Picasso - LBO Flashcards

1
Q

What is private equity?

A

Private equity is an asset class, where by a PE fund, run by a general partner, raises outside capital from investors (“LPs”) to make controlling investments in companies. The sponsor will put in roughly 20-30% of equity, with the remainder funded by debt, excess cash, and other, with the goal of making operating improvements and increasing equity value over a holding period of ~5 years.

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2
Q

What is a LBO fund? What are its characteristics?

A

Buyout fund: lockup period of 10 years. Controlling investments. Industry or specialty focus. Target companies by EV and EBITDA

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3
Q

Stages of a PE fund

A

(1) Create fund
(2) Find target
(3) Structure deal
(4) Obtain financing
(5) Unlock value
(6) Exit the investment

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4
Q

Why lever up a firm?

A

The short, sponsor puts up less equity and magnifies returns.

  1. Reduces the sponsor’s equity check, which increases returns and frees up capital for other projects
  2. Creditors do not participate in equity upside
  3. Interest is tax deductible
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5
Q

Strategic acquirers tend to prefer to pay for acquisitions with cash. If that is the case, why would a private equity fund want to use debt in a LBO?

A

When you raise debt, you are still paying the shareholders off in cash (unless they roll their equity).
- Uses debt for reasons already described

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6
Q

What is a hedge fund?

A

No single, agreed-upon definition.

- Invest in public markets with public information; offer investors quarterly liquidity; absolute returns; 2 and 20

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7
Q

What are the main differences between private equity and hedge funds?

A

Both are marketed to accredited investors and charge a 2-20 compensation structure. Not correlated with the market.

  • Time horizon: LP lock-up period of 10 years vs. quarterly liquidity (depends on the fund)
  • Control**
  • Private vs public investments (generally)
  • Strategy: Holding period of investments / source of value creation (HF usually needs a catalyst to rec value)
  • Fee structure: HFs are paid quarterly or every year, while PE funds get paid when they exit their investments - no performance fees are taken for 5 years or more
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8
Q

What is IRR? What is the formula for calculating the IRR of a LBO?

A

Internal rate of return is an investors annualized return of its investment in the fund.

  • Cost of capital to make NPV = 0
  • If you lay out the cash flow schedule, with a cash outflow at T=0, and dividends received throughout the holding period and exit at T=N, you can solve for the discount rate, which is equal to IRR
  • If no intermittent cash flows = CAGR formula
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9
Q

What is the hurdle rate?**

A

Minimum IRR to make an investment

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10
Q

Run me through the changes between the existing balance sheet and the pro forma balance sheet in an LBO model.

A

Every item in the sources and uses and purchase price allocation.
Assets
- Excess cash used? Cash to balance sheet?
- Write up of assets; intangible assets created
- Wipe out old goodwill; add new goodwill
Liabilities
- Write up
- DTL
- Debt refi’d, assumed?
- New debt (OID? Financing fees? Contra accounts!)
Equity
- Wipe out old SHE
- New Cash + rollover = equity
- Transaction fees subtracted out of RE

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11
Q

Walk me through an LBO analysis.**

A

I’d be happy to:

  1. Lay out your valuation and operating assumptions around minimum cash needed to run the business, M&A expenses, etc
  2. Purchase price allocation
  3. Financing assumptions - how much debt can this company support while maintaining flexibility? What’s the cost?
  4. Sources and uses
  5. Financial forecast
    - Project income statement
    - Project balance sheet accounts except debt balances
    - Build down to LFCF
  6. Debt schedule
    - Calculate annual debt repayment and interest expense
    - Feed interest expense, debt repayments, and EoP debt to financials
  7. Returns analysis
    - Sensitivities
    - Dividend recap
    - Exit multiple, etc
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12
Q

Let’s say you run an LBO analysis and the private equity firm’s return is too low.
What drivers to the model will increase the return?**

A
  1. Operating performance
    - Sales: increase prices? Increase volume?
    - Expand margins? Cut costs?
  2. Leverage!
  3. FCF generation to pay down debt
  4. Purchase price
  5. Multiple expansion (add on)
  6. Dividends
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13
Q

What are ways to increase the exit multiple?

