PPD - Clinical Decision Making, Developing Teaching Skills Flashcards
What is a doctor
one who has ultimate responsibility for difficult decision, using knowledge and judgement
Modern educational values (x3)
Knowledge, skills, feelings (NOT judgement)
Bernoulli expected utility theory - equation and issue
EU = likelihood x value of the event happening.
In theory, should be able to anticipate the outcome of any set of circumstances however humans are not good at estimating likelihoods and value
Authors involved in clinical decision making and their theories
Kahneman and Tversky
Novices decide analytically
Experts decide using intuition (hinges of pattern recognition)
Problems arise when people use intuition before they are ready (think they can recognise the
pattern but they can’t)
Define intuition
ability to understand something instantly without conscious reasoning
Advantages and disads of intuitive decision making
Ads
- Fast and frugal - using heuristics (cognitive shortcuts)
Disads
- Strong - cognitively predisposed to recognise
- Prone to biases
Types of heuristics
Heuristics is cognitive short cuts.
- Availability (Recent experience dominates evidence)
- Anchoring (Undue emphasis is given to an early salient feature in a consultation)
- Representativeness
4 types of bias in intuitive thinking
- Error of over-attachment
eg. confirmation bias - Error due to failure to consider alternative
eg. search satisfaction (Having found one diagnosis, other co-existing conditions are not detected; eg missing the 2nd fracture after finding 1st fracture in trauma patient) - Error due to inheriting thinking
eg. diagnosis momentum (paramedic hands over patient with working diagnosis and dr takes this working diagnosis to be true diagnosis without reconsidering) - Errors in prevalence perception or estimation
eg availability bias (Recent experience dominates evidence)
eg. Gambler’s fallacy (The tendency to think that a run of diagnoses means the sequence cannot continue, rather than taking each case on its merits. eg. ’I’ve seen 3 people with acute coronary syndrome recently; this can’t be a fourth.’)
What is analytical decision making and what are ads and disads
We may not be good at estimating odds/values but we are good at measuring and calculating them (basis for EBM).
Ads
- accurate
- reliable
Disads
- Slow - keeps other patients waiting
- Resource-intensive - costs money
- Cognitively damaging - exhausting
How to reduce risks of intuition
NB. cant stop intuition - it is irresistible
- Decision environment and process
- Personal debiasing techniques (e.g. take a moment to think if you’ve missed anything)
- Structural debiasing (e.g. certain conditions can only be discharge by consultant etc.)
Explain how decision environment affects intuition
- Decision density (more decisions is more difficult) and contingency (one decision may rely on another decision)
- Physical environment (noisy)
- Process environment
Personal debiasing
Affective biasing
- Acknowledgment of bias
- Personal accountability (fatigue, hunger, relationship issues)
Cognitive debiasing - executive override
- slowing and stopping techniques
- cognitive forcing strategies
Structural debiasing
- training in DBT (dual process theory)
- structural forcing strategies
- checklists
- group decision strategies: MDTs, ward rounds
What is DPT
Dual process theory
Intuitive thinking with its irresistible combination of heuristics and biases together with
analytical thinking, using EBM
Sometimes decisions are a combination of intuitive and analytical thinking, not either or
Issue with DPT
Sometimes intuitive thinking and analytical thinking may result in conflicting conclusions