International Monetary Systems: Global Imbalances And The Policy Trilemma Flashcards
What is the internal balance?
- macroeconomic goals of producing at potential/full employment level of output and of price stability (low inflation)
What is external balance?
- achieved when CA is neither so deeply in deficit that the country may be unable to replay its foreign debt
- not so strongly in surplus that foreigners are put in that position
What is the policy Trilemma?
Impossible for a country to achieve more than 2/3 from the following list:
1: Fixed E (Ee-E/E=0)
- promote stability in trade and investment
- International capital mobility
R=R*+Ee-E/E
- promotes integration, efficiency and risk sharing
- improves diversification - Monetary policy independence
R=\R*
- manage fluctuations
Describe historical overview
- gold standard era 1870-1914
- IMS 1918-1939
- Bretton Woods 1944-1973
- collapse of Bretton Woods
4 reasons supporting floating exchange rates ?
- Monetary policy independence
- Automatic stabilisation
- Flexible Exchange rates may prevent speculation
- symmetry
If USA increases Ms AA-DD model predicts an increase in US output and income in the SR. What would be the effects for Japan?
- increase in US output and income would raise demand for Japanese products
- inc. AD and output in Japan
- depreciation of USD means appreciation of yen
- lowering demand for Japanese product
- decreasing AD and output in Japan
- total effect is ambiguous
USA permanently increases government purchases, AA-DD model predicts an appreciation of USD. What are the effects for Japan and subsequent effects for USA?
- USD appreciation means a depreciation of the yen
- raising demand for Japanese’s products
- increasing AD and output in Japan
Subsequent effects for USA
- higher Japanese output and income means that more income is spent on US products
- inc. AD and output in USA in the SR
Describe how the internal balance can be restored after a fiscal expansion?
- fiscal expansion increases AD so Y>Yf
- revaluation of domestic currency must occur (fall in E)
- revaluation makes unit of domestic currency more valuable
- dkwmstic goods more expensive
- CAB falls
- Y falls until it =Yf
Describe how after a fiscal expansion the external balance can be restored
- fiscal expansion increases AD and output Y>Yf
- domestic currency appreciates and CAB worsens
- devaluation of domestic currency
- rise in E required to restore external balance