p3 Flashcards
enhanced greenhouse effect
31% of short wave radiation is reflected by clouds, aerosols and gases in the atmosphere and by the land surface.
The remaining 69% is absorbed, particularly by the oceans.
When long wave radiation is reflected back, a large amount is re-radiated back to Earth by clouds and GHGs which traps the long wave radiation in our atmosphere.
The natural greenhouse effect and gives us our life supporting average temperature of 15 degrees. Without this effect our average temperature would be -6.
Holocene or Anthropocene?
The present geological time we are living in is called the Holocene period but many people refer to it now as the Anthropocene because of the profound changes caused by humans.
The natural greenhouse effect has become enhanced; C02 in the atmosphere has increased in volume by 40% in the last 300 years.
Causes of GHGs
Industry
Combustion of fossil fuels
Agriculture:
Livestock – methane
Deforestation – farm land
Loss of soil carbon from ploughing
Transport
CO2 emissions
Electricity generation
Increased demand due to rising population
Cement Production
Wetland/peatland loss
Cement Production
The most consumed product in the world after water.
Chemical processes involved in production release a substantial amount of carbon dioxide (6% of global carbon emissions).
Wetland/peatland loss
The nature of wetlands is shaped by water and rainfall patterns – the unpredictable change due to climate change may result in wetlands drying out.
Peatlands store 550Gt of carbon – twice as much as all of the world’s forest biomass combined but only cover 3% of the earth’s surface.
Human Activity
Through burning fossil fuels we have transferred considerable amounts of carbon from fossil stores, where exchanges are very slow, into the fast category, significantly disturbing the carbon cycle.
CO2 levels in the atmosphere are higher than ever before.
This process has continued since the Industrial Revolution (1760-1840) and accelerated through the oil age (20th century), changing the chemistry of the atmosphere.
Climate Patterns – temperature and precipitation
Carbon dioxide and other GHGs naturally help to maintain the Earth’s temperature – and also determines the distribution of temperature and precipitation.
If the concentrations of these change, it is likely to alter these distribution patterns.
Temperature
The amount of solar energy (solar insolation) reaching the Earth’s surface varies at different locations which in turn influences temperature.
The angle of the sun’s rays makes solar insolation intense at the equator but dispersed over a wider area at the poles.
Different characteristics of the Earth’s surface (how light or dark it is) also affects how much heat is absorbed or reflected.
Precipitation
The heating of the atmosphere and surface controls the temperature, pressure, movement and moisture content of the air.
Because solar radiation is most intense at the equator, low pressure systems dominate there, meaning rainfall all year round.
Regional and seasonal variations also
occur, because of the effects of relief, pressure patterns and wind systems.
Evidence of change
The IPCC (Intergovernmental Panel for Climate Change) has been collecting evidence of natural changes of heat sources such as volcanism, solar changes and orbital changes such as the Milankovitch cycle and none of these can account for recent changes.
Fossil fuel consumption – what’s the problem?
Levels of CO2 in the atmosphere are now higher than ever before (compared with air bubbles found in ice cores up to 800,000 years ago).
Fossil fuels continue to be the primary energy source for driving modern civilisation.
Fossil fuels combustion creates fast carbon cycling.
Without it, the carbon in the fossil fuels would transfer slowly through volcanic activity.
The IPCC estimated that between 1750 and 2011 the concentration of CO2 in the atmosphere increased by 40%.
With approximately 50% of those emissions still in our atmosphere today.
Carbon remains in the atmosphere for about 2000 years so climate change will continue for some time yet.
Impacts of using Fossil Fuels
The combustion of fossil fuels is explicitly linked greenhouse gas concentrations, rising global temperatures and sea levels.
There are three main areas of impact you need to be aware of…
ClimateEcosystemsHydrological Cycle
Key concept: Climate forcing
- The impacts of fossil fuel combustion on climate are at global and regional scales.
- The 2014 IPCC report, aimed at policy makers, explicitly linked greenhouse gas concentrations to fossil fuel emissions, rising global temperatures and sea levels
- Global warming and the alteration of ocean temperatures and salinity levels could affect the thermohaline current by slowing or reversing the North Atlantic Drift (NAD), also called the Gulf Stream.
- This happened 20,000 years ago when temperatures dropped.
- The NAD keeps UK temperatures 5°C higher than they would otherwise be in winter.
Climate predictions
Global
On average, the Earth will become warmer, hence more evaporation and precipitation
Sudden shifts in weather patterns
More extreme, intense and frequent events: floods, droughts
Rising mean sea level
Climate predictions
Regional
Some regions will become warmer and drier, others wetter
Some regions will have less snow, more rain
Storm surges may increase