A

Assuming you cannot reduce the purchase price:

  • Add-on investments (increase scale, growth prospects, diversification, size)
  • Sale to a strategic
  • Sale when financing and M&A markets are hot
  • Trajectory –> growth prospects
  • Pivot to new industry that has more favorable valuation
  • Reduce customer / supplier concentration
  • IP, asset specificity
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14
Q

What are the three ways to create equity value?**

A
  • EBITDA growth
  • Multiple expansion
  • Debt paydown
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15
Q

What are the potential investment exit strategies for an LBO fund?**

A
  • Sale to a strategic buyer
  • Sale to a financial buyer
  • IPO
  • Not a full exit, but dividend recapitalization
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16
Q

Advantages of LBO financing?**

A
  • Debt: lowers equity check. Sponsor relationships with funds and banks.
  • mgmt equity roll
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17
Q

What are some characteristics of a company that is a good LBO candidate?**

A
Industry
- Not overly cyclical 
- Industry growth
- Low barriers to entry with a strong competitive position
Company
- Stable and defensible free cash flow for debt paydown and debt capacity
     - Unencumbered Assets
- Pricing power with customers; bargaining power with suppliers
- Low capex and wc requirements
- Business plan
- Experienced management
- Clean balance sheet
- *Undervalued!

Operational improvements
- Divestable assets?

Risks can be mitigated

Viable exit

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18
Q

What is a good due diligence framework?

A
  1. Situation overview; understand why the seller is selling
  2. Industry
    - Market size, trends, growth, market share over time
    - Porter’s 5 forces
    - Stage of business cycle
    - Fragmented or concentrated
  3. Company
    - Pricing power, increase volume? Platform investment?
    - Opportunity to cut costs
    - Products diff on cost, brand or quality?
    - Off balance sheet liabilities
    - Management
  4. Financials make sense
  5. Exit
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19
Q

Due diligence: what industry specific questions would you ask?

A

Porter’s Five Forces

(1) Competitive rivalry
- Perfect competition, oligopoly, or monopoly
- What is the primary strategy for product competition (brand, quality, price)?
- What is market share / fragmentation (# of comps)?
- High fixed costs & low variable costs
- High barriers to exit
(2) Threat of new entry
- Barriers to entry high or low (e.g. capital equipment, technology protection, labor unions, time, cost advantage, specialist knowledge)
- Economies of scale?
- Market fragmentation?
(3) Threat of substitutes
- Is substitution easy and viable?
- Low switching costs
(4) Supplier power
- How many suppliers are there for each key input? Size of each?
- How easy is it for suppliers to drive up prices?
- What is the uniqueness of their product or service, their strength and control over you, the cost of switching from one to another, and so on?
(5) Buyer power
- How many customers are there? Size of each order?
- Differences between services?

Customer

(1) What is the unmet need?
(2) Which segment is being targeted?
(3) Price sensitivity
(4) Motivated by quality or service

Growth of Market
(1) Rate of growth and reason behind it
(2) Sustainability
(3) Cyclicality
External Factors
(1) Regulatory (creating high barriers to entry)
(2) Technology (quick changes making inventory obsolete)
(3) Litigation / public perception (adverse lawsuits, celebrity endorsement)

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20
Q

Due Diligence: What firm specific questions would you ask?

A
  • Get a picture of financials: sales, unit economics, costs (variable and fixed), growth from organic or inorganic means?
  • Product mix
  • Pricing strategy
  • Levers to increase sales (price or volume?)
  • Levers to reduce costs (fixed / variable?)
    • Labor: cross train, work overtime, reduce workweek, pay cuts, layoff workers, automate
    • Production: IT, efficiency, lease rationalization, raw materials
    • Financial: hedging? Cost of debt (unlikely)?
  • Experience of mgmt through cycles. Track record.
  • Capital requirements to support existing operations? What about growth capex? Ability to reduce cash conversion cycle?
  • Off balance sheet liabilities
  • Non core assets
  • Exit

Other
- Will key customers react to the acquisition

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21
Q

What is a good framework for an investment memorandum?***

A

1) Investment Thesis / Recommendation

2) Merits and Considerations
- 5 Major Points
- Mitigating Factors

3) Industry Analysis
4) Company Analysis
5) Model Drivers

6) Financial Summary
- Structure
- FCF and financial summary
- Multiples
- Credit stats
- Returns and sensitivity

7) Next steps and areas for further diligence

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22
Q

What is an offering memorandum?

A

An offering memorandum is a legal document that states the objectives, risks, and terms of an investment involved with a private placement.

Includes: company’s financial statements, management biographies, a detailed description of the business operations

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23
Q

If I handed you an offering memorandum, what are some of the things you’d think about?**

A
  • Industry and the firm’s competitve positioning. Niche player? Consolidating and is the firm winning market share through M&A? Organically?
  • Company: financial performance. Unit economics. Pricing power. Volume. Operating leverage. Ability for operating improvements. Managment
  • Valuation
  • Good investment
  • Structure
  • Risks
  • Exit. What if the investment flops?
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24
Q

Walk me through S&U?**

A

Sources

  • Excess cash
  • New debt
  • Equity roll
  • Debt assumed, if any
  • Sponsor cash and other co-invest

Uses

  • Offer price
  • Debt
  • Fees
  • OID
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25
Q

What is a revolving credit facility and what are its characteristics?

