Poverty Profile and Dynamics Flashcards
general patterns in low income countries
- households live on < $1.90 per person per day
- typical poor family has 6-12 members
- extended household structure
- high young to old ratio
- food represents 1/2 to 3/4 total consumption
- multiple income sources
- low investment in health and education
- risk-averse
antipoverty programs not financially sustainable without…
increased government revenues and/or without increased personal saving or formal insurance
Baulch and McCulloch
poverty problem is one involving large turnover of vulnerable people rather than hardcore of chronically poor
ways of measuring dynamics of poverty
- panel data based on income and consumption
- repeated cross sectional surveys
- measures at point in time that captures dynamics
two main methods to identify and measure chronic poverty (yaqub 2000)
1) spells approach
- chronic poor identified by number of length of spells
2) components approach
- distinguishes permanent component of household income from its transitory variations and identifies chronic poor as those whose permanent component is below poverty line
levels of vulnerability
highly vulnerable
- > 50% probability of being poor in next period
moderately vulnerable
- < 50% probability of being poor in next period
not vulnerable
- no chance of being poor in next period
4 categories of determinants
1) household characteristics
- gender, ethnicity, caste
2) asset endowments
- natural, physical, financial, social capital
3) context in which capital is used
- agro-ecological conditions/market access/institutions/common and public goods and policies
4) transfers
- access to social safety nets and remittances
4 types of shocks
1) to assets
2) to context in which it uses assets to generate income
3) to context in which it transforms its income and consumption
4) to transfers
two types of policy instruments
- cargo-net instruments that can lift average income
- transitory poverty to raise expenditure and reduce exposure to risk
advantages of empirical evidence based approach
- provides consistent and common theoretical framework within which we can evaluate policy and institutional reforms
- provides quantification of effects of various measures
- delivers better understanding of microeconomic processes that generate income growth
- kind of evidence currently being built by microeconomic research at national level will be most persuasive and credible advice to policy makers