prices for baskets of goods and services