A

RCF can be best described as a corporate credit card, secured by either certain current assets or cash flow of the company.

  • Commitment amount
  • Availability
  • Interest rate
  • Commitment fee
  • Prepay / draw at any time, assuming you’re in compliance and have availability

Helps seasonal businesses that must build up inventory ahead of a holiday season

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26
Q

What is bank debt and what are its characteristics?

A

40-50% of cap stk

  • RCF
  • Term loans (usually A)
  • Secured
  • Floating rates, usually at a margin above LIBOR
  • Prepayable
  • Amortization
  • ECF Sweep
  • Fewer holders. Easier to negotiate
  • Restrictive covenants
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27
Q

What forms does bank debt usually take?

A

Credit facility: RBL, ABL, RCF, TL-A and B (1L and sometimes 2L), DIP financing

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28
Q

What are incurrence and maintenance covenants?

A
  • Incurrence: Covenants generally restrict a company’s flexibility to make further acquisitions, raise additional debt, and make payments (e.g. dividends) to equity holders.
  • Maintenance: financial maintenance covenants, which are quarterly performance tests, and is generally secured by the assets of the borrower.
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29
Q

What is high-yield debt (sub notes or junk bonds) and what are its characteristics?

A

20-30% of cap stk
Offered to institutional investors, such as hedge funds, pension funds, CDO funds, sovereigns, endowments, etc.
- As the name suggests, the higher yield reflects the credit risk of the issuer –> not investment grade
- Likely unsecured
- Fixed rate paid semi-annually
- OID to incentivize investors
- No call period, no amortization, prepayment premiums
- Make-whole provisions

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30
Q

What are the advantages of subordinated debt?

A

To the investor?

  • Yield
  • Warrants?
  • Can be treated differently after issued (tender shares)
  • Liquidity
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31
Q

What is cash-pay vs PIK?

A

Interest paid in cash or additional principal

- Can be PIK toggle

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32
Q

What is the minimum high-yield debt amount?

A

Public and 144A high yield offerings are generally $150mm or larger; for offerings below this size, assume mezzanine debt. In some case, it may be appropriate to include warrants such that the expected IRR is 17-19% to the bondholder

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33
Q

What is mezzanine debt and what are its characteristics?

A

Mezzanine normally the tranche junior to all other debt, but senior to equity and preferred insturments

Provided by credit and hedge funds to help get the deal over the line. Fairly high cost of capital. Miniminal covenants. Warrants / convertible to equity. PIK. Unsecured.

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34
Q

What are seller notes and what are their characteristics?

A

Buyer does pay the entire purchase price up front in cash, amortized over time. Lower cost of capital than other forms of debt. As part of the negotiation, be held liable to pay some or all of purchase price by seller notes.

Seller has faith that the buyer will pay off the seller’s note.

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35
Q

Why do PE multiples and EBITDA multiples yield you different valuation results? Why use EBITDA multiples instead of PE multiples?**

A

EBITDA multiple represents value to all stakeholders while PE represents value to only equity holders.

EBITDA for LBOs

  • Value firms running at net losses but may be cash flow positive
  • Represents operating cash flow
  • You must buyout the whole firm
  • Compare firms with different leverage & DA schedules
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36
Q

What are the ways in which a company can spend available cash/FCF?**

A
Reinvest in the business
- R&D, Capex
Keep on balance sheet as cushion
M&A - expand into new market
Distribute to equity
- Dividend, share buyback
Buyback debt
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37
Q

Given that there is no multiple expansion and flat EBITDA, how can you still generate a return?**

A
  • Dividends
  • Reduce taxes; interest expense
  • Paydown debt
  • Take on more debt at close
  • Reduce capex / nwc investment
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38
Q

What is the different between bank loan and high-yield debt covenants?**

A

Bank includes maintennace covenants that are tested quarterly
High yield includes incurrence covenants that are tested at certain events (capex, M&A, debt incurrence)

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39
Q

What determined your split between bonds and bank in the deal? **

A

Will first look to issue bank debt as it allows for prepayments and lower interest rates, however.

  • Banks will only lend up to a certain amount of assets or EBITDA
  • Covenants
  • Collateral required
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40
Q

(What determined your split between bonds and bank in the deal? )
If there is a higher growth capex proportion of total capex, would you still want to use same split?

