Pathways and disruption Flashcards
Russias role prior to war
2nd largest gas supplier (17%)
45% of europes gas
2/3 ukraines gas
Impacts of R-U war
Typical energy bill in UK was 50% higher this winter than last
UK gove backtracked on supporting vulnerable homes
failed to contract new offshore windfarms (wouldve powered 8 million homes)
Venezuela
largest proved oil reserves (17%)
only produced 0.8% in 23
exports decreased by 80% since 2000
petrostate
plunge of oil price in 2016 from $100 to $30 caused economic and political spiral
2/3 of gov budget
international sanctions
Disruption of pathwyas
Piracy
natural disasters
climate change
payment disputes
conflict
piracy
regular reports of piracy of somali coast in 2012
compels ships to divert adding cost and 3-4 weeks to journey times
Dec 23 more than 100 ships diverted from suez due to houthi rebels
natural disasters
hurricane katrina
destoyes 47 platforms and four drilling rigs
gulf oil production declined by 95%
price of oil increased to $70 per barrel
Climate change
thawing permafrost
810 foot section of trans alaskan pipeline at risk
20 million gallons of oil flow per day
payment disputes
2016 russia cut of ukraines gas supply after they quadrupled price and ukraine refused to pay
ukraine threatened legal action
Conflict
20% of oil flows through Hormuz straight
vulnerable to Iranian anti-ship misslies
What % of world trade flows through Suez?
12%