Fixed Exchange Rates And Foreign Exchange Intervention Flashcards
Describe the effect a purchase of any asset has on the Ms
- purchase of any asset by CB increases money supply
Describe effect of the sale of any asset on the Ms
- sale of any asset by the CB decreases the domestic money supply
What is sterilisation?
- offsetting changes in the money supply
If the CB fixes the exchange rate but Y rises explain what happens in the economy and how CB offsets this
- increase in output raises the demand for real monetary assets
- RMD schedule (money market) shifts down
- excess demand for money
- excess supply of bonds
- bond price falls
- interest rate rises
- would cause appreciation of domestic currency and E to fall
To prevent this CB should:
- buy foreign assets in the FX market
- this increases domestic money supply
- reduces interest rates in the SR
- value of domestic currency is decreases
Describe the impact of monetary policy under a fixed exchange rate regime
- monetary policy is ineffective in influencing output and employment under a fixed exchange rate regime
What is revaluation?
CB deliberately makes domestic currency more valuable
What is devaluation?
- CB deliberately makes domestic currency less valuable
Describe a devaluation using the AA-DD model
- CB buys foreign assets
- increasing Ms
- excess supply of real money
- excess demand for bonds
- bond price increases
- interest rate falls
- return on domestic deposits is less than expected return abroad
- demand for foreign deposits increases
- domestic currency depreciates
- E rises
- AA curve shifts up
- domestic products become less expensive relative to foreign products
- AD and output increase
- official international reserve assets increases
When would a balance of payment crisis occur?
- may be caused when a CB does not have enough official international reserve assets to maintain fixed exchange rate
How can balance of payment crisis be worsened?
- if investors expect that the domestic currency will be revalued they switch demand to foreign assets
What is capital flight?
- financial capital is quickly moved from domestic assets to foreign assets
Describe the effect of capital flight in the economy and how CB tries to reduce this impact
- capital flight leads to low AD
- to prevent this CB has to push interest rates up to make domestic assets more attractive
- it does this through the sale of domestic of foreign assets which reduces the money supply
- this increases interest rates in the SR
- however this can cause low AD, high interest rates, low output and low employment in the economy
Why do expectations change?
- Expectation about CB ability and willingness to maintain fixed exchange rate
- Expectations about economy (reduction of domestic demand relative to foreign demand )
- Expectations of devaluation can cause devaluation (self-fulfilling crisis)
Describe Britain and ERM
- joined around 1990
- joining did not bring prosperity
- opted out in 1992
- following departure interest rates fell, and real GDP growth increased faster relative to those who remained
- opting out was effective
What is the main benefit of fixed exchange rate regimes?
- fixed exchange rate regimes make trade more attractive as they reduce uncertainties regarding prices