A
  • Bank debt will require that you use a certain % of ECF to pay down principal
  • Bond covenants, while you’ll need to be in compliance with certain incurrence covenants (PI), will give you flexibility
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41
Q

Which valuation will be higher or lower, all else the same? DCF or LBO?*

A

DCF will be higher. LBOs have a higher cost of equity capital

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42
Q

Assume the following scenario: EBITDA of $10 million and FCF of $15 million. Entry and exit multiple are 5x. Leverage is 3x. At time of exit, 50 percent of debt is paid down. You generate a 3x return. 20 percent of options are given to management. At what price must you sell the business?**

A
Basis = 50-30=20
Equity at close = 20*3=60
Before options  60/0.8=60*5/4=75
Debt at close = 15
TEV = 75+15=90

Multiple = 90/10=9.0x

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43
Q

If you have a company with a P/E of 10x and cost of debt of 5 percent, which is cheaper for an acquisition?**

A

Cost of debt is cheaper
Cost of equity = 10%
Cost of debt (after tax) = 5%

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44
Q

Would you rather have an extra dollar of debt paydown or an extra dollar of EBITDA?**

A

Extra dollar of EBITDA.

- $1 increase in EBITDA increases equity by multiple * $1, while $1 debt reduction increases equity by $1

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45
Q

You have two investment opportunities: Company A and Company B.
Company A:
Revenue: $100 million
EBITDA: $20 million
Projected annual revenue growth: 5 percent for the next five years
Purchase price: 5x EBITDA/4x Debt and 1x Equity
Company B:
Revenue: $100 million
EBITDA: $20 million
Projected annual revenue growth: 10 percent for the next five years
Purchase price: 6x EBITDA/4x Debt & 2x Equity

Which is the better investment opportunity based on this information? Assume everything about the companies is the same except for what is given in the information, and assume the exit multiple is the same as the entrance multiple.**

A
Ignoring compounding, take company B!
A: 
Margin = 20%, t+5 sales = $125, EBITDA = $25
Exit = 5*25=$125 less Debt = $80
Equity = 45
Basis = $20
MOM = 2.5x
IRR = 20%
B:
Margin = 20%, t+5 sales = $150, EBITDA = $30
Exit = 5*30=$150 less Debt = $80
Equity = 70
Basis = $20
MOM = 3.5x
IRR = 30%
46
Q

A company runs two operating subsidiaries. One sells coffee and one sells doughnuts. You own 100 percent of the coffee subsidiary. You own 80 percent of the doughnut subsidiary. The coffee subsidiary generates $100 million of EBITDA. The doughnut subsidiary generates $200 million of EBITDA. Doughnut companies are worth 5.0x EBITDA. The parent share price is $10 and there are 100 million shares. The company has cash of debt of $500 million and cash of $200 million. What’s the enterprise value to EBITDA multiple for this company?**

A

Coffee: 100% ownership
- EBITDA = $100

Donuts = 80% ownership

  • EBITDA = $200
  • 5.0x, TEV = $1,000
  • NCI valued at 20%*1,000=$200

Market Cap = 10*100=$1,000
+ Net Debt $300 + NCI $200 = $1,500
EBITDA = $300
Valuation = 5.0x

47
Q

A company has $100 million of EBITDA. It grows to $120 million in five years. Each year you paid down $25 million of debt. Let’s say you bought the company for 5.0x and sold it for 5.5x. How much equity value did you create? How much is attributed to each strategy of creating equity value?**

A

Total debt reduction = $125
Purch = 500
Exit = $660

Debt paydown = $125
Multiple expansion = 0.5x * 120 = $60
EBITDA growth = $20*20=$100

48
Q

Given $100 million initial equity investment, five years, IRR of 25 percent, what’s exit EBITDA if sold at 15x multiple?**

A

5 year, 25% IRR = 3.0x MOM
Equity at close = $300

  • What’s the debt? Let’s say it’s $400.
  • TEV = $700
    700/15 = 46.7
49
Q

In an LBO, if cost of debt is 10 percent, what is the minimum return required to break even?**

A

After tax cost of debt = 10%*(1-40%)=6%

Breakeven!

50
Q

You have a company with 3x senior leverage and 5x junior leverage, what happens when you sell a business for 9x EBITDA?**

A

Deleveraging transaction

51
Q

You have a company with 3x senior leverage and 5x junior leverage, what happens when you sell a business for 9x EBITDA?**
Same example as above, what happens when you sell the asset for 8x EBITDA?**

A

No impact to total leverage

52
Q

What are the advantages of an LBO?

A
  • Proven business model that aligns incentives of management and investors; come to play a large part of the US economy
  • Long-term investment horizon allows for control and value creation
  • Leverage = minimizes equity check, creates tax shield, increases returns
  • Pressure to maximize operational efficiency (efficiency frontier)
  • Sponsor’s network
53
Q

What are some risks / considerations for an LBO?

A
  • External factors
  • Industry
  • Operating performance
  • Financial Leverage
  • Management does not execute (relies on growth that doesn’t pan out)
  • Operating leverage
  • Lose market share
  • MGMT may not like how PE firms are hands on
  • Credit markets and equity markets close when trying to exit, depressing your valuation
54
Q

What is the EBITDA of a company with $200 million of debt and is levered 4 times?

A

$50

55
Q

What is the simple average method for calculating IRR?

A

If you doubled your return, you increased your initial investment by 100 percent. If your investment was three years, then you had about 33.3 percent growth each year. However, the compounding effect makes the IRR markedly lower (~26.0 percent). This method just gives you the upper limit of the IRR; you can get a feel for how strongly the compounding effect makes the simple average higher than the IRR. The longer the duration of the investment, the more powerful the compounding effect.

56
Q

What is the rule of 72 for calculating IRR?

A

If you double your money, 72 / # of years = IRR

57
Q

What are the relevant IRRs for a five year investment?

A
1x = 0%
2x = 15%
3x = 25%
4x = 32%
5x = 38%
6x = 43%
58
Q

How do you do a deal with no leverage?

A

How do you make it work?

  • Management
  • Free cash flow (WC management)
  • Buy high quality businesses at fair prices and make operational improvements that results in ebitda growth, multiple expansion
59
Q

What is a 338(h)10 election?

A

A 338(h)10 election is when the parties involved in a deal decide to do a stock deal for legal purposes but an asset deal for tax purposes.

60
Q

What are the characteristics that make an industry attractive for a private equity investment?

A

Industry with high barriers to entry and is not cyclical and overly reliant on uncontrollable market factors (i.e. oil price). Fragmented sellers and buyers with room to consolidate.

  • If the industry is too fragmented, it may be too hard to find a viable acq target
  • If the industry is too concentrated, roll up strategies become difficult
  • Large, growing market => less of a zero sum game
  • Exit opps
61
Q

What do you look for in potential investments in this economic climate?

A
  • Companies with a diverse supply chain and an identified niche in the market. Pathways to market exist in this global pandemic. Robust supply chain. Potentially an end to end supplier.
  • Fair access to credit with healthy free cash flow generation
    (1) Potential market size: depending on the size of the fund and the size of the potential investee, the market for that investee needs to be a certain size to mitigate a range of risks. A larger market means you need less of a share to achieve target returns. It also means that competitors have less of an influence when they get aggressive. For a lower-mid-market fund, I look for markets with a current size of at least $0.5-$1b and with growth rates that are at least positive (not as common in our current economic climate).
    (2) Customer/Supplier Fragmentation: the last thing you want in this market (when it’s already tough to grow) is to invest in a business with high customer concentration. If a major customer is lost, you could lose a significant part of your business. All of those great strategic plans you had to grow the business will now only bring the business back to its former glory. The same goes with the supply side, although there’s often less of an impact (unless you are licensing someone else’s brand).
    (3) Counter-cyclical offering: most of the highly defensive industries make for bad investments. They either don’t have the growth prospects or are too risky. I’m thinking agricultural commodities, certain financial services, natural resources, etc. But, you can benefit from counter-cyclicality in other industries too by finding sub-industries that businesses visit in tougher economic conditions due to cost savings.
    Michael Picasso’s Finance Interview Guide 95
    (4) Invested management team: we’re seeing many business owners looking to sell out completely while telling us that their businesses would make great investments even in a downturn. One would think that a mass exodus would indicate something quite different to a great opportunity. So, beware of business owners jumping ship, especially if they’re not on their deathbeds and are sufficiently able to continue their businesses. They know more about their business than you do, so take notice of their behavior. Also, don’t let earn-outs that seem to lock management in fool you; they’ve often done their numbers and have accounted for the risk of losing the earn-out.
    (5) Low gearing: a seemingly low risk business with high gearing can become high risk and virtually non-existent if revenue softens or a refinancing event strikes. A lowly geared business gives you room, should you need it, if things turn sour. We are seeing businesses file for insolvency every day due to gearing, so it should serve as a powerful warning to private equity investors looking to buy in this market. Again, common sense and looking at deals objectively will save face.
62
Q

What are the value-based components of a PE deal?

A
  • Clawback / Ratchet: Benefit to the PE Firm: if the business fails to meet certain targets, the PE firm’s stake in the company increases
  • Options to mgmt: Benefit to mgmt: but it aligns incentives
  • Earnout: Benefit to PE Firm; defer purchase price, conditioned on mgmt hitting certain earnings targets
  • Management fees: way to realize a return before exit
  • Investment structure: convertible bond (receive coupons); preferred investment to have liquidation preference
63
Q

At the end of the day, what is private equity really about?

A
  • Risk mitigation

- Value creation

64
Q

Why are taxes so important to a private equity investor?

A

Tax shield!

  • After tax interest expense
  • Cheaper than equity
    (2) Tax gives private equiteers a bargaining chip. All of a sudden, they can justify paying a lower price because of the tax implications. They can refuse to grant management options because of the tax implications. They can make a case for their preferred legal structure because of the tax implications. They can gear the business up to its eyeballs because of the tax implications. They can justify just about anything because no sane person understands the Internal Revenue Code (or whatever applicable tax code) in enough detail to debate it.
65
Q

What are alternative ways to create a return in private equity?

A
  • Convertible bonds - receive cpns
  • Multiple expansion
  • Dividends
  • Monitoring fees
66
Q

What covenants are used to evaluate the debt structure of a firm by a PE firm?

A

Leverage
Coverage
Variations of each

67
Q

What are the amplifying effects of diminishing sales?

A
  • Operating leverage: costs you may not be able to avoid
  • Lose contracts and potentially other sales
  • Credit downgrades shuts access to credit markets
  • M&A opportunities

Operating leverage
That’s a BIG problem. The obvious reaction is to reduce fixed costs so EBITDA doesn’t drop by the full GP loss, but that carries risks too. It obviously creates tension if you have to let people go, but it also limits your ability to return to previous sales levels if you have to sell off important equipment.

What are the other options? I’d say one of the better options is to delay cuts to people and major equipment and put as much effort as possible into taking market share and boosting sales. Also, make sure that costs don’t blow out as a result of the sales drive. It’s just as much about sales as it is financial discipline.

68
Q

Why is free cash flow so important

A
  • Credit support

- Gives capital allocators flexibility (cushion balance sheet, R&D, Capex, debt paydown, dividends, etc.)

69
Q

Explain the importance of capital expenditures to a private equity investor.

A
  • Fund growth
  • Maintenance vs growth determines recurring cash outflows to sustain top line
  • Need that cash to pay down debt

So, the message is really to make sure you consider capex in all transactions. You need to see the detailed budgets of the business and understand how capex affects cash flow, what capex is required to keep the business operating as per usual, and what plans show for one-off items in the near future. Then, you may be able to get a better picture of maintainable earnings and hence value. Above all, don’t be fooled by EBITDA figures.

70
Q

What is the difference between maintenance capex and growth capex?

A
  • Maintenance capex = cash spend needed to sustain sales and keep PPE up and going. Hard to be avoided if operations to be continued as is
  • Growth capex = discretionary. Incurred when want to expand to new market, change product mix, etc.

Financial statements do not have a line item titled maintenance capex, and no formula exists to calculate maintenance capex from the financial statements. Therefore, maintenance capex calculations are mostly estimates. The reason we only want maintenance capex is because we’re valuing the business based on its current state and current cash flows

71
Q

What are the primary drivers of working capital?

A
  • AR: terms set with customers. Type of business (retail vs. Boeing). Credit quality of co.
  • Inventory: seasonality and type of business. Perishable? Raw materials, WIP and FG make-up? Sales determine turnover.
    An increase in inventory can refer to revenue growth, slower moving stock, revaluations, increased obsolescence, or preparations for volatility.
  • AP: trade terms with vendors. COD?
72
Q

What is working capital absorption?

A

Percent of cash tied up in working capital increases
- Negative working capital absorption = production of cash surplus

We are measuring how much cash is absorbed by our working capital profile. The best case is negative absorption (production of surplus cash) and the worst case is total absorption (no one pays their bills; imminent insolvency). The most common way to measure this absorption is via a ratio of working capital and sales (WC/Sales), which conceptually tells us what percentage of sales is tied up in paper earnings and not yet realized as cash.

73
Q

What are a few ways to improve working capital management?

A
  • Command tighter AR terms
  • Reduce inventory on hand (efficiency, number of SKUs)
  • Stretch payables
  • Stretch other accrued liabilities

**Operational Efficiency. When you optimize your payment terms (see #1), you’re bringing your inflows closer and pushing your outflows further. But, what does this really mean? Well, you may pay a supplier 60 days after you receive your raw materials and you may demand customers pay within 14 days of receipt of the finished product. But, there is still one major variable left: the time between receiving the raw material and shipping the finished product. This is where operational efficiency matters. You want to minimize this time to further optimize your cash cycle. Often it’s people and process. Keep your people motivated and continually improve your processes and there’s no reason you shouldn’t excel in the area of operational efficiency.

74
Q

What do firms think about when deciding between a strategic merger or a private equity deal?

A
  • Consideration
  • Valuation
  • Involvement / stake / control of PF entity
  • Reputation of PE firm and strategic
75
Q

How can a business have a different valuation at the same point in time?

A
  • Different assumptions

- Differrent methodologies

76
Q

What are the advantages and disadvantages of EBITDA over FCF?

A

Advantages:

  • Moving “up” the financials enhances comparability across firms and reduces impact of cyclialitiy
  • Common practice / valuation multiple
  • Take out accounting impacts of D&A, effective tax rates, working capital and capex differences

Disadvantages

  • Not a true measure of cash flow! Exclude impacts of D&A, effective tax rates, working capital and capex differences
  • D&A tax shield
77
Q

What are the potential limitations of NPAT, FCF, EBITDA, EBIT and EBIT-DAC?

A

NPAT: Capital structure effects (tax shield); tax rate impacts; D&A

FCF: May be distorted by lumpy capex and or working capital swings; does not show the true tax check

EBITDA: proxy for operating cash flow. No capex or nwc.

EBIT: captures D&A, which is good if you want a proxy for capex. However, it is not an exact measure of maintenance capex. Hard to compare EBIT of companies in different industries

EBITDAC: not sure what the C stands for. Capex?

78
Q

What is the advantage of EBIT over EBITDA?

A
  • Captures impact of capex and capitalized intangibles
79
Q

Does enterprise value include working capital?

A
  • Changes in NWC impact the cash balance

- The company’s liquidity position wrt NWC is captured in equity value

80
Q

What happens to EV when you issue more equity?

A
  • Depends what you are doing with the cash and how the market interprets the equity offering
  • Textbook says that cash and equity go up by same amount, no impact to EV
81
Q

Explain a few drivers of purchase multiples of a business.

A
  • Free cash flow
  • Growth of free cash flow
  • Riskiness of that free cash flow
  • Market sentiment
  • Comps
  • Synergies
  • IP
  • Diversification
  • Size
82
Q

What are three additional forces that could potentially influence the attractiveness of an industry?

A
  • Fragmentation
  • Customer concentration
  • Barriers to entry
  • Barriers to exit
  • Supplier concentration
  • Competitive rivalry
  • Substitutes
  • Government intervention
83
Q

What is a bolt-on acquisition? What are the advantages of a bolt-on?

A
  • Bolt-on acquisition is usually a complementary asset purchased and integrated with the platform company (similar product mix, vertical integration, etc.)
  • Depending on the multiple paid, can lower your effective purchase multiple
  • Benefit from economies of scale and more bargaining power with constituents
  • Can use your platform company as additional credit support and fund the acquisition with debt
  • Can use your management (industry experts) to diligence
  • Prestige in joining the larger corporation
84
Q

What is a recapitalization?

A
  • Recapitalize the balance sheet.

- Issue debt to retire old debt and use proceeds as a dividend to equity

85
Q

What are the advantages/disadvantages to a recap?

A

Advantages

  • Recognize return before exit, which is good for fundraising and if there is not a clear exit in the ST
  • Potentially refinance at lower rates
  • Take money off the table

Disadvantages

  • Debt burden increases (increasing credit risk and interest expense)
  • Focus on debt repayment and not strategy
86
Q

What are a few ways private equity investors limit risk?

A
  • Structuring (preferred stock, convertible bonds, classes of equity)
  • ** Governance rights
  • Tax shield reduces cost of debt
  • Reduce purchase price with 1) earnouts, 2) options packages
  • Have a sense of your exit before buying the asset
  • Good relationships with lenders
  • Solid drafting of credit docs
87
Q

What the different uses of a LBO analysis?

A
  • Private equity investor: given X projected financials, and considering our downside, does the buyout make sense? What’s our highest purchase price given exit in year N and a required return of 20%?
  • Leveraged finance or financial sponsors teams
  • Floor analysis: what is the price a financial sponsor would pay for this asset?
  • Credit support: how much debt can this business sustain?
88
Q

In a LBO, what would be the ideal amount of leverage to put on a company?

A
  • Depends on the industry, business, credit markets, economic outlook, and capital structure make-up
  • Depends on the private equity firm and risk aversion
  • Given a valuation, shoot for a 30-40% equity check
89
Q

What is a dividend recapitalization?

A
  • Issue new debt to retire old debt and issue a dividend to equity holders
90
Q

Why would a private equity fund choose to do a dividend recapitalization?

A
  • Realize return before exit
  • Longer exit than expected
  • Take money off the table
  • Lower rates due to favorable credit markets
91
Q

How would a dividend recapitalization impact the three financial statements?

A
  • I/S: increased interest expense
  • CF: Reduced NI; PIK interest and financing fee amortization if applicable
  • Nothing in CFI
  • CFF: new issue proceeds, debt retirement, and cash dividend
92
Q

What is the cash-on-cash (CoC) multiple?

A

Proceeds from investment / basis

93
Q

You are a creditor and you are looking at a holding company, which has one wholly owned operating subsidiary. Would you rather lend to the holding company or the operating company? Why?

A

Operating company due to structural subordination

94
Q

Why do bondholders need covenants?

A

(1) Credit deterioration
(2) Loss of equity cushion
(3) Loss of control over assets
(4) Loss of seniority position

95
Q

What are the most important covenants?

A
  • Negative covenants - what the company cannot do (i.e., company shall not do X, except for Y carveout)
  • Restricted payments, permitted investments, incurrence baskets, etc.
96
Q

What are the two most important incurrence covenants?

A

(1) Debt incurrence – permits additional leverage unless a ratio is met or “permitted debt” is granted
(2) Restricted payments – protects bondholders’ access to value by limiting asset transfers such as dividends/repurchases, retiring debt that is subordinate to bonds before retiring bonds, investments in entities that are not restricted subsidiaries

97
Q

What is the typical contractual subordination?

A
  • Subordination clause in junior securities saying that it will be subordiant all current and future senior indebtedness
98
Q

Do you need to project all three financial statements in an LBO mode

A
  • No, you don’t need the balance sheet

- You just need a cash flow build and debt schedule

99
Q

Why would a private equity fund acquire a company in a risky industry

A
  • Cheap price
  • Turnaround situation
  • Purchase convertible bonds to protect downside
  • Minimal leverage
  • Sees opportunity to sell assets, cut costs, etc.
  • Contrarian
100
Q

Does an LBO or DCF give a higher valuation?

A
  • DCF. LBO has a higher cost of equity capital
101
Q

What is an institutional investor?

A
  • Accredited investor that is not an individual; invests money on behalf of clients.
  • Hedge funds, private equity firms, mutual funds, insurance companies
102
Q

What is asset-based lending?

A
  • Lend against the value of the asset

- Availablility limited to borrowing base, calculated as the value of the underlying asset multiplied by an advance rate

103
Q

What is the current ratio?

A

CA / CL. Measure of a company’s ability to meet short term obligations

104
Q

If the stock market falls, what would you expect to happen to bond prices, and interest rates?

A
  • Stock market falls, investors flock to bonds, yields go down, and bond prices go up
105
Q

If unemployment is low, what happens to inflation, interest rates, and bond prices?

A
  • Labor becomes more competitive, wages go up, inflation rises with it. Real interest rates go down. Bond prices also go down and interest rates go up to compensate for the loss in purchasing power
106
Q

How would you rank the following in terms of their importance when making an investment: management, profitability, exit, market share, growth?

A
  • Profitability
  • Exit
  • Market share
  • Growth
  • Management

Guide (I disagree)

(1) Profitability
(2) Management
(3) Growth
(4) Market share
(5) Exit

107
Q

What major factors affect the yield on a corporate bond?

A
  • Inflation and expectations of future inflation
  • Credit risk
  • Interest rate of comparable bonds and risk free rate
108
Q

If a bond’s coupon rate is 7% and the expected return in the market is 5%, is the bond priced at a premium or a discount?

A
  • Premium
109
Q

If interest rates rise by 1%, what would happen to stock prices? Why?

A
  • Not a perfect correlation, but would expect it to go down
  • Fed may be sending a signal that it plans to increase interest rates
  • Bonds become more attractive and investors move money out of equities and into bonds
110
Q

How would you evaluate the creditworthiness of manufacturer with three factories in different locations throughout the US?

A
  • First questions I would ask are 1) what products does it make and to whom does it sell to?, 2) how large are the facilities, 3) where are they located
111
Q

Would you rather own a shoe company or a utility?

A

Shoe company

  • Utility companies have limited pricing power and the industry is a regulated monopoly
  • Shoe industry offers flexibility, though there are low barriers to entry and is a competitive market
112
Q

If you have a risky business (like a gas exploration company) and a low-risk business (a service company with revenues and costs under long-term contracts for example), which has a higher discount rate?

A

Risky business